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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 12, 2016·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul

Buffalo Sabres 3, Minnesota Wild 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 59% of the time.

MIN winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:16Shot by Kane, saved by Dubnyk
  3. P1 3:26Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Dubnyk
  4. P1 4:24Shot by Vanek, saved by Ullmark
  5. P1 7:23Shot by Bogosian, saved by Dubnyk
  6. P1 7:41Shot by Vanek, saved by Ullmark
  7. P1 8:09Shot by Vanek, saved by Ullmark
  8. P1 9:04Shot by Eichel, saved by Dubnyk
  9. P1 9:35Shot by McGinn, saved by Dubnyk
  10. P1 9:37Goal by McGinn (Kane, O'Reilly)+20 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Pominville, Suter, Spurgeon, Granlund, Niederreiter · BUF McGinn, Bogosian, O'Reilly, Kane, McCabe

  11. P1 11:00Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Ullmark
  12. P1 13:33Shot by Haula, saved by Ullmark
  13. P1 14:14Shot by McGinn, saved by Dubnyk
  14. P1 15:04Shot by Reinhart, saved by Dubnyk
  15. P1 16:03Shot by Granlund, saved by Ullmark
  16. P1 16:20Shot by Granlund, saved by Ullmark
  17. P1 16:45Shot by Suter, saved by Ullmark
  18. P1 16:57Shot by Haula, saved by Ullmark
  19. P1 17:30Goal by Ristolainen (Gionta)+15 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Parise, Scandella, Zucker, Dumba · BUF Gionta, Gorges, Foligno, Larsson, Ristolainen

  20. P1 17:39Shot by Gionta, saved by Dubnyk
  21. P1 17:50Goal by Gionta (Gorges, Foligno)+8 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Parise, Scandella, Zucker, Dumba · BUF Gionta, Gorges, Foligno, Larsson, Ristolainen

  22. P1 18:30Reinhart: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Stoll, Suter, Porter, Spurgeon, Haula · BUF Legwand, Moulson, Franson, Weber, Schaller

  23. P1 19:42Shot by Vanek, saved by Ullmark5v4
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 1:58Shot by Pominville, saved by Ullmark
  27. P2 3:01Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Ullmark
  28. P2 3:43Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Ullmark
  29. P2 4:08Shot by Reilly, saved by Ullmark
  30. P2 4:32Shot by Coyle, saved by Ullmark
  31. P2 5:40Shot by Porter, saved by Ullmark
  32. P2 9:01Shot by Kane, saved by Dubnyk
  33. P2 10:06Shot by Stoll, saved by Ullmark
  34. P2 10:18Shot by Dumba, saved by Ullmark
  35. P2 11:07Shot by Granlund, saved by Ullmark
  36. P2 11:17Shot by Suter, saved by Ullmark
  37. P2 12:31Vanek: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Pominville, Vanek, Coyle, Brodin, Dumba · BUF Franson, Weber, Girgensons, Reinhart, Eichel

  38. P2 12:57Goal by Suter (Haula, Spurgeon)4v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Stoll, Suter, Haula, Brodin · BUF McGinn, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  39. P2 14:29Shot by Bogosian, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  40. P2 14:52Shot by Girgensons, saved by Dubnyk
  41. P2 14:55Shot by Schaller, saved by Dubnyk
  42. P2 16:19Shot by Coyle, saved by Ullmark
  43. P2 17:16Shot by Foligno, saved by Dubnyk
  44. P2 18:00Shot by Zucker, saved by Ullmark
  45. P2 18:02Shot by Zucker, saved by Ullmark
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:29Shot by Foligno, saved by Dubnyk
  49. P3 2:44Shot by Moulson, saved by Dubnyk
  50. P3 4:24Shot by Parise, saved by Ullmark
  51. P3 4:58Dubnyk: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Vanek, Scandella, Coyle, Granlund, Reilly · BUF Legwand, Bogosian, McCabe, Reinhart, Eichel

  52. P3 6:32Shot by Kane, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  53. P3 9:57Shot by Zucker, saved by Ullmark
  54. P3 11:25Shot by Gionta, saved by Dubnyk
  55. P3 12:27Shot by Eichel, saved by Dubnyk
  56. P3 12:57Shot by Reinhart, saved by Dubnyk
  57. P3 17:14Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Dubnyk
  58. P3 17:30Shot by Koivu, saved by Ullmark
  59. P3 19:08Goal by Vanek (Suter, Granlund)6v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Vanek, Suter, Parise, Granlund, Dumba · BUF Gionta, Gorges, O'Reilly, Girgensons, Ristolainen

  60. P3 19:22Shot by Parise, saved by Ullmark6v5
  61. P3 19:42Shot by Granlund, saved by Ullmark6v5
  62. P3 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Final