Tue, Jan 12, 2016·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Buffalo Sabres 3, Minnesota Wild 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 59% of the time.
30%
10%
11%
48%
MIN winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:16 | 0.01 | 48.9% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 21:45 | 0.12 | 60.6% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:26 | 0.06 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:47 | 0.14 | 63.6% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:30 | 0.00 | 54.7% | +8.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:17 | 0.00 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:05 | 1.18 | 60.9% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:59 | 0.12 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:10 | 0.03 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:08 | 0.31 | 47.2% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:51 | 0.09 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:38 | 0.00 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:07 | 0.15 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:49 | 0.04 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 13:18 | 0.01 | 48.7% | +8.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:30 | 0.00 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:23 | 0.02 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:01 | 0.00 | 59.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 1.90 | −0.1 | 60:00 |
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 28:09 | 0.05 | 44.5% | +10.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 23:48 | 0.07 | 44.5% | +6.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:08 | 0.31 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:44 | 0.03 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20:07 | 0.07 | 24.4% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:50 | 0.00 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 16:59 | 0.47 | 63.7% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:29 | 0.04 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:13 | 0.02 | 39.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:03 | 0.16 | 63.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 15:02 | 0.19 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:01 | 0.02 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:20 | 0.01 | 19.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:51 | 0.04 | 88.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:44 | 0.00 | 6.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:25 | 0.23 | 90.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:53 | 0.18 | 58.1% | +6.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:35 | 0.00 | 75.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 1.57 | −1.4 | 57:39 |