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Ice Lab

Fri, Feb 5, 2016·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 61% of the time.

TBL winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:19Shot by Stralman, saved by Fleury
  3. P1 1:53Shot by Lovejoy, saved by Bishop
  4. P1 2:49Shot by Daley, saved by Bishop
  5. P1 4:53Goal by Hornqvist (Kunitz, Pouliot)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Callahan, Killorn, Garrison, Sustr · PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Hornqvist, Lovejoy, Pouliot

  6. P1 6:28Shot by Wilson, saved by Bishop
  7. P1 7:57Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Bishop
  8. P1 8:03Shot by Letang, saved by Bishop
  9. P1 8:45Shot by Hagelin, saved by Bishop
  10. P1 9:03Shot by Hagelin, saved by Bishop
  11. P1 9:04Shot by Daley, saved by Bishop
  12. P1 9:07Shot by Porter, saved by Bishop
  13. P1 11:50Goal by Stralman (Johnson, Killorn)+21 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov · PIT Cullen, Letang, Kessel, Hagelin, Maatta

  14. P1 13:19Shot by Rust, saved by Bishop
  15. P1 16:30Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Fleury
  16. P1 16:46Shot by Kuhnhackl, saved by Bishop
  17. P1 17:50Shot by Johnson, saved by Fleury
  18. P1 18:34Goal by Killorn (Johnson, Kucherov)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Garrison, Johnson, Kucherov, Sustr · PIT Cullen, Kessel, Lovejoy, Hagelin, Pouliot

  19. P1 18:56Letang: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Coburn, Callahan, Hedman, Brown · PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Maatta

  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:40Shot by Johnson, saved by Fleury5v4
  23. P2 0:48Shot by Garrison, saved by Fleury5v4
  24. P2 0:56Shot by Garrison, saved by Fleury5v4
  25. P2 1:57Shot by Brown, saved by Fleury
  26. P2 4:26Garrison: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Garrison, Johnson, Kucherov · PIT Daley, Kunitz, Crosby, Hornqvist, Dumoulin

  27. P2 4:42Shot by Crosby, saved by Bishop4v5
  28. P2 4:48Shot by Kessel, saved by Bishop4v5
  29. P2 6:04Goal by Palat (Stamkos)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat · PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel

  30. P2 6:14Shot by Coburn, saved by Fleury4v5
  31. P2 7:35Shot by Nesterov, saved by Fleury
  32. P2 7:38Shot by Johnson, saved by Fleury
  33. P2 7:51Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Bishop
  34. P2 7:59Shot by Letang, saved by Bishop
  35. P2 8:04Goal by Crosby (Kunitz, Hornqvist)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Coburn, Callahan, Hedman, Brown · PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Maatta

  36. P2 8:26Shot by Sundqvist, saved by Bishop
  37. P2 9:07Cullen: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Stamkos, Palat, Nesterov, Namestnikov · PIT Cullen, Kessel, Lovejoy, Hagelin, Pouliot

  38. P2 9:15Goal by Johnson (Kucherov, Hedman)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Callahan, Killorn, Johnson, Hedman, Kucherov · PIT Porter, Letang, Hagelin, Maatta

  39. P2 10:27Condra: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Boyle, Condra, Nesterov, Paquette · PIT Letang, Rust, Kuhnhackl, Maatta, Sundqvist

  40. P2 11:06Shot by Kessel, saved by Bishop4v5
  41. P2 11:54Shot by Daley, saved by Bishop4v5
  42. P2 14:01Shot by Kucherov, saved by Zatkoff
  43. P2 17:41Kucherov: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Sustr · PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Kessel, Maatta

  44. P2 18:51Shot by Kessel, saved by Bishop4v5
  45. P2 19:57Shot by Kucherov, saved by Zatkoff
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:48Shot by Callahan, saved by Zatkoff
  49. P3 0:55Goal by Cullen (Kessel)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Callahan, Killorn, Garrison, Johnson, Sustr · PIT Cullen, Daley, Kessel, Hagelin, Dumoulin

  50. P3 2:48Shot by Johnson, saved by Zatkoff
  51. P3 3:56Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Bishop
  52. P3 5:43Shot by Callahan, saved by Zatkoff
  53. P3 5:49Shot by Brown, saved by Zatkoff
  54. P3 6:16Shot by Hedman, saved by Zatkoff
  55. P3 6:57Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Bishop
  56. P3 9:30Shot by Hedman, saved by Zatkoff
  57. P3 10:25Shot by Kessel, saved by Bishop
  58. P3 11:07Shot by Stamkos, saved by Zatkoff
  59. P3 12:40Shot by Porter, saved by Bishop
  60. P3 12:51Shot by Condra, saved by Zatkoff
  61. P3 12:58Shot by Condra, saved by Zatkoff
  62. P3 14:01Shot by Letang, saved by Bishop
  63. P3 15:30Shot by Crosby, saved by Bishop
  64. P3 15:53Shot by Stamkos, saved by Zatkoff
  65. P3 15:55Goal by Palat (Stamkos, Namestnikov)+9 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Garrison, Stamkos, Palat, Namestnikov, Sustr · PIT Cullen, Daley, Kessel, Hagelin, Dumoulin

  66. P3 16:11Shot by Killorn, saved by Zatkoff
  67. P3 17:00Shot by Pouliot, saved by Bishop
  68. P3 17:16Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Bishop5v6
  69. P3 17:56Goal by Stralman (Callahan)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Callahan, Stralman, Hedman, Brown · PIT Cullen, Daley, Letang, Kessel, Hagelin, Kuhnhackl

  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final