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Ice Lab

Wed, Feb 3, 2016·Centre Bell, Montreal

Buffalo Sabres 4, Montréal Canadiens 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 53% of the time.

MTL winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:57Shot by Gallagher, saved by Lehner
  3. P1 0:47Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Lehner
  4. P1 3:26Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Lehner
  5. P1 3:59Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Lehner
  6. P1 4:50Shot by Flynn, saved by Lehner
  7. P1 4:56Shot by Petry, saved by Lehner
  8. P1 5:10Goal by Foligno (Girgensons, Franson)+20 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Emelin, Desharnais, Petry, Pacioretty, Weise · BUF Franson, Foligno, Girgensons, McCabe, Eichel

  9. P1 5:40Shot by Flynn, saved by Lehner
  10. P1 6:54Shot by Pysyk, saved by Condon
  11. P1 9:00Deslauriers: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Gilbert, Mitchell, Gallagher, Beaulieu, Flynn · BUF Franson, McGinn, O'Reilly, Pysyk, McCabe, Reinhart

  12. P1 9:03Shot by Legwand, saved by Condon5v4
  13. P1 9:46Shot by Plekanec, saved by Lehner5v4
  14. P1 10:06Shot by Subban, saved by Lehner5v4
  15. P1 11:52Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Lehner
  16. P1 14:46Shot by Reinhart, saved by Condon
  17. P1 14:53Shot by Bogosian, saved by Condon
  18. P1 15:41Shot by Larsson, saved by Condon
  19. P1 15:44Shot by Gionta, saved by Condon
  20. P1 16:01Shot by Kane, saved by Condon
  21. P1 16:17Shot by Weise, saved by Lehner
  22. P1 18:12Shot by Gallagher, saved by Lehner
  23. P1 18:30Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Condon
  24. P1 19:09Shot by Kane, saved by Condon
  25. P1 19:47Shot by Larsson, saved by Condon
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:30Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Condon
  29. P2 2:11Larsson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Plekanec, Gilbert, Gallagher, Beaulieu, Galchenyuk · BUF Gionta, Kane, Larsson, McCabe, Ristolainen

  30. P2 2:27Shot by Subban, saved by Lehner5v4
  31. P2 2:30Shot by Desharnais, saved by Lehner5v4
  32. P2 2:52Shot by Subban, saved by Lehner5v4
  33. P2 3:19Goal by Weise (Pacioretty, Subban)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Markov, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty, Weise · BUF Gionta, Gorges, O'Reilly, Ristolainen

  34. P2 4:08Plekanec: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: MTL Gilbert, Mitchell, Smith-Pelly, Beaulieu, Flynn · BUF McGinn, Bogosian, O'Reilly, Kane, Pysyk, Reinhart

  35. P2 5:00Shot by McGinn, saved by Condon4v5
  36. P2 5:04Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Condon4v5
  37. P2 5:09Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Lehner4v5
  38. P2 7:55Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Lehner
  39. P2 9:52Shot by Kane, saved by Condon
  40. P2 10:12Shot by Bogosian, saved by Condon
  41. P2 10:58Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Lehner
  42. P2 11:04Goal by Galchenyuk (Plekanec)+24 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Markov, Plekanec, Subban, Gallagher, Galchenyuk · BUF Gorges, McGinn, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart

  43. P2 11:34Shot by Mitchell, saved by Lehner
  44. P2 13:27Shot by Gorges, saved by Condon
  45. P2 14:05Shot by Gionta, saved by Condon
  46. P2 15:02Fleischmann: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: MTL Fleischmann, Gilbert, Eller, Smith-Pelly, Beaulieu · BUF Franson, McGinn, O'Reilly, Girgensons, McCabe, Eichel

  47. P2 16:09Shot by Eichel, saved by Condon4v5
  48. P2 17:17Shot by Franson, saved by Condon
  49. P2 17:43Shot by Pysyk, saved by Condon
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 1:29Shot by Plekanec, saved by Lehner
  53. P3 1:35Shot by Girgensons, saved by Condon
  54. P3 2:25Shot by Gionta, saved by Condon
  55. P3 4:33Shot by Gallagher, saved by Lehner
  56. P3 4:39Shot by Plekanec, saved by Lehner
  57. P3 6:05Shot by Mitchell, saved by Lehner
  58. P3 6:41Shot by Kane, saved by Condon
  59. P3 7:00Gilbert: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Gilbert, Desharnais, Pacioretty, Weise, Beaulieu · BUF Gionta, Gorges, Franson, Kane, Larsson

  60. P3 7:34Goal by McGinn (Ristolainen, Eichel)4v5+30 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Markov, Fleischmann, Subban, Flynn · BUF McGinn, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  61. P3 9:37Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Lehner
  62. P3 10:07Shot by Gallagher, saved by Lehner
  63. P3 10:10Shot by Plekanec, saved by Lehner
  64. P3 10:26Shot by Foligno, saved by Condon
  65. P3 11:39Shot by Larsson, saved by Condon
  66. P3 11:43Shot by Franson, saved by Condon
  67. P3 11:46Goal by Larsson (McCabe, Franson)+35 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Plekanec, Gilbert, Mitchell, Beaulieu, Flynn · BUF Gionta, Franson, Kane, Larsson, McCabe

  68. P3 12:01Shot by Markov, saved by Lehner
  69. P3 12:13Shot by McGinn, saved by Condon
  70. P3 13:25Shot by Markov, saved by Lehner
  71. P3 14:00Shot by Gilbert, saved by Lehner
  72. P3 14:24Shot by Beaulieu, saved by Lehner
  73. P3 16:45Shot by Eller, saved by Lehner
  74. P3 18:09Shot by Bogosian, saved by Condon
  75. P3 18:45Shot by Desharnais, saved by Lehner6v5
  76. P3 19:40Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Lehner6v5
  77. P3 19:47Goal by Gionta (O'Reilly)6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Markov, Desharnais, Subban, Pacioretty, Gallagher, Galchenyuk · BUF Gionta, Gorges, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen

  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final