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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 10, 2016·MTS Centre, Winnipeg

Buffalo Sabres 4, Winnipeg Jets 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 52% of the time.

WPG winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WPG forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

McGinn–O'Reilly–KaneGionta–Foligno–LarssonGirgensons–Reinhart–EichelLegwand–Moulson–SchallerGionta–Kane–LarssonBogosian–McCabeGorges–RistolainenFranson–WeberFranson–BogosianGorges–FransonWeber–Ristolainen
Wheeler–Stafford–Little4:050.17–0.063:510.49–0.084:140.22–0.050:390.03–0.000:570.00–0.004:340.24–0.108:570.49–0.100:580.18–0.000:390.00–0.00
Ladd–Burmistrov–Lowry5:460.06–0.152:260.02–0.071:460.01–0.030:440.17–0.003:320.17–0.153:000.06–0.073:210.05–0.000:420.03–0.03
Thorburn–Perreault–Ehlers2:150.04–0.012:310.01–0.003:080.29–0.190:490.00–0.113:070.02–0.001:160.12–0.023:410.20–0.320:530.02–0.001:020.00–0.01
Peluso–Armia–Copp0:320.00–0.022:440.04–0.003:380.08–0.000:380.00–0.03
Enstrom–Myers11:100.25–0.160:530.17–0.001:560.10–0.000:350.00–0.001:020.17–0.005:180.37–0.157:440.30–0.002:060.03–0.001:570.03–0.25
Byfuglien–Trouba1:140.00–0.064:270.30–0.077:590.33–0.240:430.00–0.004:290.08–0.005:030.33–0.183:440.08–0.181:010.18–0.030:390.00–0.00
Stuart–Chiarot0:320.00–0.044:320.06–0.133:290.04–0.145:400.05–0.091:590.06–0.112:200.03–0.110:360.00–0.04
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBurmistrov FLadd FLowry FStafford FLittle FWheeler FThorburn FEhlers FPerreault FArmia FCopp FPeluso FEnstrom DMyers DByfuglien DTrouba DStuart DChiarot DHellebuyck GKane FMcGinn FO'Reilly FGionta FLarsson FFoligno FReinhart FEichel FGirgensons FMoulson FSchaller FLegwand FMcCabe DBogosian DGorges DRistolainen DWeber DFranson DUllmark G
WPGBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF3226:300:501:53410
Dustin ByfuglienWPG2825:590:562:0725
Zach BogosianBUF3323:230:431:3822
Bryan LittleWPG3223:000:431:2576
Tyler MyersWPG2822:490:491:49114
Blake WheelerWPG3022:090:441:2385
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2622:060:511:23310
Evander KaneBUF2621:320:501:3428
Drew StaffordWPG2921:100:441:2365
Josh GorgesBUF3320:500:381:27312
Toby EnstromWPG2720:370:461:23105
Jacob TroubaWPG2620:150:471:2027
Jake McCabeBUF2518:410:451:3132
Andrew LaddWPG2618:400:431:2945
Sam ReinhartBUF1918:400:591:5543
Jamie McGinnBUF2117:490:511:4936
Jack EichelBUF1817:130:571:5163
Alexander BurmistrovWPG2416:490:421:1624
Johan LarssonBUF2116:230:471:2032
Adam LowryWPG2416:030:401:0225
Mathieu PerreaultWPG2015:550:481:4160
Brian GiontaBUF2215:360:431:3232
Cody FransonBUF2414:580:371:2622
Mark StuartWPG1914:550:471:2514
Nikolaj EhlersWPG1913:500:441:3650
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1813:290:451:1733
Marcus FolignoBUF1913:230:421:0931
Ben ChiarotWPG1712:460:451:4311
Chris ThorburnWPG1912:290:391:2850
Mike WeberBUF2110:350:300:5112
Matt MoulsonBUF129:040:451:1620
David LegwandBUF138:550:411:1622
Tim SchallerBUF107:380:461:1620
Joel ArmiaWPG87:090:541:2501
Anthony PelusoWPG76:060:521:2501
Andrew CoppWPG75:340:481:2301