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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 31, 2015·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Pittsburgh Penguins 5, Detroit Red Wings 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 84% of the time.

DET winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:14Shot by Kunitz, saved by Mrazek
  3. P1 1:00Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Mrazek
  4. P1 1:41Shot by Sheary, saved by Mrazek
  5. P1 2:02Shot by Sheahan, saved by Zatkoff
  6. P1 2:48Shot by Letang, saved by Mrazek
  7. P1 3:27Shot by Larkin, saved by Zatkoff
  8. P1 3:44Shot by Perron, saved by Mrazek
  9. P1 4:18Shot by Helm, saved by Zatkoff
  10. P1 5:34Shot by Smith, saved by Zatkoff
  11. P1 6:47Goal by Abdelkader (Larkin, Kronwall)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Ericsson, Abdelkader, DeKeyser, Larkin · PIT Daley, Fehr, Porter, Cole, Plotnikov

  12. P1 7:04Shot by Letang, saved by Mrazek
  13. P1 8:48Shot by Sheahan, saved by Zatkoff
  14. P1 4:34Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Zatkoff
  15. P1 10:03Shot by Marchenko, saved by Zatkoff
  16. P1 10:15Letang: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Marchenko, Jurco, Glendening, Nosek · PIT Fehr, Porter, Letang, Maatta, Plotnikov

  17. P1 10:15Glendening: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Marchenko, Jurco, Glendening, Nosek · PIT Fehr, Porter, Letang, Maatta, Plotnikov

  18. P1 10:53Shot by Kessel, saved by Mrazek4v4
  19. P1 12:14Shot by Marchenko, saved by Zatkoff4v4
  20. P1 12:15Goal by Smith (Nyquist, Marchenko)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Smith, Nyquist, Tatar, Marchenko · PIT Cullen, Lovejoy, Perron, Dumoulin

  21. P1 13:34Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Mrazek
  22. P1 16:29Shot by Sheary, saved by Mrazek
  23. P1 17:02Shot by Maatta, saved by Mrazek
  24. P1 18:04Shot by Crosby, saved by Mrazek
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:14Shot by Lovejoy, saved by Mrazek
  28. P2 0:15DeKeyser: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Ericsson, Abdelkader, DeKeyser, Larkin · PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Lovejoy, Perron, Dumoulin

  29. P2 0:45Goal by Hornqvist (Malkin, Letang)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Ericsson, Helm, Glendening · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel

  30. P2 1:38Shot by Tatar, saved by Zatkoff
  31. P2 2:01Shot by Perron, saved by Mrazek
  32. P2 2:32Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Zatkoff
  33. P2 2:35Letang: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Richards, Datsyuk, Helm, Marchenko, DeKeyser · PIT Kunitz, Malkin, Letang, Perron, Maatta

  34. P2 4:21Shot by Green, saved by Zatkoff5v4
  35. P2 4:33Shot by Richards, saved by Zatkoff5v4
  36. P2 5:49Shot by Maatta, saved by Mrazek
  37. P2 6:27Shot by Marchenko, saved by Zatkoff
  38. P2 6:29Shot by Tatar, saved by Zatkoff
  39. P2 8:28Letang: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Ericsson, Helm, Tatar, Nosek · PIT Fehr, Porter, Letang, Kessel, Dumoulin

  40. P2 9:04Shot by Kronwall, saved by Zatkoff5v4
  41. P2 9:21Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Zatkoff5v4
  42. P2 10:23Shot by Larkin, saved by Zatkoff5v4
  43. P2 11:14DeKeyser: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Helm, Glendening, DeKeyser, Nosek · PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Lovejoy, Perron, Dumoulin

  44. P2 11:44Goal by Letang (Malkin, Hornqvist)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Helm, Marchenko, Glendening · PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel

  45. P2 13:04Shot by Helm, saved by Zatkoff
  46. P2 13:33Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Mrazek
  47. P2 13:34Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Mrazek
  48. P2 13:51Shot by Glendening, saved by Zatkoff
  49. P2 14:09Shot by Daley, saved by Mrazek
  50. P2 14:05Shot by Crosby, saved by Mrazek
  51. P2 15:04Shot by Kessel, saved by Mrazek
  52. P2 15:06Shot by Malkin, saved by Mrazek
  53. P2 15:28Shot by Nyquist, saved by Zatkoff
  54. P2 16:27Shot by Daley, saved by Mrazek
  55. P2 17:03Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Mrazek
  56. P2 18:11Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Zatkoff
  57. P2 18:17Richards: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Ericsson, Abdelkader, DeKeyser, Nosek, Larkin · PIT Cullen, Malkin, Letang, Kessel, Maatta

  58. P2 18:26Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Mrazek4v5
  59. P2 19:14Shot by Malkin, saved by Mrazek4v5
  60. P2 19:34Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Mrazek4v5
  61. P2 19:55Glendening: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Glendening, DeKeyser, Nosek · PIT Daley, Kunitz, Bonino, Perron, Dumoulin

  62. P2 19:55Perron: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Glendening, DeKeyser, Nosek · PIT Daley, Kunitz, Bonino, Perron, Dumoulin

  63. P2 19:59Shot by Crosby, saved by Mrazek4v5
  64. P2 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Period start
  66. P3 0:45Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Mrazek
  67. P3 0:53Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Zatkoff
  68. P3 1:28Shot by Sheahan, saved by Zatkoff
  69. P3 3:55Shot by Letang, saved by Mrazek
  70. P3 4:06Shot by Cullen, saved by Mrazek
  71. P3 5:13Kessel: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Richards, Datsyuk, Helm, Smith, Marchenko · PIT Cullen, Malkin, Kessel, Lovejoy, Dumoulin

  72. P3 7:48Goal by Crosby (Perron)+32 pts WP

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Helm, Sheahan, DeKeyser, Nosek · PIT Daley, Kunitz, Crosby, Lovejoy, Perron

  73. P3 8:22Goal by Malkin (Kessel, Hornqvist)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Helm, Smith, Marchenko, Glendening, Larkin · PIT Daley, Malkin, Hornqvist, Kessel, Maatta

  74. P3 10:15Shot by Fehr, saved by Mrazek
  75. P3 10:42Shot by Marchenko, saved by Zatkoff
  76. P3 10:50Shot by Richards, saved by Zatkoff
  77. P3 11:12Shot by Larkin, saved by Zatkoff
  78. P3 11:48Shot by Perron, saved by Mrazek
  79. P3 12:42Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Zatkoff
  80. P3 14:16Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Zatkoff
  81. P3 14:27Shot by Kunitz, saved by Mrazek
  82. P3 15:31Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Zatkoff
  83. P3 15:34Shot by Green, saved by Zatkoff
  84. P3 15:50Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Zatkoff6v5
  85. P3 16:33Kunitz: Roughing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DET Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Green, Abdelkader, Nyquist · PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Bonino, Maatta

  86. P3 16:33Abdelkader: Roughing (2 min)6v4

    On ice: DET Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Green, Abdelkader, Nyquist · PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Bonino, Maatta

  87. P3 16:43Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Zatkoff5v4
  88. P3 17:55Shot by Tatar, saved by Zatkoff5v4
  89. P3 18:20Goal by Letang (Bonino)5v40 pts WP

    On ice: DET Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Helm, Nyquist · PIT Porter, Letang, Bonino, Maatta

  90. P3 0:00Period end
  91. P3 0:00Final