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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 5, 2016·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Florida Panthers 5, Buffalo Sabres 1

Away

Florida Panthers

5

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 67% of the time.

BUF winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:40Shot by Kulikov, saved by Ullmark
  3. P1 1:06Shot by Eichel, saved by Luongo
  4. P1 1:11Shot by Eichel, saved by Luongo
  5. P1 1:31Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Ullmark
  6. P1 2:25Shot by Shaw, saved by Ullmark
  7. P1 2:34Shot by Pirri, saved by Ullmark
  8. P1 2:45Shot by Gionta, saved by Luongo
  9. P1 2:50Shot by Moulson, saved by Luongo
  10. P1 2:57Shot by Gionta, saved by Luongo
  11. P1 3:28Shot by Foligno, saved by Luongo
  12. P1 3:36Shot by Schaller, saved by Luongo
  13. P1 3:47Howden: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Bogosian, O'Reilly, Foligno, McCabe, Schaller · FLA Mitchell, MacKenzie, Knight, Petrovic, Howden

  14. P1 4:20Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Luongo5v4
  15. P1 4:26Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Luongo5v4
  16. P1 7:00Shot by Jagr, saved by Ullmark
  17. P1 7:06Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Ullmark
  18. P1 9:45Goal by Jagr (Huberdeau)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart · FLA Jagr, Kulikov, Gudbranson, Huberdeau, Barkov

  19. P1 10:59Shot by Shaw, saved by Ullmark
  20. P1 12:26Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Ullmark
  21. P1 12:42Shot by Ekblad, saved by Ullmark
  22. P1 13:02Shot by Kane, saved by Luongo
  23. P1 17:07Shot by Foligno, saved by Luongo
  24. P1 17:12Shot by Foligno, saved by Luongo
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:29Shot by Ekblad, saved by Ullmark
  28. P2 0:35Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Ullmark
  29. P2 1:07Shot by Shaw, saved by Ullmark
  30. P2 1:15Shot by Gionta, saved by Luongo
  31. P2 2:00Shot by Bogosian, saved by Luongo
  32. P2 2:05Shot by Legwand, saved by Luongo
  33. P2 2:10Bjugstad: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Bogosian, O'Reilly, Foligno, McCabe, Schaller · FLA Mitchell, Pirri, Knight, Petrovic, Bjugstad

  34. P2 2:44Goal by O'Reilly (Eichel, McGinn)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF McGinn, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · FLA MacKenzie, Kulikov, Smith, Gudbranson

  35. P2 3:20Shot by Jagr, saved by Ullmark
  36. P2 3:35Jagr: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Kane, Larsson, McCabe · FLA Jagr, Campbell, Gudbranson, Huberdeau, Barkov

  37. P2 3:44Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Luongo5v4
  38. P2 4:03Shot by Eichel, saved by Luongo5v4
  39. P2 8:05Shot by Bogosian, saved by Luongo
  40. P2 8:37Shot by Knight, saved by Ullmark
  41. P2 8:54Goal by MacKenzie (Knight, Petrovic)+25 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Colaiacovo, Moulson, Franson, Larsson · FLA Mitchell, MacKenzie, Knight, Petrovic, Howden

  42. P2 10:04Shot by Gorges, saved by Luongo
  43. P2 12:44Howden: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Colaiacovo, Franson, Foligno, Schaller · FLA MacKenzie, Kulikov, Knight, Howden, Gudbranson

  44. P2 13:32Shot by Eichel, saved by Luongo5v4
  45. P2 14:06Shot by Eichel, saved by Luongo5v4
  46. P2 15:50Shot by Schaller, saved by Luongo
  47. P2 16:38Shot by Girgensons, saved by Luongo
  48. P2 18:36Shot by Howden, saved by Ullmark
  49. P2 19:29Kane: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart · FLA Jagr, Kulikov, Gudbranson, Huberdeau, Barkov

  50. P2 19:29Kulikov: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart · FLA Jagr, Kulikov, Gudbranson, Huberdeau, Barkov

  51. P2 19:59Shot by Campbell, saved by Ullmark4v4
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:30Shot by Barkov, saved by Ullmark4v4
  55. P3 1:11Shot by Ekblad, saved by Ullmark4v4
  56. P3 1:41Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Luongo
  57. P3 2:04Shot by Moulson, saved by Luongo
  58. P3 2:49Shot by Smith, saved by Ullmark
  59. P3 5:04Shot by Reinhart, saved by Luongo
  60. P3 5:18Shot by Reinhart, saved by Luongo
  61. P3 5:35Goal by Knight (Howden, MacKenzie)+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Colaiacovo, Franson, McGinn, Girgensons, Eichel · FLA MacKenzie, Kulikov, Knight, Howden, Ekblad

  62. P3 6:00Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Luongo
  63. P3 6:23Shot by Reinhart, saved by Luongo
  64. P3 7:45Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Ullmark
  65. P3 11:04Shot by Kane, saved by Luongo
  66. P3 14:52Shot by Barkov, saved by Ullmark
  67. P3 14:53McCabe: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF O'Reilly, Kane, McCabe, Ristolainen, Reinhart · FLA Jagr, Kulikov, Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad

  68. P3 15:21Kulikov: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Gorges, Schaller, Ristolainen · FLA Jagr, Kulikov, Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad

  69. P3 16:06Goal by Huberdeau (Barkov)4v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Franson, Bogosian, O'Reilly, Kane · FLA Campbell, Jokinen, Huberdeau, Ekblad

  70. P3 18:24Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Luongo6v5
  71. P3 18:39Goal by Pirri (Mitchell)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Kane, Larsson, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · FLA Mitchell, Pirri, Bjugstad, Trocheck, Ekblad

  72. P3 19:29Shot by Shaw, saved by Ullmark
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final