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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 23, 2016·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

Anaheim Ducks 4, Detroit Red Wings 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Anaheim Ducks win this game 67% of the time.

DET winsANA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:08Shot by Lindholm, saved by Howard
  3. P1 1:10Goal by Helm (Smith, Green)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Datsyuk, Green, Helm, Smith, Nyquist · ANA Bieksa, Perry, Maroon, Rakell, Theodore

  4. P1 1:28Shot by Stewart, saved by Howard
  5. P1 2:37Shot by Pulkkinen, saved by Gibson
  6. P1 3:28Shot by Silfverberg, saved by Howard
  7. P1 3:31DeKeyser: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Datsyuk, Quincey, Abdelkader, DeKeyser, Larkin · ANA Bieksa, Kesler, Cogliano, Silfverberg, Theodore

  8. P1 3:39Shot by Theodore, saved by Howard4v5
  9. P1 4:30Shot by Vatanen, saved by Howard4v5
  10. P1 5:15Shot by Kesler, saved by Howard4v5
  11. P1 5:22Shot by Lindholm, saved by Howard4v5
  12. P1 5:56Shot by Smith, saved by Gibson
  13. P1 6:01Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Gibson
  14. P1 7:26Goal by Kesler (Silfverberg, Cogliano)+16 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Green, Abdelkader, Smith, Larkin · ANA Bieksa, Kesler, Cogliano, Silfverberg, Vatanen

  15. P1 8:40Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Gibson
  16. P1 9:50Smith: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Green, Abdelkader, Smith, Larkin · ANA Kesler, Cogliano, Silfverberg, Manson, Lindholm

  17. P1 9:42Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Gibson
  18. P1 11:10Shot by Lindholm, saved by Howard4v5
  19. P1 11:17Shot by Perron, saved by Howard4v5
  20. P1 13:24Shot by Holzer, saved by Howard
  21. P1 15:01Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Gibson
  22. P1 15:09Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Gibson
  23. P1 18:36Goal by Perry (Rakell, Perron)+22 pts WP

    On ice: DET Datsyuk, Ericsson, Helm, Nyquist, Marchenko · ANA Perry, Perron, Vatanen, Manson, Rakell

  24. P1 18:56Shot by Perron, saved by Howard
  25. P1 19:03Perron: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: DET Quincey, Pulkkinen, Jurco, Glendening, DeKeyser · ANA Getzlaf, Stewart, Perron, Vatanen, Manson

  26. P1 19:19Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Gibson5v4
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:15Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Gibson5v4
  30. P2 0:46Shot by Green, saved by Gibson5v4
  31. P2 3:10Shot by Kesler, saved by Howard
  32. P2 4:27Shot by Stewart, saved by Howard
  33. P2 4:25Shot by Perron, saved by Howard
  34. P2 4:40Shot by Helm, saved by Gibson
  35. P2 5:51Shot by Stewart, saved by Howard
  36. P2 6:07Perron: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Richards, Ericsson, Tatar, Sheahan, Marchenko · ANA Bieksa, Getzlaf, Stewart, Perron, Theodore

  37. P2 7:59Shot by Larkin, saved by Gibson5v4
  38. P2 8:11Shot by Pulkkinen, saved by Gibson
  39. P2 8:36Shot by Perry, saved by Howard
  40. P2 9:21Goal by Jurco (Nyquist, Smith)+25 pts WP

    On ice: DET Datsyuk, Green, Smith, Nyquist, Jurco · ANA Horcoff, Getzlaf, Garbutt, Lindholm, Theodore

  41. P2 10:04Shot by Cogliano, saved by Howard
  42. P2 10:20Shot by Cogliano, saved by Howard
  43. P2 10:44Ericsson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Marchenko, Larkin · ANA Kesler, Stewart, Perron, Manson, Lindholm

  44. P2 12:52Green: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: DET Datsyuk, Quincey, Green, Helm, Glendening · ANA Bieksa, Getzlaf, Perry, Rakell, Lindholm

  45. P2 13:04Shot by Rakell, saved by Howard4v5
  46. P2 13:08Shot by Maroon, saved by Howard4v5
  47. P2 13:28Shot by Lindholm, saved by Howard4v5
  48. P2 14:21Shot by Vatanen, saved by Howard4v5
  49. P2 15:01Shot by Green, saved by Gibson
  50. P2 15:08Shot by Smith, saved by Gibson
  51. P2 16:10Shot by Jurco, saved by Gibson
  52. P2 17:28Shot by Quincey, saved by Gibson
  53. P2 18:20Shot by Perry, saved by Howard
  54. P2 19:37Shot by Rakell, saved by Howard
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:29Shot by Stewart, saved by Howard
  58. P3 1:12Shot by Kesler, saved by Howard
  59. P3 2:28Goal by Perry (Rakell, Maroon)+29 pts WP

    On ice: DET Quincey, Abdelkader, Helm, Glendening, DeKeyser · ANA Perry, Maroon, Manson, Rakell, Theodore

  60. P3 2:58Shot by Richards, saved by Gibson
  61. P3 3:03Silfverberg: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DET Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Ericsson, Green, Larkin · ANA Bieksa, Getzlaf, Kesler, Silfverberg, Theodore

  62. P3 6:42Goal by Kesler (Getzlaf, Silfverberg)5v6+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Richards, Green, Smith, Sheahan, Jurco · ANA Bieksa, Getzlaf, Kesler, Perron, Silfverberg, Lindholm

  63. P3 9:18Shot by Perron, saved by Howard
  64. P3 9:47Shot by Sheahan, saved by Gibson
  65. P3 11:00Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Gibson
  66. P3 11:10Shot by Kesler, saved by Howard
  67. P3 12:45Shot by Rakell, saved by Howard
  68. P3 13:22Shot by Holzer, saved by Howard
  69. P3 14:38Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Gibson
  70. P3 15:58Shot by Richards, saved by Gibson
  71. P3 16:33Rakell: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Green, Smith, Nyquist, Tatar, Sheahan · ANA Perry, Holzer, Maroon, Vatanen, Rakell

  72. P3 16:49Shot by Helm, saved by Gibson6v4
  73. P3 18:08Shot by Green, saved by Gibson6v4
  74. P3 18:44Goal by DeKeyser (Pulkkinen, Tatar)6v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: DET Richards, Tatar, Sheahan, Pulkkinen, DeKeyser, Larkin · ANA Getzlaf, Cogliano, Manson, Rakell, Lindholm

  75. P3 18:50Shot by Bieksa, saved by Howard
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final