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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 6, 2016·BB&T Center, Sunrise

Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Florida Panthers 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 61% of the time.

FLA winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:43Shot by Lovejoy, saved by Luongo
  3. P1 2:22Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Zatkoff
  4. P1 2:34Shot by Letang, saved by Luongo
  5. P1 4:09Shot by Jagr, saved by Zatkoff
  6. P1 4:13Shot by Petrovic, saved by Zatkoff
  7. P1 4:36Shot by Hagelin, saved by Luongo
  8. P1 4:48Hagelin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Jokinen, Smith, Petrovic, Trocheck · PIT Cullen, Kessel, Lovejoy, Hagelin, Maatta

  9. P1 4:52Shot by Ekblad, saved by Zatkoff5v4
  10. P1 6:04Shot by Porter, saved by Luongo5v4
  11. P1 6:32Shot by Jagr, saved by Zatkoff5v4
  12. P1 6:30Shot by Trocheck, saved by Zatkoff5v4
  13. P1 8:06Shot by Shaw, saved by Zatkoff
  14. P1 8:13Shot by Howden, saved by Zatkoff
  15. P1 10:06Shot by Jagr, saved by Zatkoff
  16. P1 10:29Shot by Petrovic, saved by Zatkoff
  17. P1 10:39Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Luongo
  18. P1 10:44Shot by Lovejoy, saved by Luongo
  19. P1 10:51Shot by Crosby, saved by Luongo
  20. P1 11:09Shot by Kessel, saved by Luongo
  21. P1 12:19Shot by MacKenzie, saved by Zatkoff
  22. P1 12:23Shot by MacKenzie, saved by Zatkoff
  23. P1 13:18Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Zatkoff
  24. P1 13:34Shot by Jokinen, saved by Zatkoff
  25. P1 13:49Shot by Kampfer, saved by Zatkoff
  26. P1 14:34Shot by Jagr, saved by Zatkoff
  27. P1 15:05Shot by Ekblad, saved by Zatkoff
  28. P1 15:29Maatta: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Kampfer, Regner, Huberdeau, Barkov · PIT Letang, Rust, Kuhnhackl, Maatta, Sundqvist

  29. P1 16:04Shot by Trocheck, saved by Zatkoff5v4
  30. P1 17:41Shot by MacKenzie, saved by Zatkoff
  31. P1 18:19Shot by Crosby, saved by Luongo
  32. P1 19:38Shot by Regner, saved by Zatkoff
  33. P1 0:00Period end
  34. P2 0:00Period start
  35. P2 0:39Shot by Jokinen, saved by Zatkoff
  36. P2 1:10Daley: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Jokinen, Smith, Petrovic, Trocheck · PIT Cullen, Daley, Kessel, Hagelin, Dumoulin

  37. P2 1:15Bjugstad: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: FLA Smith, Bjugstad, Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad · PIT Crosby, Letang, Kuhnhackl, Maatta

  38. P2 2:34Shot by Kulikov, saved by Zatkoff4v4
  39. P2 2:54Shot by Trocheck, saved by Zatkoff4v4
  40. P2 4:24Lovejoy: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Thornton, MacKenzie, Kampfer, Regner, Howden · PIT Porter, Lovejoy, Wilson, Maatta, Sheary

  41. P2 5:09Shot by Trocheck, saved by Zatkoff5v4
  42. P2 5:13Shot by Jagr, saved by Zatkoff5v4
  43. P2 6:03Goal by Jokinen (Trocheck, Campbell)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Campbell, Jokinen, Trocheck, Shaw · PIT Kunitz, Porter, Letang, Maatta

  44. P2 7:23Shot by MacKenzie, saved by Zatkoff
  45. P2 8:00Shot by Hagelin, saved by Luongo
  46. P2 8:10Shot by Trocheck, saved by Zatkoff
  47. P2 9:05Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Zatkoff
  48. P2 10:45Shot by Kulikov, saved by Zatkoff
  49. P2 12:36Shot by Rust, saved by Luongo
  50. P2 13:13Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Luongo
  51. P2 13:23Shot by Crosby, saved by Luongo
  52. P2 14:05Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Zatkoff
  53. P2 14:25Shot by Kuhnhackl, saved by Luongo
  54. P2 15:18Shot by Campbell, saved by Zatkoff
  55. P2 15:19Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Zatkoff
  56. P2 16:22Shot by Letang, saved by Luongo
  57. P2 16:29Shot by Hagelin, saved by Luongo
  58. P2 17:00Shot by Kampfer, saved by Zatkoff
  59. P2 17:24Ekblad: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Thornton, Jokinen, Kulikov, Trocheck, Ekblad · PIT Hornqvist, Dumoulin, Kuhnhackl, Pouliot, Sundqvist

  60. P2 18:37Shot by Kessel, saved by Luongo4v5
  61. P2 18:41Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Luongo4v5
  62. P2 0:00Period end
  63. P3 0:00Period start
  64. P3 2:29Shot by MacKenzie, saved by Zatkoff
  65. P3 2:36Shot by Howden, saved by Zatkoff
  66. P3 3:00Shot by Kunitz, saved by Luongo
  67. P3 3:14Shot by Kulikov, saved by Zatkoff
  68. P3 3:33Jagr: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Kulikov, Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad · PIT Cullen, Letang, Hagelin, Rust, Maatta

  69. P3 4:49Shot by Wilson, saved by Luongo4v5
  70. P3 5:52Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Luongo
  71. P3 6:15Crosby: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Jokinen, Smith, Trocheck, Ekblad · PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Hornqvist, Lovejoy, Dumoulin

  72. P3 7:46Shot by Campbell, saved by Zatkoff5v4
  73. P3 8:01Shot by Trocheck, saved by Zatkoff5v4
  74. P3 8:06Shot by Jagr, saved by Zatkoff5v4
  75. P3 9:04Shot by Pouliot, saved by Luongo
  76. P3 9:04MacKenzie: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: FLA Thornton, MacKenzie, Kulikov, Petrovic, Howden · PIT Daley, Kunitz, Crosby, Hornqvist, Pouliot

  77. P3 9:15Goal by Barkov (Jokinen)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jokinen, Kulikov, Petrovic, Barkov · PIT Cullen, Daley, Rust, Wilson, Pouliot

  78. P3 10:14Shot by Crosby, saved by Luongo4v5
  79. P3 11:19Shot by MacKenzie, saved by Zatkoff
  80. P3 13:06Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Zatkoff
  81. P3 13:33Shot by Wilson, saved by Luongo
  82. P3 14:56Goal by Letang (Crosby)+9 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Jagr, Kulikov, Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad · PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Maatta

  83. P3 16:36Shot by Crosby, saved by Luongo
  84. P3 17:11Shot by Rust, saved by Luongo
  85. P3 18:22Shot by Barkov, saved by Zatkoff
  86. P3 18:38Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Luongo
  87. P3 18:45Goal by Crosby (Letang, Daley)5v6+45 pts WP

    On ice: FLA MacKenzie, Jokinen, Kulikov, Smith, Ekblad · PIT Daley, Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Hagelin

  88. P3 0:00Period end
  89. OT 0:00Period start
  90. OT 0:06Shot by Letang, saved by Luongo3v3
  91. OT 0:07Shot by Letang, saved by Luongo3v3
  92. OT 0:08Jokinen: Hooking (2 min)3v3

    On ice: FLA Campbell, Jokinen, Smith · PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Letang

  93. OT 0:48Shot by Kessel, saved by Luongo3v4
  94. OT 1:06Shot by Letang, saved by Luongo3v4
  95. OT 1:11Shot by Daley, saved by Luongo3v4
  96. OT 1:27Goal by Letang (Crosby, Daley)3v4+48 pts WP

    On ice: FLA Kulikov, Petrovic, Barkov · PIT Daley, Crosby, Letang, Kessel

  97. OT 1:27Period end
  98. OT 1:27Final