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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 14, 2016·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Colorado Avalanche 1, Buffalo Sabres 4

Away

Colorado Avalanche

1

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 59% of the time.

BUF winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:23Shot by McLeod, saved by Lehner
  3. P1 2:02Goal by Eichel, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, McGinn, Bailey, Ristolainen, Eichel · COL Mitchell, Holden, Duchene, Barrie, Grigorenko

  4. P1 2:17Shot by Holden, saved by Lehner
  5. P1 3:23Shot by Tanguay, saved by Lehner
  6. P1 4:42Goal by Kane (Reinhart, Gorges)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart · COL Comeau, Soderberg, Holden, Barrie, Landeskog

  7. P1 5:15Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Pickard
  8. P1 5:37Duchene: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · COL Beauchemin, Mitchell, Johnson, Duchene, Grigorenko

  9. P1 7:30Shot by Kane, saved by Pickard5v4
  10. P1 8:02Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lehner
  11. P1 9:08Shot by Martinsen, saved by Lehner
  12. P1 10:34Kane: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart · COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson, Landeskog

  13. P1 11:15Shot by Comeau, saved by Lehner4v5
  14. P1 11:37Shot by Landeskog, saved by Lehner4v5
  15. P1 12:30Shot by Gionta, saved by Pickard4v5
  16. P1 12:45Shot by Johnson, saved by Lehner
  17. P1 12:54Shot by Eichel, saved by Pickard
  18. P1 13:09Shot by Kane, saved by Pickard
  19. P1 15:03Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Lehner
  20. P1 16:28Shot by Soderberg, saved by Lehner
  21. P1 17:14Goal by Reinhart (O'Reilly, McCabe)+8 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, O'Reilly, Foligno, McCabe, Reinhart · COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson, Martinsen

  22. P1 18:42Shot by Iginla, saved by Lehner
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 2:01Shot by Iginla, saved by Lehner
  26. P2 2:12Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Lehner
  27. P2 2:35Goal by Johnson (Grigorenko, Iginla)+7 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Moulson, Bogosian, Deslauriers, McCabe · COL Iginla, Mitchell, Johnson, Bodnarchuk, Grigorenko

  28. P2 4:00Gionta: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Bogosian, Foligno, Girgensons, McCabe · COL Comeau, Soderberg, Bodnarchuk, Landeskog, Bigras

  29. P2 4:07Shot by Iginla, saved by Lehner4v5
  30. P2 7:46Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Pickard
  31. P2 8:48Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Pickard
  32. P2 10:06Shot by Bailey, saved by Pickard
  33. P2 10:58Shot by Mitchell, saved by Lehner
  34. P2 12:39Shot by Bigras, saved by Lehner
  35. P2 12:52Shot by Bigras, saved by Lehner
  36. P2 13:44Shot by Landeskog, saved by Lehner
  37. P2 14:29Shot by Bailey, saved by Pickard
  38. P2 14:39Shot by Duchene, saved by Lehner
  39. P2 14:54Shot by Iginla, saved by Lehner
  40. P2 15:42Duchene: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Gorges, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Eichel · COL Johnson, Holden, Duchene, Grigorenko, MacKinnon

  41. P2 17:26Shot by Reinhart, saved by Pickard5v4
  42. P2 17:32Shot by Bogosian, saved by Pickard5v4
  43. P2 18:04Shot by Moulson, saved by Pickard
  44. P2 18:57Shot by Iginla, saved by Lehner
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 0:11Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lehner
  48. P3 1:04Shot by Barrie, saved by Lehner
  49. P3 1:28Shot by Duchene, saved by Lehner
  50. P3 2:21Shot by McGinn, saved by Pickard
  51. P3 2:28Shot by Iginla, saved by Lehner
  52. P3 2:59Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Pickard
  53. P3 4:08Shot by McCabe, saved by Pickard
  54. P3 4:34Shot by Foligno, saved by Pickard
  55. P3 5:35Shot by Comeau, saved by Lehner
  56. P3 5:48Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Lehner
  57. P3 5:49Gorges: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Kane, Ristolainen, Reinhart · COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Mitchell, Duchene, Barrie

  58. P3 6:47Shot by Barrie, saved by Lehner4v5
  59. P3 6:56Shot by Iginla, saved by Lehner4v5
  60. P3 8:13Duchene: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, McGinn, O'Reilly, Pysyk, Eichel · COL Iginla, Mitchell, Johnson, Duchene, Barrie

  61. P3 8:28Shot by Johnson, saved by Lehner5v4
  62. P3 8:29Shot by Mitchell, saved by Lehner5v4
  63. P3 11:37Girgensons: High sticking double minor (4 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, O'Reilly, Kane, McCabe, Reinhart · COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Soderberg, Duchene, Barrie, Landeskog

  64. P3 13:38Gorges: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Gorges, Foligno, Ristolainen · COL Comeau, Holden, Duchene, Barrie, Landeskog

  65. P3 15:20Shot by Barrie, saved by Lehner3v5
  66. P3 17:39Shot by Comeau, saved by Lehner5v6
  67. P3 18:10Goal by Foligno (O'Reilly)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Kane, Foligno, Ristolainen · COL Iginla, Comeau, Soderberg, Holden, Duchene, Barrie

  68. P3 18:24Shot by Bailey, saved by Pickard
  69. P3 19:38Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lehner
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final