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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 2, 2016·Pepsi Center, Denver

Calgary Flames 4, Colorado Avalanche 0

Away

Calgary Flames

4

Final

Home

Colorado Avalanche

0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 84% of the time.

COL winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:55Shot by Ferland, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 3:33Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Ramo
  4. P1 4:07Mitchell: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: COL Mitchell, Holden, Duchene, Barrie, Martinsen · CGY Hudler, Giordano, Brodie, Granlund, Bennett

  5. P1 4:25Shot by Comeau, saved by Ramo4v5
  6. P1 4:51Shot by Johnson, saved by Ramo4v5
  7. P1 5:31Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Varlamov4v5
  8. P1 5:40Shot by Giordano, saved by Varlamov4v5
  9. P1 5:51Shot by Bennett, saved by Varlamov4v5
  10. P1 6:04Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Ramo4v5
  11. P1 6:33Mitchell: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Mitchell, Redmond, Duchene, Gormley, Martinsen · CGY Stajan, Russell, Bouma, Hamilton, Jooris

  12. P1 6:46Shot by Granlund, saved by Varlamov4v5
  13. P1 7:48Shot by Ferland, saved by Varlamov4v5
  14. P1 7:54Shot by Bennett, saved by Varlamov4v5
  15. P1 7:57Goal by Hamilton, unassisted4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: COL McLeod, Holden, Barrie, Landeskog · CGY Backlund, Brodie, Ferland, Hamilton, Bennett

  16. P1 8:48Shot by Duchene, saved by Ramo
  17. P1 9:01Granlund: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: COL Mitchell, Holden, Duchene, Barrie, Martinsen · CGY Hudler, Giordano, Granlund, Hamilton, Bennett

  18. P1 9:25Shot by Giordano, saved by Varlamov5v4
  19. P1 10:15Shot by Johnson, saved by Ramo5v4
  20. P1 10:47Shot by Stajan, saved by Varlamov5v4
  21. P1 11:01Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Ramo5v4
  22. P1 11:56Landeskog: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Comeau, Soderberg, Holden, Barrie, Landeskog · CGY Wideman, Colborne, Brodie, Gaudreau, Monahan

  23. P1 13:00Shot by Holden, saved by Ramo4v5
  24. P1 14:09Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Ramo
  25. P1 14:58Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Ramo
  26. P1 17:45Ferland: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Mitchell, Holden, Duchene, Barrie, Martinsen · CGY Jones, Giordano, Backlund, Brodie, Ferland

  27. P1 18:27Shot by Barrie, saved by Ramo5v4
  28. P1 19:28Shot by Soderberg, saved by Ramo5v4
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:21Shot by Duchene, saved by Ramo
  32. P2 1:44Shot by Johnson, saved by Ramo
  33. P2 2:10Shot by Ferland, saved by Varlamov
  34. P2 4:19Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 4:46Shot by Ferland, saved by Varlamov
  36. P2 5:39Shot by Ferland, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 6:20Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Ramo
  38. P2 7:57Shot by Duchene, saved by Ramo
  39. P2 8:18Goal by Jooris (Giordano, Brodie)+16 pts WP

    On ice: COL Mitchell, Redmond, Duchene, Gormley, Martinsen · CGY Stajan, Giordano, Bouma, Brodie, Jooris

  40. P2 9:03Shot by Comeau, saved by Ramo
  41. P2 10:39Shot by Jooris, saved by Varlamov
  42. P2 10:47Goal by Stajan (Wideman, Jooris)+7 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Tanguay, Holden, Barrie, MacKinnon · CGY Wideman, Stajan, Russell, Bouma, Jooris

  43. P2 10:53Shot by Duchene, saved by Ramo
  44. P2 13:06Shot by Backlund, saved by Varlamov
  45. P2 13:07Goal by Backlund (Ferland)+2 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Tanguay, Barrie, Gormley, MacKinnon · CGY Jones, Giordano, Backlund, Brodie, Ferland

  46. P2 14:27Shot by Soderberg, saved by Ramo
  47. P2 14:31Shot by Soderberg, saved by Ramo
  48. P2 15:33Shot by Bouma, saved by Pickard
  49. P2 16:05Shot by Stajan, saved by Pickard
  50. P2 16:16Shot by Backlund, saved by Pickard
  51. P2 16:45Shot by Tanguay, saved by Ramo
  52. P2 17:07Shot by Johnson, saved by Ramo
  53. P2 19:00Shot by Skille, saved by Ramo
  54. P2 19:08Shot by Landeskog, saved by Ramo
  55. P2 19:55Shot by Landeskog, saved by Ramo
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:39Shot by Russell, saved by Pickard
  59. P3 2:34Shot by Iginla, saved by Ramo
  60. P3 6:10Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Pickard
  61. P3 7:02Mitchell: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Mitchell, McLeod, Skille, Redmond, Gormley · CGY Wideman, Jones, Russell, Backlund, Ferland

  62. P3 7:23Shot by Ferland, saved by Pickard4v5
  63. P3 8:02Shot by Giordano, saved by Pickard4v5
  64. P3 8:54Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Pickard4v5
  65. P3 10:33Shot by Backlund, saved by Pickard
  66. P3 10:43Shot by Granlund, saved by Pickard
  67. P3 10:46Holden: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: COL Iginla, Tanguay, Holden, Barrie, Grigorenko · CGY Wideman, Smid, Colborne, Granlund, Bennett

  68. P3 11:43Shot by Hamilton, saved by Pickard4v5
  69. P3 15:40Shot by Colborne, saved by Pickard
  70. P3 16:10Shot by Bouma, saved by Pickard
  71. P3 16:14MacKinnon: High sticking double minor (4 min)

    On ice: COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Johnson, Duchene, MacKinnon · CGY Stajan, Smid, Bouma, Brodie, Jooris

  72. P3 17:47Shot by Brodie, saved by Pickard4v5
  73. P3 19:38Shot by Hamilton, saved by Pickard4v5
  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final