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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 16, 2016·TD Garden, Boston

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Boston Bruins 3

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Final

Home

Boston Bruins

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 67% of the time.

BOS winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:45Goal by Bergeron (Krug, Miller)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Bergeron, Marchand, Connolly, Miller, Krug · TOR Hunwick, Komarov, Grabner, Kadri, Rielly

  3. P1 3:01Shot by Marchand, saved by Bernier
  4. P1 3:09Shot by Krug, saved by Bernier
  5. P1 3:09Shot by Connolly, saved by Bernier
  6. P1 3:09Marchand: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Bergeron, Marchand, Connolly, Miller, Krug · TOR Parenteau, Hunwick, Matthias, Gardiner, Bozak

  7. P1 3:09Gardiner: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Bergeron, Marchand, Connolly, Miller, Krug · TOR Parenteau, Hunwick, Matthias, Gardiner, Bozak

  8. P1 3:26Shot by Komarov, saved by Rask4v4
  9. P1 4:19Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Rask4v4
  10. P1 4:31Shot by Kadri, saved by Rask4v4
  11. P1 4:31Goal by Komarov (Kadri, Phaneuf)4v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Eriksson, Spooner, Miller, Morrow · TOR Phaneuf, Komarov, Kadri, Marincin

  12. P1 4:53Shot by Morrow, saved by Bernier4v4
  13. P1 5:17Shot by Chara, saved by Bernier
  14. P1 6:39Shot by Parenteau, saved by Rask
  15. P1 7:56Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Bernier
  16. P1 8:04Shot by Trotman, saved by Bernier
  17. P1 8:09Shot by Trotman, saved by Bernier
  18. P1 9:25Clune: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BOS Seidenberg, Talbot, Rinaldo, Ferraro, Morrow · TOR Phaneuf, Clune, Gardiner, Froese, Leivo

  19. P1 9:25Rinaldo: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: BOS Seidenberg, Talbot, Rinaldo, Ferraro, Morrow · TOR Phaneuf, Clune, Gardiner, Froese, Leivo

  20. P1 10:36Shot by Komarov, saved by Rask5v6
  21. P1 10:36Seidenberg: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BOS Chara, Eriksson, Beleskey, Spooner, Trotman · TOR Parenteau, Phaneuf, Polak, Komarov, Grabner, Kadri

  22. P1 10:46Shot by Lupul, saved by Rask4v5
  23. P1 11:12Shot by Lupul, saved by Rask4v5
  24. P1 11:13Shot by Holland, saved by Rask4v5
  25. P1 11:11Shot by Komarov, saved by Rask4v5
  26. P1 12:16Shot by Bozak, saved by Rask4v5
  27. P1 14:02Shot by Hayes, saved by Bernier
  28. P1 14:29Shot by Hayes, saved by Bernier
  29. P1 14:38Shot by Kemppainen, saved by Bernier
  30. P1 15:14Shot by Marchand, saved by Bernier
  31. P1 15:50Shot by Kadri, saved by Rask
  32. P1 16:26Shot by Morrow, saved by Bernier
  33. P1 16:26Shot by Spooner, saved by Bernier
  34. P1 16:26Shot by Spooner, saved by Bernier
  35. P1 16:47Shot by Eriksson, saved by Bernier
  36. P1 17:20Marchand: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Bergeron, Marchand, Connolly, Miller, Krug · TOR Boyes, Lupul, Hunwick, Holland, Rielly

  37. P1 18:52Shot by Eriksson, saved by Bernier4v5
  38. P1 19:34Shot by Matthias, saved by Rask
  39. P1 0:00Period end
  40. P2 0:00Period start
  41. P2 0:39Goal by Bergeron (Chara, Trotman)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Chara, Bergeron, Marchand, Connolly, Trotman · TOR Hunwick, Matthias, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly

  42. P2 1:26Shot by Eriksson, saved by Bernier
  43. P2 2:27Shot by Froese, saved by Rask
  44. P2 3:37Shot by Marchand, saved by Bernier
  45. P2 3:43Shot by Krug, saved by Bernier
  46. P2 3:56Shot by Miller, saved by Bernier
  47. P2 4:36Shot by Beleskey, saved by Bernier
  48. P2 5:15Shot by Chara, saved by Bernier
  49. P2 5:31Shot by Parenteau, saved by Rask
  50. P2 5:46Shot by Eriksson, saved by Bernier
  51. P2 6:07Shot by Clune, saved by Rask
  52. P2 6:12Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Rask
  53. P2 9:45Shot by Morrow, saved by Bernier
  54. P2 9:59Shot by Vatrano, saved by Bernier
  55. P2 10:41Trotman: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Chara, Eriksson, Beleskey, Spooner, Trotman · TOR Phaneuf, Hunwick, Komarov, Grabner, Kadri

  56. P2 11:33Shot by Gardiner, saved by Rask4v5
  57. P2 12:30Shot by Lupul, saved by Rask4v5
  58. P2 17:16Goal by Matthias (Bozak)+26 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Chara, Bergeron, Marchand, Connolly, Trotman · TOR Parenteau, Hunwick, Matthias, Bozak, Rielly

  59. P2 18:39Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Bernier
  60. P2 19:01Shot by Bergeron, saved by Bernier
  61. P2 19:29Chara: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Chara, Seidenberg, Bergeron, Marchand, Connolly · TOR Hunwick, Komarov, Grabner, Kadri, Rielly

  62. P2 19:47Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Rask4v5
  63. P2 19:56Shot by Talbot, saved by Bernier4v5
  64. P2 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Period start
  66. P3 0:41Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Rask4v5
  67. P3 2:27Shot by Gardiner, saved by Rask
  68. P3 2:44Shot by Marchand, saved by Bernier
  69. P3 3:29Shot by Vatrano, saved by Bernier
  70. P3 4:19Shot by Polak, saved by Rask
  71. P3 4:29Shot by Komarov, saved by Rask
  72. P3 6:14Shot by Leivo, saved by Rask
  73. P3 6:45Shot by Chara, saved by Bernier
  74. P3 7:19Hunwick: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Bergeron, Marchand, Connolly, Trotman, Krug · TOR Boyes, Lupul, Phaneuf, Hunwick, Holland

  75. P3 7:44Shot by Spooner, saved by Bernier5v4
  76. P3 8:12Shot by Bergeron, saved by Bernier5v4
  77. P3 8:14Shot by Bergeron, saved by Bernier5v4
  78. P3 11:48Shot by Rielly, saved by Rask
  79. P3 12:14Shot by Marchand, saved by Bernier
  80. P3 12:18Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Bernier
  81. P3 12:21Shot by Morrow, saved by Bernier
  82. P3 12:37Hayes: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Hayes, Miller, Krug, Vatrano, Kemppainen · TOR Boyes, Lupul, Polak, Holland, Marincin

  83. P3 14:53Shot by Hayes, saved by Bernier
  84. P3 15:38Shot by Spooner, saved by Bernier
  85. P3 15:47Shot by Kadri, saved by Rask
  86. P3 15:57Shot by Spooner, saved by Bernier
  87. P3 16:12Shot by Kadri, saved by Rask
  88. P3 16:23Shot by Trotman, saved by Bernier
  89. P3 19:13Goal by Marchand, unassisted+47 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Chara, Bergeron, Marchand, Connolly, Trotman · TOR Lupul, Polak, Holland, Froese, Marincin

  90. P3 0:00Parenteau: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BOS Chara, Seidenberg, Eriksson, Bergeron, Marchand · TOR Parenteau, Phaneuf, Komarov, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly

  91. P3 0:00Period end
  92. P3 0:00Final