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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 28, 2015·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose

Colorado Avalanche 6, San Jose Sharks 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 62% of the time.

SJS winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:41Shot by Wingels, saved by Pickard
  3. P1 1:47Shot by Tierney, saved by Pickard
  4. P1 3:53Shot by Nieto, saved by Pickard
  5. P1 4:11Shot by Braun, saved by Pickard
  6. P1 5:05Shot by Tierney, saved by Pickard
  7. P1 5:33Hertl: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Martin, Burns, Brown, Hertl, Karlsson · COL Beauchemin, Soderberg, Holden, Duchene, Landeskog

  8. P1 6:31Shot by Wingels, saved by Pickard4v5
  9. P1 7:13Shot by Iginla, saved by Jones4v5
  10. P1 7:58Thornton: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Zubrus, Thornton, Martin, Burns, Pavelski · COL Beauchemin, Mitchell, Johnson, Duchene, Martinsen

  11. P1 8:46Goal by MacKinnon (Soderberg, Iginla)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Vlasic, Braun, Wingels, Nieto · COL Iginla, Tanguay, Beauchemin, Soderberg, MacKinnon

  12. P1 10:07Goal by Marleau (Ward)+21 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Ward, Martin, Burns, Nieto · COL Beauchemin, McLeod, Skille, Johnson, Grigorenko

  13. P1 10:31Dillon: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Brown, Dillon, DeMelo, Hertl, Karlsson · COL Comeau, Soderberg, Redmond, Gormley, Landeskog

  14. P1 10:30Shot by Soderberg, saved by Jones
  15. P1 11:49Shot by Barrie, saved by Jones4v5
  16. P1 11:54Shot by Duchene, saved by Jones4v5
  17. P1 12:30Shot by Comeau, saved by Jones4v5
  18. P1 13:41Martin: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: SJS Zubrus, Thornton, Martin, Burns, Pavelski · COL Soderberg, McLeod, Skille, Holden, Barrie, Grigorenko

  19. P1 14:28Goal by Soderberg (Beauchemin, Tanguay)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Burns, Vlasic, Wingels, Nieto · COL Iginla, Tanguay, Beauchemin, Soderberg, MacKinnon

  20. P1 15:03Shot by Dillon, saved by Pickard
  21. P1 16:06Shot by Landeskog, saved by Jones
  22. P1 18:23Shot by Duchene, saved by Jones
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:31Shot by Burns, saved by Pickard
  26. P2 3:19Shot by Johnson, saved by Jones
  27. P2 3:23Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Jones
  28. P2 3:23Shot by Skille, saved by Jones
  29. P2 4:21Shot by Tierney, saved by Pickard
  30. P2 5:01Comeau: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Ward, Pavelski, Dillon, DeMelo · COL Comeau, Soderberg, Holden, Barrie, Martinsen

  31. P2 6:21Shot by Hertl, saved by Pickard5v4
  32. P2 6:25Shot by Hertl, saved by Pickard5v4
  33. P2 7:38Shot by Tanguay, saved by Jones
  34. P2 8:05Shot by Redmond, saved by Jones
  35. P2 8:14Shot by Brown, saved by Pickard
  36. P2 8:15Martinsen: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Zubrus, Martin, Brown, DeMelo, Hertl · COL Iginla, Redmond, Gormley, MacKinnon, Martinsen

  37. P2 9:46Shot by Wingels, saved by Pickard5v4
  38. P2 11:10Shot by Mitchell, saved by Jones
  39. P2 11:19Goal by Duchene (Mitchell, Martinsen)+16 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Martin, Wingels, Dillon, Donskoi, Tierney · COL Mitchell, Redmond, Duchene, Gormley, Martinsen

  40. P2 11:42Shot by Marleau, saved by Pickard
  41. P2 13:58Goal by Karlsson (Thornton, Vlasic)+15 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Pavelski, Vlasic, Braun, Karlsson · COL Mitchell, Skille, Johnson, Barrie, Martinsen

  42. P2 14:06Shot by Donskoi, saved by Pickard
  43. P2 14:35Shot by Ward, saved by Pickard
  44. P2 14:59Shot by Burns, saved by Pickard
  45. P2 15:59Shot by Vlasic, saved by Pickard
  46. P2 16:11Shot by Braun, saved by Pickard
  47. P2 16:51Shot by Duchene, saved by Jones
  48. P2 17:15Shot by Martin, saved by Pickard
  49. P2 17:31Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Jones
  50. P2 19:00Shot by Karlsson, saved by Pickard
  51. P2 19:18Shot by Dillon, saved by Pickard
  52. P2 19:42Shot by Wingels, saved by Pickard
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:18Shot by Ward, saved by Pickard
  56. P3 1:01Shot by Burns, saved by Pickard
  57. P3 1:06Shot by Karlsson, saved by Pickard
  58. P3 2:34Shot by Hertl, saved by Pickard
  59. P3 3:02Shot by Ward, saved by Pickard
  60. P3 3:32Shot by DeMelo, saved by Pickard
  61. P3 4:13Shot by Marleau, saved by Pickard
  62. P3 4:20Shot by Donskoi, saved by Pickard
  63. P3 5:03Shot by Wingels, saved by Pickard
  64. P3 5:11Burns: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Martin, Burns, Wingels, Donskoi, Tierney · COL Tanguay, Beauchemin, Comeau, Soderberg, Redmond

  65. P3 5:36Shot by Soderberg, saved by Jones4v5
  66. P3 6:16Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Jones4v5
  67. P3 6:51Shot by Comeau, saved by Jones4v5
  68. P3 7:09Goal by Comeau (Johnson, Barrie)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Pavelski, Vlasic, Braun, Karlsson · COL Comeau, Johnson, Duchene, Barrie, Landeskog

  69. P3 8:07Goal by Hertl (Brown, Burns)+14 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Zubrus, Brown, Dillon, DeMelo, Hertl · COL Tanguay, Beauchemin, Holden, Duchene, MacKinnon

  70. P3 8:23Wingels: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Vlasic, Braun, Wingels, Donskoi, Tierney · COL Mitchell, Redmond, Duchene, Gormley, Martinsen

  71. P3 8:44Goal by MacKinnon (Soderberg, Tanguay)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Ward, Vlasic, Braun · COL Iginla, Tanguay, Beauchemin, Soderberg, MacKinnon

  72. P3 9:45Shot by Holden, saved by Jones
  73. P3 9:51Shot by Comeau, saved by Jones
  74. P3 13:47Shot by Hertl, saved by Pickard
  75. P3 14:04Iginla: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Martin, Burns, Wingels, Donskoi, Hertl · COL Iginla, Tanguay, Holden, Barrie, MacKinnon

  76. P3 14:53Shot by Burns, saved by Pickard5v4
  77. P3 18:32Goal by MacKinnon, unassisted6v50 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Ward, Vlasic, Braun, Wingels, Donskoi · COL Iginla, Tanguay, Beauchemin, Holden, MacKinnon

  78. P3 18:54Shot by DeMelo, saved by Pickard
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final