Tue, Feb 2, 2016·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Los Angeles Kings 6, Arizona Coyotes 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 67% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 010 | 414 | 211 | 635 |
| ARI | 17 | 110 | 09 | 226 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:13ARIJordan MartinookUnassisted · Wrist, 0.01 xG0–1
- P2 3:40LAKJake MuzzinPPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Drew Doughty · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–1
- P2 6:40ARIAnthony DuclairAssists: Max Domi · Wrist, 0.04 xG1–2
- P2 9:57LAKAlec MartinezPPAssists: Drew Doughty, Anze Kopitar · Slap, 0.03 xG2–2
- P2 18:47LAKMarian GaborikGWGAssists: Dwight King · Wrist, 0.03 xG3–2
- P2 18:59LAKDustin BrownAssists: Milan Lucic, Luke Schenn · Slap, 0.02 xG4–2
- P3 3:08LAKDustin BrownAssists: Jake Muzzin, Nicholas Shore · Wrist, 0.02 xG5–2
- P3 7:30LAKVincent LecavalierPPAssists: Alec Martinez, Jamie McBain · Tip-in, 0.21 xG6–2
Penalties (14)
- P1 8:55LAKJamie McBain: Interference2 min
- P1 18:15ARIMax Domi: Roughing2 min
- P1 18:15LAKLuke Schenn: Charging2 min
- P1 18:15LAKLuke Schenn: Roughing2 min
- P1 19:25ARIShane Doan: Boarding2 min
- P2 2:48ARIConnor Murphy: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P2 9:08ARITobias Rieder: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 10:44ARIMax Domi: High sticking2 min
- P2 13:30LAKLuke Schenn: Cross checking2 min
- P3 4:11ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Hooking2 min
- P3 6:43ARIMichael Stone: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 10:16LAKMilan Lucic: Slashing2 min
- P3 11:20ARIAnthony Duclair: Hooking2 min
- P3 12:56LAKJake Muzzin: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Richardson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestBrown – Kopitar – Lucic7:56
xG 0.45–0.18 (71%)attempts 11–9goals 2–0
- Gaborik – Kopitar – Lucic3:00
xG 0.29–0.05 (86%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
- Carter – Toffoli – Pearson4:13
xG 0.20–0.03 (89%)attempts 6–4goals 0–1
- King – Nolan – Shore4:12
xG 0.12–0.02 (87%)attempts 5–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestDoughty – McNabb12:22
xG 0.75–0.18 (81%)attempts 18–11goals 0–0
- McBain – Muzzin9:46
xG 0.54–0.09 (85%)attempts 12–6goals 0–1
- Muzzin – Doughty3:43
xG 0.29–0.01 (97%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- Doan – Richardson – Martinook7:43
xG 0.30–0.46 (39%)attempts 10–8goals 1–0
- Hanzal – Duclair – Domi11:08
xG 0.25–0.51 (32%)attempts 11–13goals 1–0
- Gordon – Chipchura – Tikhonov6:52
xG 0.12–0.41 (22%)attempts 4–9goals 0–1
- Vermette – Boedker – Rieder9:32
xG 0.17–0.54 (24%)attempts 9–13goals 0–2
Defence pairs
- Grossmann – Stone10:19
xG 0.07–0.40 (14%)attempts 8–14goals 0–1
- Ekman-Larsson – Murphy16:12
xG 0.36–0.81 (31%)attempts 18–17goals 0–0
- Michalek – Connauton10:10
xG 0.23–0.77 (23%)attempts 7–15goals 1–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 67% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).