Mon, Jan 25, 2016·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Arizona Coyotes 2, Minnesota Wild 1 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 62% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 04 | 02 | 117 | 01 | 1 | 224 |
| MIN | 013 | 011 | 111 | 00 | 0 | 135 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P3 10:20MINCharlie CoyleAssists: Nino Niederreiter, Mikko Koivu · Backhand, 0.29 xG0–1
- P3 18:47ARIAntoine VermetteSHAssists: Tobias Rieder · Deflected, 0.01 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. MIN Zach Parise stopped
- 2. ARI Mikkel Boedker stopped
- 3. MIN Mikko Koivu stopped
- 4. ARI Anthony Duclair scored
- 5. MIN Charlie Coyle stopped
Penalties (5)
- P1 15:22ARIMartin Hanzal: Interference2 min
- P2 9:04MINErik Haula: Hooking2 min
- P3 12:38MINMikael Granlund: Hooking2 min
- P3 18:36ARIMartin Hanzal: Roughing2 min
- OT 1:52MINCharlie Coyle: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Richardson won the faceoff against Granlund
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestGordon – Chipchura – Duclair5:00
xG 0.45–0.14 (76%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Gordon – Chipchura – Tikhonov3:59
xG 0.20–0.01 (96%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Hanzal – Duclair – Domi6:20
xG 0.32–0.23 (58%)attempts 11–4goals 0–0
- Doan – Richardson – Martinook9:56
xG 0.12–0.07 (63%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEkman-Larsson – Murphy18:23
xG 0.71–0.23 (76%)attempts 15–13goals 0–0
- Michalek – Tinordi13:10
xG 0.12–0.37 (24%)attempts 7–14goals 0–0
- Stone – Connauton14:48
xG 0.16–0.93 (15%)attempts 13–19goals 0–1
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestKoivu – Coyle – Niederreiter12:58
xG 0.57–0.07 (89%)attempts 15–5goals 1–0
- Pominville – Parise – Granlund15:11
xG 0.69–0.25 (74%)attempts 21–9goals 0–0
- Porter – Haula – Fontaine5:26
xG 0.31–0.16 (66%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
- Stoll – Vanek – Zucker9:47
xG 0.18–0.67 (21%)attempts 6–19goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSuter – Spurgeon21:23
xG 0.76–0.62 (55%)attempts 17–17goals 0–0
- Brodin – Dumba8:58
xG 0.16–0.10 (62%)attempts 8–5goals 0–0
- Scandella – Brodin4:46
xG 0.37–0.32 (54%)attempts 4–8goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 62% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).