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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 6, 2016·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

San Jose Sharks 2, Nashville Predators 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 53% of the time.

NSH winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Jones
  3. P1 1:49Shot by Wingels, saved by Rinne
  4. P1 2:13Salomaki: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Ellis, Ekholm, Smith, Salomaki · SJS Couture, Wingels, Dillon, Donskoi, DeMelo

  5. P1 4:09Shot by Ward, saved by Rinne4v5
  6. P1 4:23Shot by Ward, saved by Rinne
  7. P1 6:10Shot by Dillon, saved by Rinne
  8. P1 7:15Shot by Couture, saved by Rinne
  9. P1 8:02Shot by Marleau, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 8:38Shot by Braun, saved by Rinne
  11. P1 11:12Shot by Neal, saved by Jones
  12. P1 11:20Shot by Vlasic, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 13:12Goal by Neal (Johansen, Jackman)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Jackman, Neal, Jarnkrok, Johansen, Bitetto · SJS Zubrus, Vlasic, Braun, Couture, Wingels

  14. P1 13:33Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Jones
  15. P1 14:13Shot by Watson, saved by Jones
  16. P1 14:37Shot by Dillon, saved by Rinne
  17. P1 15:47Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Jones
  18. P1 16:57Ellis: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Neal, Ellis, Ekholm, Salomaki · SJS Martin, Braun, Couture, Wingels, Donskoi

  19. P1 16:57Wingels: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Neal, Ellis, Ekholm, Salomaki · SJS Martin, Braun, Couture, Wingels, Donskoi

  20. P1 17:34Shot by Couture, saved by Rinne
  21. P1 18:24Shot by Johansen, saved by Jones
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:23Shot by Pavelski, saved by Rinne
  25. P2 1:44Shot by Smith, saved by Jones
  26. P2 2:00Shot by Salomaki, saved by Jones
  27. P2 3:49Watson: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Weber, Neal, Josi, Watson · SJS Thornton, Marleau, Burns, Pavelski, Tierney, Karlsson

  28. P2 5:24Shot by Couture, saved by Rinne4v5
  29. P2 6:16Shot by Weber, saved by Jones
  30. P2 6:26Goal by Jarnkrok (Johansen)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Neal, Ellis, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Johansen · SJS Marleau, Ward, Vlasic, Braun, Nieto

  31. P2 8:18Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Jones
  32. P2 9:56Shot by Hertl, saved by Rinne
  33. P2 10:08Burns: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Bass, Ellis, Ekholm, Watson · SJS Thornton, Burns, Pavelski, Dillon, Hertl

  34. P2 8:11Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Jones
  35. P2 13:49Ekholm: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Ellis, Ekholm, Forsberg, Arvidsson · SJS Marleau, Ward, Martin, Burns, Pavelski, Nieto

  36. P2 14:11Shot by Burns, saved by Rinne4v5
  37. P2 15:41Goal by Thornton (Vlasic, Couture)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Weber, Josi, Watson · SJS Thornton, Burns, Pavelski, Vlasic, Couture

  38. P2 17:01Goal by Arvidsson (Ribeiro, Forsberg)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Jackman, Bitetto, Forsberg, Arvidsson · SJS Marleau, Ward, Martin, Burns, Nieto

  39. P2 17:31Shot by Dillon, saved by Rinne
  40. P2 17:46Shot by Tierney, saved by Rinne
  41. P2 18:03Shot by Hertl, saved by Rinne
  42. P2 18:13Shot by Hertl, saved by Rinne
  43. P2 18:19Shot by Pavelski, saved by Rinne
  44. P2 18:36Shot by Braun, saved by Rinne
  45. P2 19:47Dillon: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Neal, Josi, Forsberg · SJS Marleau, Ward, Burns, Dillon, Nieto

  46. P2 19:53Shot by Josi, saved by Jones5v4
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:48Shot by Josi, saved by Jones5v4
  50. P3 1:39Shot by Ellis, saved by Jones5v4
  51. P3 3:49Shot by Smith, saved by Jones
  52. P3 3:51Shot by Smith, saved by Jones
  53. P3 5:14Shot by Bass, saved by Jones
  54. P3 5:16Bass: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Jackman, Gaustad, Bass, Watson, Bitetto · SJS Zubrus, Dillon, DeMelo, Tierney, Karlsson

  55. P3 5:48Shot by Fisher, saved by Jones4v5
  56. P3 6:26Shot by Couture, saved by Rinne4v5
  57. P3 6:47Shot by Thornton, saved by Rinne4v5
  58. P3 6:51Goal by Forsberg (Weber)4v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Weber, Josi, Jarnkrok, Forsberg · SJS Thornton, Marleau, Burns, Pavelski, Couture

  59. P3 7:30Shot by Donskoi, saved by Rinne
  60. P3 7:33Shot by Ward, saved by Rinne
  61. P3 8:44Goal by Arvidsson (Forsberg, Ribeiro)+1 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Ellis, Ekholm, Forsberg, Arvidsson · SJS Zubrus, Vlasic, Braun, Tierney, Karlsson

  62. P3 9:08Shot by Weber, saved by Jones
  63. P3 9:55Shot by Salomaki, saved by Jones
  64. P3 10:46Shot by Dillon, saved by Rinne
  65. P3 11:38Weber: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Weber, Neal, Josi, Jarnkrok, Johansen · SJS Thornton, Marleau, Martin, Burns, Pavelski, Hertl

  66. P3 13:37Goal by Couture (Thornton, DeMelo)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Jackman, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Forsberg · SJS Thornton, Pavelski, Couture, Dillon, DeMelo

  67. P3 14:19Shot by Johansen, saved by Jones
  68. P3 14:45Shot by Dillon, saved by Rinne
  69. P3 15:06Shot by Wingels, saved by Rinne
  70. P3 15:23Goal by Weber, unassisted5v60 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Weber, Bass, Josi, Watson · SJS Thornton, Ward, Burns, Pavelski, Vlasic, Hertl

  71. P3 16:33Shot by Ward, saved by Rinne
  72. P3 16:49Shot by Neal, saved by Jones
  73. P3 18:38Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Jones
  74. P3 18:39Shot by Forsberg, saved by Jones
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final