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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 16, 2016·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

New York Rangers 3, Philadelphia Flyers 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 66% of the time.

PHI winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:59Shot by Girardi, saved by Mason
  3. P1 2:28Shot by Umberger, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 2:34Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Lundqvist
  5. P1 3:21Shot by Miller, saved by Mason
  6. P1 3:58Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Lundqvist
  7. P1 3:58Goal by Schenn (Couturier, Raffl)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Schenn, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Raffl, Medvedev · NYR Klein, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider, Fast

  8. P1 4:06Shot by Lindberg, saved by Mason
  9. P1 4:44Voracek: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Gostisbehere, Medvedev · NYR Klein, McDonagh, Lindberg, Hayes, Fast

  10. P1 5:04Shot by Kreider, saved by Mason4v5
  11. P1 6:09Shot by Nash, saved by Mason4v5
  12. P1 6:40Shot by Kreider, saved by Mason4v5
  13. P1 6:44Shot by Staal, saved by Mason
  14. P1 5:05Shot by Kreider, saved by Mason4v5
  15. P1 6:56Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Lundqvist
  16. P1 7:31Shot by Hayes, saved by Mason
  17. P1 9:11Shot by Nash, saved by Mason
  18. P1 9:43Shot by Yandle, saved by Mason
  19. P1 10:39Shot by Laughton, saved by Lundqvist
  20. P1 11:22Shot by Schenn, saved by Lundqvist
  21. P1 12:19Shot by Schultz, saved by Lundqvist
  22. P1 13:24Shot by Read, saved by Lundqvist
  23. P1 14:23Raffl: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Del Zotto, Schenn, Gudas, Couturier, Raffl · NYR Nash, Staal, Girardi, Stepan, Kreider

  24. P1 15:16Shot by Stepan, saved by Mason4v5
  25. P1 15:37Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Mason4v5
  26. P1 16:08Goal by Miller (McDonagh, Lundqvist)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: PHI White, Giroux, Del Zotto, Medvedev · NYR Nash, Yandle, McDonagh, Hayes, Miller

  27. P1 17:03Shot by Gudas, saved by Lundqvist
  28. P1 17:45Shot by Staal, saved by Mason
  29. P1 17:50Shot by Giroux, saved by Lundqvist
  30. P1 18:35Shot by Raffl, saved by Lundqvist
  31. P1 19:00Shot by McDonagh, saved by Mason
  32. P1 0:00Period end
  33. P2 0:00Period start
  34. P2 2:19Shot by Fast, saved by Mason
  35. P2 4:30Shot by Bellemare, saved by Lundqvist
  36. P2 4:49Goal by Kreider (Nash, Stepan)+24 pts WP

    On ice: PHI VandeVelde, White, Gostisbehere, Bellemare, Medvedev · NYR Nash, Staal, Girardi, Stepan, Kreider

  37. P2 7:57Shot by Voracek, saved by Lundqvist
  38. P2 8:03Voracek: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Streit, Schultz, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds · NYR Boyle, Yandle, Brassard, Zuccarello, Miller

  39. P2 8:03Boyle: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PHI Streit, Schultz, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds · NYR Boyle, Yandle, Brassard, Zuccarello, Miller

  40. P2 8:18Shot by Nash, saved by Mason4v4
  41. P2 9:39Moore: Holding the stick (2 min)4v4

    On ice: PHI Streit, Giroux, Read, Gostisbehere · NYR Moore, Staal, Girardi, Fast

  42. P2 10:17Shot by Voracek, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  43. P2 10:26Shot by Giroux, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  44. P2 10:43Shot by Voracek, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  45. P2 13:14Stepan: Delaying game (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Streit, Schultz, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds · NYR Nash, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider

  46. P2 14:09Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  47. P2 14:58Shot by Couturier, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  48. P2 17:03Shot by Bellemare, saved by Lundqvist
  49. P2 17:19Shot by McDonagh, saved by Mason
  50. P2 17:36Shot by Giroux, saved by Lundqvist
  51. P2 18:52Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Lundqvist
  52. P2 19:08Shot by Couturier, saved by Lundqvist
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:02Shot by Nash, saved by Mason
  56. P3 0:20Shot by Nash, saved by Mason
  57. P3 2:57Shot by Stalberg, saved by Mason
  58. P3 3:41Shot by Raffl, saved by Lundqvist
  59. P3 4:32Shot by Schultz, saved by Lundqvist
  60. P3 4:43Shot by Simmonds, saved by Lundqvist
  61. P3 5:02Medvedev: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Gostisbehere, Medvedev · NYR Girardi, McDonagh, Zuccarello, Lindberg, Hayes

  62. P3 7:24Shot by Lindberg, saved by Mason
  63. P3 7:31Shot by Stalberg, saved by Mason
  64. P3 8:08Shot by Voracek, saved by Lundqvist
  65. P3 9:15Stepan: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PHI White, Del Zotto, Schenn, Gudas, Couturier, Raffl · NYR Boyle, Staal, Brassard, Zuccarello, Miller

  66. P3 9:51Shot by Voracek, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  67. P3 10:05Shot by Simmonds, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  68. P3 10:33Goal by Simmonds (Voracek, Giroux)5v4+32 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere · NYR Nash, Girardi, Stalberg, McDonagh

  69. P3 11:24Shot by Read, saved by Lundqvist
  70. P3 13:39Shot by Girardi, saved by Mason
  71. P3 14:20Shot by Klein, saved by Mason
  72. P3 14:34Shot by Simmonds, saved by Lundqvist
  73. P3 15:54Shot by Umberger, saved by Lundqvist
  74. P3 16:42Shot by Lindberg, saved by Mason
  75. P3 19:04Shot by Nash, saved by Mason
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. OT 0:00Period start
  78. OT 0:36Shot by Stepan, saved by Mason3v3
  79. OT 0:45Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Mason3v3
  80. OT 1:15Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Lundqvist3v3
  81. OT 4:08Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Lundqvist3v3
  82. OT 4:14Shot by Read, saved by Lundqvist3v3
  83. OT 4:49Gostisbehere: High sticking (2 min)3v3

    On ice: PHI Simmonds, Couturier, Gostisbehere · NYR Brassard, McDonagh, Zuccarello

  84. OT 5:00Period end
  85. SO Period start
  86. SO Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Lundqvistother
  87. SO Goal by Zuccarello, unassistedother
  88. SO Shot by Giroux, saved by Lundqvistother
  89. SO Shot by Boyle, saved by Masonother
  90. SO Period end
  91. SO Final