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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 6, 2016·TD Garden, Boston

Buffalo Sabres 1, Boston Bruins 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 54% of the time.

BOS winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BOS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

McGinn–O'Reilly–ReinhartGionta–Kane–LarssonMoulson–Girgensons–EichelLegwand–Deslauriers–CatenacciDeslauriers–Larsson–CatenacciGionta–Kane–EichelGorges–RistolainenWeber–BogosianFranson–PysykBogosian–PysykFranson–WeberGorges–PysykGorges–Bogosian
Eriksson–Krejci–Pastrnak1:560.01–0.002:470.11–0.173:570.26–0.130:440.01–0.061:380.01–0.004:450.30–0.272:000.00–0.052:000.09–0.000:310.01–0.00
Bergeron–Marchand–Connolly6:320.33–0.322:520.40–0.051:330.02–0.008:440.32–0.351:340.20–0.000:460.00–0.00
Beleskey–Hayes–Spooner3:480.23–0.133:030.02–0.130:400.00–0.050:370.07–0.001:510.00–0.073:290.23–0.061:340.21–0.131:140.07–0.000:360.00–0.101:030.00–0.08
Talbot–Rinaldo–Ferraro0:410.00–0.003:420.01–0.030:380.00–0.022:020.00–0.011:510.01–0.001:230.00–0.15
Bergeron–Beleskey–Hayes0:320.00–0.12
Chara–Trotman8:190.11–0.560:580.16–0.012:430.09–0.020:300.00–0.009:050.08–0.571:400.19–0.000:410.03–0.001:200.09–0.001:130.00–0.00
Miller–Krug0:520.27–0.005:040.33–0.204:170.21–0.131:110.01–0.010:330.07–0.002:480.30–0.036:070.15–0.200:570.00–0.031:380.07–0.001:190.17–0.160:440.05–0.00
Seidenberg–Morrow0:440.00–0.223:170.10–0.211:180.02–0.113:340.20–0.091:450.12–0.403:310.19–0.103:180.20–0.110:580.00–0.000:590.00–0.010:350.00–0.04
Chara–Morrow
Seidenberg–Krug0:380.19–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndTalbot FFerraro FRinaldo FBergeron FConnolly FMarchand FHayes FBeleskey FSpooner FEriksson FKrejci FPastrnak FKrug DMiller DChara DTrotman DSeidenberg DMorrow DRask GEichel FGirgensons FDeslauriers FMcGinn FReinhart FO'Reilly FKane FGionta FLarsson FMoulson FCatenacci FLegwand FGorges DRistolainen DWeber DFranson DPysyk DBogosian DLehner G
BOSBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus RistolainenBUF3525:590:451:2426
Zach BogosianBUF3224:140:451:3866
Zdeno CharaBOS2923:310:491:2856
Josh GorgesBUF3122:430:441:3717
Kevan MillerBOS3222:030:411:2866
Torey KrugBOS2921:460:451:1464
Patrice BergeronBOS2820:530:451:1455
Ryan O'ReillyBUF2920:500:431:2764
Jack EichelBUF2320:050:521:2412
David KrejciBOS2919:570:411:1623
Evander KaneBUF2619:500:461:2576
Loui ErikssonBOS2519:350:472:0323
Brad MarchandBOS2519:330:471:3554
Mike WeberBUF2719:290:431:1944
Dennis SeidenbergBOS2618:130:421:2306
Brian GiontaBUF2618:090:421:0457
Zach TrotmanBOS2617:410:411:2045
Joe MorrowBOS2417:170:431:5535
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2216:250:451:0732
Jamie McGinnBUF2016:050:481:2751
Johan LarssonBUF1815:480:531:3735
Sam ReinhartBUF2015:360:471:2761
Ryan SpoonerBOS1914:520:471:2464
David PastrnakBOS2014:360:441:1911
Mark PysykBUF2014:280:431:1524
Jimmy HayesBOS1814:230:481:1863
Matt BeleskeyBOS1814:100:471:1863
Brett ConnollyBOS1913:020:411:2042
Cody FransonBUF1912:070:381:1951
Matt MoulsonBUF1611:150:421:0432
Nicolas DeslauriersBUF1410:590:471:1031
Max TalbotBOS1510:390:431:5516
Landon FerraroBOS1310:230:481:2815
David LegwandBUF169:550:371:0222
Daniel CatenacciBUF117:420:421:0940
Zac RinaldoBOS87:020:531:3712