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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 19, 2016·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Philadelphia Flyers 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 52% of the time.

PHI winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:47Shot by Giroux, saved by Reimer
  3. P1 2:25Shot by Bellemare, saved by Reimer
  4. P1 2:34Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Reimer
  5. P1 3:09Shot by Rielly, saved by Mason
  6. P1 3:36Shot by Schultz, saved by Reimer
  7. P1 4:32Shot by Gudas, saved by Reimer
  8. P1 6:40Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Reimer
  9. P1 7:00Shot by Medvedev, saved by Reimer
  10. P1 8:08Shot by Streit, saved by Reimer
  11. P1 8:24Phaneuf: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: PHI Streit, Schultz, Schenn, Couturier, Raffl · TOR Parenteau, Phaneuf, Matthias, Gardiner, Kadri

  12. P1 8:24Schenn: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI Streit, Schultz, Schenn, Couturier, Raffl · TOR Parenteau, Phaneuf, Matthias, Gardiner, Kadri

  13. P1 9:12Lupul: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI VandeVelde, White, Gostisbehere, Bellemare, Medvedev · TOR Boyes, Lupul, Polak, Holland, Marincin

  14. P1 9:26Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Reimer5v4
  15. P1 9:30Shot by Voracek, saved by Reimer5v4
  16. P1 11:06Goal by Read (Medvedev, Couturier)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Streit, Read, Couturier, Laughton, Medvedev · TOR Kadri, Holland, Marincin, Rielly

  17. P1 11:32Shot by Parenteau, saved by Mason
  18. P1 11:57Shot by Bozak, saved by Mason
  19. P1 12:44Shot by Komarov, saved by Mason
  20. P1 12:51Shot by Marincin, saved by Mason
  21. P1 12:58Shot by Gardiner, saved by Mason
  22. P1 13:18Shot by Boyes, saved by Mason
  23. P1 13:19Goal by Polak (Boyes, Holland)+17 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Umberger, Read, Laughton, Gostisbehere, Medvedev · TOR Boyes, Lupul, Polak, Holland, Rielly

  24. P1 14:15Shot by Kadri, saved by Mason
  25. P1 16:34Shot by Bozak, saved by Mason
  26. P1 16:40Shot by Parenteau, saved by Mason
  27. P1 17:13Bellemare: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Streit, Schultz, VandeVelde, White, Bellemare · TOR Phaneuf, Komarov, Grabner, Gardiner, Kadri

  28. P1 19:03Shot by White, saved by Reimer4v5
  29. P1 19:24Shot by Giroux, saved by Reimer
  30. P1 19:35Shot by Winnik, saved by Mason
  31. P1 0:00Period end
  32. P2 0:00Period start
  33. P2 1:15Shot by Bozak, saved by Mason
  34. P2 2:16Shot by Matthias, saved by Mason
  35. P2 5:05Shot by Medvedev, saved by Reimer
  36. P2 5:50Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Reimer
  37. P2 5:52Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Reimer
  38. P2 6:46Shot by Marincin, saved by Mason
  39. P2 7:46Shot by Parenteau, saved by Mason
  40. P2 9:30Shot by Rielly, saved by Mason
  41. P2 9:55Shot by Matthias, saved by Mason
  42. P2 10:17Shot by Hunwick, saved by Mason
  43. P2 10:51Shot by Komarov, saved by Mason
  44. P2 11:16Shot by Bellemare, saved by Reimer
  45. P2 11:16Bellemare: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: PHI VandeVelde, White, Del Zotto, Gudas, Bellemare · TOR Parenteau, Polak, Matthias, Bozak, Rielly

  46. P2 11:16White: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI VandeVelde, White, Del Zotto, Gudas, Bellemare · TOR Parenteau, Polak, Matthias, Bozak, Rielly

  47. P2 11:16Polak: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI VandeVelde, White, Del Zotto, Gudas, Bellemare · TOR Parenteau, Polak, Matthias, Bozak, Rielly

  48. P2 12:49Shot by Holland, saved by Mason4v5
  49. P2 14:11Shot by Winnik, saved by Mason
  50. P2 14:52Shot by Lupul, saved by Mason
  51. P2 15:09Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Mason5v6
  52. P2 15:10Goal by Lupul (Phaneuf, Kadri)5v6+26 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Umberger, Read, Laughton, Gostisbehere, Medvedev · TOR Lupul, Phaneuf, Polak, Komarov, Bozak, Kadri

  53. P2 15:51Shot by Raffl, saved by Reimer
  54. P2 15:56Shot by Couturier, saved by Reimer
  55. P2 16:03Shot by Streit, saved by Reimer
  56. P2 16:18Holland: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Streit, Schultz, Schenn, Couturier, Raffl · TOR Boyes, Lupul, Polak, Holland, Marincin

  57. P2 17:53Shot by Read, saved by Reimer5v4
  58. P2 19:02Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Mason
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 1:17Shot by Giroux, saved by Reimer
  62. P3 2:07Shot by Bozak, saved by Mason
  63. P3 2:26Bellemare: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Streit, White, Read, Bellemare, Medvedev · TOR Parenteau, Polak, Matthias, Bozak, Kadri

  64. P3 3:23Shot by Lupul, saved by Mason4v5
  65. P3 3:49Shot by Matthias, saved by Mason4v5
  66. P3 4:17Shot by Parenteau, saved by Mason4v5
  67. P3 5:14Shot by Kadri, saved by Mason
  68. P3 8:08Shot by Gudas, saved by Reimer
  69. P3 8:30Shot by Matthias, saved by Mason
  70. P3 9:03Shot by Read, saved by Reimer
  71. P3 10:26Shot by Simmonds, saved by Reimer
  72. P3 10:55Shot by Giroux, saved by Reimer
  73. P3 11:18Shot by Matthias, saved by Mason
  74. P3 12:45Shot by Voracek, saved by Reimer
  75. P3 12:59Goal by Gostisbehere, unassisted+36 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Schultz, Voracek, Simmonds, Couturier, Gostisbehere · TOR Boyes, Lupul, Phaneuf, Holland, Rielly

  76. P3 13:08Kadri: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Del Zotto, Schenn, Gudas, Raffl · TOR Polak, Hunwick, Komarov, Grabner, Kadri

  77. P3 17:44Shot by Schultz, saved by Reimer
  78. P3 17:46Shot by Simmonds, saved by Reimer
  79. P3 18:22Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Reimer
  80. P3 18:36Shot by Kadri, saved by Mason
  81. P3 19:14Shot by Giroux, saved by Reimer
  82. P3 19:20Shot by Giroux, saved by Reimer
  83. P3 19:52Goal by Hunwick (Parenteau, Bozak)+48 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Del Zotto, Schenn, Gudas, Couturier, Raffl · TOR Parenteau, Hunwick, Matthias, Bozak, Rielly

  84. P3 0:00Period end
  85. P3 0:00Final