Sat, Jan 16, 2016·Gila River Arena, Glendale
New Jersey Devils 2, Arizona Coyotes 0
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 91% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 18 | 05 | 13 | 216 |
| ARI | 010 | 015 | 013 | 038 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:52NJDReid BoucherGWGAssists: Lee Stempniak, Travis Zajac · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–0
- P3 0:18NJDKyle PalmieriAssists: Joseph Blandisi, Adam Larsson · Wrist, 0.16 xG2–0
Penalties (11)
- P1 6:28NJDTravis Zajac: Tripping2 min
- P1 10:52ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Elbowing2 min
- P1 14:24NJDAdam Larsson: Cross checking2 min
- P1 16:55ARIKevin Connauton: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 1:12NJDJoseph Blandisi: Roughing2 min
- P2 1:12ARIBrad Richardson: Roughing2 min
- P2 3:04NJDKyle Palmieri: Cross checking2 min
- P2 9:49NJDKyle Palmieri: High sticking2 min
- P2 18:13ARIBrad Richardson: Fighting5 min
- P2 18:13NJDTravis Zajac: Fighting5 min
- P3 6:01NJDSergey Kalinin: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Henrique won the faceoff against Richardson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestHenrique – Palmieri – Blandisi7:05
xG 0.31–0.13 (70%)attempts 4–6goals 1–0
- Ruutu – Kennedy – Kalinin4:25
xG 0.17–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Stempniak – Zajac – Boucher5:22
xG 0.05–0.07 (41%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMoore – Severson4:41
xG 0.11–0.00 (98%)attempts 3–1goals 1–0
- Schlemko – Merrill6:33
xG 0.15–0.16 (49%)attempts 4–10goals 0–0
- Merrill – Severson4:25
xG 0.01–0.22 (5%)attempts 2–7goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestVermette – Boedker – Rieder9:16
xG 0.65–0.25 (72%)attempts 15–3goals 0–2
- Hanzal – Duclair – Domi8:13
xG 0.39–0.20 (66%)attempts 13–4goals 0–0
- Doan – Richardson – Martinook8:42
xG 0.27–0.13 (67%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Gordon – Chipchura – Downie6:03
xG 0.10–0.11 (48%)attempts 7–4goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGrossmann – Stone11:42
xG 0.83–0.19 (81%)attempts 18–5goals 0–0
- Michalek – Connauton10:41
xG 0.42–0.10 (80%)attempts 17–5goals 0–0
- Ekman-Larsson – Murphy14:13
xG 0.31–0.46 (40%)attempts 11–8goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 91% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).