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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 7, 2016·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul

Philadelphia Flyers 4, Minnesota Wild 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 53% of the time.

MIN winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:20Shot by Koivu, saved by Mason
  3. P1 0:18Shot by Koivu, saved by Mason
  4. P1 2:02Shot by Read, saved by Dubnyk
  5. P1 2:23Shot by Umberger, saved by Dubnyk
  6. P1 2:35Shot by Voracek, saved by Dubnyk
  7. P1 2:52Shot by Porter, saved by Mason
  8. P1 3:26Shot by Parise, saved by Mason
  9. P1 5:32Shot by Brodin, saved by Mason
  10. P1 5:47Shot by Granlund, saved by Mason
  11. P1 6:05Shot by Umberger, saved by Dubnyk
  12. P1 7:31Shot by Parise, saved by Mason
  13. P1 7:49Goal by Couturier (Raffl, Schenn)+20 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Stoll, Porter, Carter, Brodin, Dumba · PHI Schenn, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Raffl, Medvedev

  14. P1 11:16Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Dubnyk
  15. P1 11:19Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Dubnyk
  16. P1 12:33Shot by Medvedev, saved by Dubnyk
  17. P1 12:42Shot by Read, saved by Dubnyk
  18. P1 12:47Shot by Read, saved by Dubnyk
  19. P1 13:25Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Dubnyk
  20. P1 14:41Goal by Scandella (Niederreiter)+21 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Pominville, Strachan, Scandella, Granlund, Niederreiter · PHI VandeVelde, White, Del Zotto, Gudas, Bellemare

  21. P1 15:03Shot by Scandella, saved by Mason
  22. P1 16:03Koivu: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Suter, Parise, Zucker, Dumba · PHI Umberger, Read, Laughton, Gostisbehere, Medvedev

  23. P1 16:19Shot by Simmonds, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  24. P1 16:54Shot by Haula, saved by Mason4v5
  25. P1 18:14Shot by Raffl, saved by Dubnyk
  26. P1 19:19Shot by Gudas, saved by Dubnyk
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P1 19:22Shot by Bellemare, saved by Dubnyk
  29. P2 0:00Period start
  30. P2 0:45Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Mason
  31. P2 3:25Shot by Carter, saved by Mason
  32. P2 4:34Shot by Couturier, saved by Dubnyk
  33. P2 5:12Shot by Read, saved by Dubnyk
  34. P2 5:34Shot by Read, saved by Dubnyk
  35. P2 7:04Simmonds: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Stoll, Porter, Carter, Scandella, Brodin · PHI Schultz, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Medvedev

  36. P2 7:04Carter: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Stoll, Porter, Carter, Scandella, Brodin · PHI Schultz, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Medvedev

  37. P2 8:47Shot by Giroux, saved by Dubnyk4v4
  38. P2 9:02Goal by Del Zotto (Schenn, Medvedev)4v4+25 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Coyle, Brodin, Dumba · PHI Del Zotto, Schenn, Laughton, Medvedev

  39. P2 9:29Shot by Gudas, saved by Dubnyk
  40. P2 9:54Goal by White (VandeVelde, Bellemare)+16 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Vanek, Coyle, Granlund, Brodin, Dumba · PHI Schultz, VandeVelde, White, Bellemare, Medvedev

  41. P2 11:00Shot by Carter, saved by Mason
  42. P2 11:30Shot by Koivu, saved by Mason
  43. P2 11:32Shot by Parise, saved by Mason
  44. P2 12:37Shot by Laughton, saved by Dubnyk
  45. P2 13:53Shot by Gudas, saved by Dubnyk
  46. P2 14:10Shot by White, saved by Dubnyk
  47. P2 14:39Shot by Gudas, saved by Dubnyk
  48. P2 15:58Goal by Zucker, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Vanek, Suter, Spurgeon, Zucker · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Del Zotto, Gudas

  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 1:22Shot by Pominville, saved by Mason6v5
  52. P3 1:23Couturier: Holding the stick (2 min)6v5

    On ice: MIN Pominville, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Granlund, Niederreiter · PHI Streit, Schultz, Schenn, Couturier, Raffl

  53. P3 2:31Shot by Parise, saved by Mason5v4
  54. P3 2:33Shot by Koivu, saved by Mason5v4
  55. P3 2:49Shot by Dumba, saved by Mason5v4
  56. P3 4:57Shot by Parise, saved by Mason
  57. P3 5:14Shot by Zucker, saved by Mason
  58. P3 5:43Shot by Parise, saved by Mason
  59. P3 6:08Shot by Schenn, saved by Dubnyk
  60. P3 6:26Shot by Gudas, saved by Dubnyk
  61. P3 6:44Shot by Vanek, saved by Mason
  62. P3 7:41Niederreiter: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Pominville, Suter, Spurgeon, Granlund, Niederreiter · PHI Streit, Schultz, VandeVelde, White, Bellemare

  63. P3 8:49Shot by Giroux, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  64. P3 9:31Shot by Read, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  65. P3 9:50Shot by Koivu, saved by Mason
  66. P3 10:52Shot by Umberger, saved by Dubnyk
  67. P3 11:42Shot by Suter, saved by Mason
  68. P3 11:57Shot by Vanek, saved by Mason
  69. P3 13:36Goal by Parise, unassisted+37 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Suter, Parise, Zucker, Dumba · PHI Streit, Schultz, VandeVelde, White, Bellemare

  70. P3 15:48Shot by Couturier, saved by Dubnyk
  71. P3 16:00Shot by Pominville, saved by Mason
  72. P3 0:00Period end
  73. OT 0:00Period start
  74. OT 0:25Shot by Parise, saved by Mason3v3
  75. OT 0:27Shot by Granlund, saved by Mason3v3
  76. OT 0:46Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Mason3v3
  77. OT 1:16Shot by Voracek, saved by Dubnyk3v3
  78. OT 2:00Shot by Vanek, saved by Mason3v3
  79. OT 3:10Shot by Couturier, saved by Dubnyk3v3
  80. OT 3:48Shot by Koivu, saved by Mason3v3
  81. OT 4:04Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Dubnyk3v3
  82. OT 4:23Goal by Del Zotto (Voracek, Giroux)3v3+48 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Scandella, Zucker, Granlund · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Del Zotto

  83. OT 4:23Period end
  84. OT 4:23Final