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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 21, 2016·CONSOL Energy Center, Pittsburgh

Philadelphia Flyers 3, Pittsburgh Penguins 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 67% of the time.

PIT winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:30Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Mason
  3. P1 0:52Shot by Gudas, saved by Fleury
  4. P1 1:02Shot by Fehr, saved by Mason
  5. P1 3:18Shot by Crosby, saved by Mason
  6. P1 3:25Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Mason
  7. P1 5:05Shot by Hagelin, saved by Mason
  8. P1 5:40Shot by Crosby, saved by Mason
  9. P1 6:33Shot by Read, saved by Fleury
  10. P1 7:24Shot by Simmonds, saved by Fleury
  11. P1 8:55Shot by Gudas, saved by Fleury
  12. P1 9:26Shot by Raffl, saved by Fleury
  13. P1 9:37Shot by Gagner, saved by Fleury
  14. P1 9:38Cole: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Daley, Fehr, Cole, Rust, Kuhnhackl · PHI Gagner, Schenn, Gostisbehere, Raffl, Medvedev

  15. P1 10:06Shot by Giroux, saved by Fleury4v5
  16. P1 10:16Shot by Simmonds, saved by Fleury4v5
  17. P1 10:17Goal by Schenn (Simmonds, Gostisbehere)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Porter, Letang, Maatta · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere

  18. P1 11:03Shot by Malkin, saved by Mason
  19. P1 12:19Shot by Kuhnhackl, saved by Mason
  20. P1 13:13Shot by Umberger, saved by Fleury
  21. P1 15:39Daley: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Daley, Porter, Cole, Rust · PHI Streit, Schultz, VandeVelde, White, Bellemare

  22. P1 15:51Goal by Voracek (Giroux, Gostisbehere)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Fehr, Lovejoy, Cole, Hagelin · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere

  23. P1 19:39Shot by Crosby, saved by Mason
  24. P1 19:45White: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Hornqvist, Lovejoy, Maatta · PHI Streit, Schultz, VandeVelde, White, Giroux

  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:41Shot by Kessel, saved by Mason5v4
  28. P2 1:40Goal by Daley (Maatta, Kunitz)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Daley, Kunitz, Fehr, Maatta, Sheary · PHI VandeVelde, Del Zotto, Bellemare, Medvedev

  29. P2 2:10Shot by Lovejoy, saved by Mason
  30. P2 2:34Shot by Rust, saved by Mason
  31. P2 3:10Shot by Read, saved by Fleury
  32. P2 3:25Shot by Daley, saved by Mason
  33. P2 3:55Shot by Kessel, saved by Mason
  34. P2 4:08Shot by Cole, saved by Mason
  35. P2 5:06Shot by Raffl, saved by Fleury
  36. P2 6:02Shot by Cole, saved by Mason
  37. P2 6:14Shot by Umberger, saved by Fleury
  38. P2 6:24Shot by White, saved by Fleury
  39. P2 7:29Goal by Crosby (Kunitz, Hornqvist)+24 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Maatta · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Del Zotto, Gudas

  40. P2 7:39Shot by Maatta, saved by Mason
  41. P2 8:19Shot by Letang, saved by Mason
  42. P2 9:59Malkin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Daley, Malkin, Kessel, Cole, Hagelin · PHI Gagner, Schenn, Gostisbehere, Raffl, Medvedev

  43. P2 10:56Shot by Fehr, saved by Mason4v5
  44. P2 12:57VandeVelde: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Letang, Kessel, Hagelin, Maatta · PHI Streit, VandeVelde, White, Del Zotto, Bellemare

  45. P2 14:06Goal by Kessel (Crosby, Hornqvist)5v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel · PHI White, Del Zotto, Bellemare, Medvedev

  46. P2 14:18Shot by Read, saved by Fleury
  47. P2 14:24Shot by Umberger, saved by Fleury
  48. P2 15:48Raffl: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Kessel, Lovejoy, Hagelin, Dumoulin · PHI Gagner, Del Zotto, Schenn, Gudas, Raffl

  49. P2 15:59Shot by Bellemare, saved by Fleury5v4
  50. P2 16:04Shot by Gudas, saved by Fleury5v4
  51. P2 16:41Shot by Letang, saved by Mason5v4
  52. P2 16:46Crosby: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel · PHI Schultz, VandeVelde, Gudas, Bellemare

  53. P2 17:15Shot by Hagelin, saved by Mason4v4
  54. P2 17:16Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Mason4v4
  55. P2 17:21Shot by Letang, saved by Mason4v4
  56. P2 18:12Shot by Giroux, saved by Fleury4v5
  57. P2 19:55Kessel: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Daley, Malkin, Kessel, Hagelin, Dumoulin, Maatta · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Del Zotto, Gudas

  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:23Shot by Porter, saved by Mason4v5
  61. P3 1:03Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Fleury4v5
  62. P3 1:21Shot by Simmonds, saved by Fleury4v5
  63. P3 1:54Shot by Umberger, saved by Fleury4v5
  64. P3 2:30Gudas: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Daley, Kunitz, Crosby, Hornqvist, Cole · PHI Umberger, Gagner, Del Zotto, Gudas, Read

  65. P3 3:15Shot by Crosby, saved by Mason5v4
  66. P3 4:52Shot by Lovejoy, saved by Mason
  67. P3 5:58Shot by Kessel, saved by Mason
  68. P3 6:20Goal by Kessel (Hagelin, Lovejoy)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Malkin, Kessel, Lovejoy, Hagelin, Dumoulin · PHI Gagner, Del Zotto, Schenn, Gudas, Raffl

  69. P3 7:01Shot by Fehr, saved by Mason
  70. P3 7:27Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Mason
  71. P3 7:28Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Mason
  72. P3 7:58Shot by Letang, saved by Mason
  73. P3 8:12Shot by Hagelin, saved by Mason
  74. P3 8:24Shot by Kessel, saved by Mason
  75. P3 8:43Shot by Cole, saved by Mason
  76. P3 9:06Shot by Rust, saved by Mason
  77. P3 9:23Shot by Cole, saved by Mason
  78. P3 9:24Shot by Hagelin, saved by Mason
  79. P3 9:47Shot by Simmonds, saved by Fleury
  80. P3 10:29Shot by Gagner, saved by Fleury
  81. P3 11:42Shot by Streit, saved by Fleury
  82. P3 11:58Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Mason
  83. P3 12:02Shot by Letang, saved by Mason
  84. P3 12:23Shot by Hagelin, saved by Mason
  85. P3 15:41Dumoulin: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Fehr, Lovejoy, Dumoulin, Rust, Kuhnhackl · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Gostisbehere, Medvedev

  86. P3 16:35Goal by Giroux (Voracek, Schenn)4v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Fehr, Lovejoy, Cole, Hagelin · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere

  87. P3 16:58Shot by Read, saved by Fleury
  88. P3 17:27Shot by Gagner, saved by Fleury
  89. P3 17:51Shot by Giroux, saved by Fleury
  90. P3 18:02Shot by Gagner, saved by Fleury
  91. P3 18:25Shot by Cullen, saved by Mason
  92. P3 19:25Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Fleury5v6
  93. P3 0:00Period end
  94. P3 0:00Final