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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 18, 2016·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Winnipeg Jets 5, Tampa Bay Lightning 6 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 55% of the time.

TBL winsWPG wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WPG's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ladd–Scheifele–ArmiaWheeler–Little–EhlersStafford–Perreault–BurmistrovThorburn–Peluso–LowryWheeler–Perreault–EhlersStafford–Burmistrov–LowryLadd–Stafford–ScheifeleThorburn–Burmistrov–ArmiaMyers–TroubaEnstrom–ByfuglienPostma–ChiarotByfuglien–Myers
Callahan–Killorn–Stamkos4:070.56–0.021:240.00–0.062:160.01–0.021:060.00–0.000:410.00–0.004:280.50–0.023:160.00–0.082:430.07–0.01
Johnson–Palat–Kucherov2:000.05–0.082:410.08–0.112:560.00–0.001:210.00–0.060:540.09–0.005:270.12–0.094:140.10–0.15
Filppula–Brown–Paquette1:390.03–0.073:580.08–0.110:520.02–0.000:330.00–0.000:330.00–0.013:500.03–0.164:040.08–0.081:110.01–0.00
Boyle–Kucherov–Marchessault1:030.02–0.020:510.04–0.001:210.06–0.00
Boyle–Marchessault–Brown0:400.00–0.020:350.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:470.00–0.020:350.00–0.00
Filppula–Boyle–Paquette0:390.10–0.090:390.10–0.091:040.00–0.08
Boyle–Palat–Marchessault0:580.00–0.001:030.00–0.02
Boyle–Killorn–Marchessault0:420.10–0.000:300.00–0.040:300.00–0.040:560.10–0.00
Stralman–Hedman1:480.05–0.024:540.18–0.072:010.10–0.091:520.00–0.015:290.25–0.125:150.08–0.070:410.00–0.00
Carle–Sustr3:250.36–0.060:390.00–0.001:150.02–0.020:450.00–0.001:250.03–0.090:300.04–0.004:230.43–0.091:490.02–0.061:460.00–0.011:110.00–0.00
Coburn–Koekkoek1:360.11–0.021:140.00–0.003:070.14–0.010:320.00–0.001:350.10–0.002:400.04–0.012:380.11–0.03
Coburn–Carle1:140.00–0.000:500.00–0.001:420.00–0.052:240.05–0.02
Coburn–Nesterov0:330.00–0.070:310.01–0.011:150.00–0.071:100.01–0.01
Hedman–Sustr0:300.00–0.010:440.02–0.000:340.02–0.001:480.02–0.04
Nesterov–Sustr1:000.05–0.080:490.00–0.060:580.05–0.140:450.00–0.00
Hedman–Nesterov0:370.00–0.071:020.01–0.07
Carle–Stralman0:390.00–0.000:460.00–0.000:420.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndPaquette FBrown FFilppula FJohnson FKucherov FPalat FCallahan FStamkos FKillorn FBoyle FMarchessault FStralman DHedman DCarle DSustr DNesterov DCoburn DKoekkoek DVasilevskiy GLittle FWheeler FEhlers FLadd FArmia FScheifele FBurmistrov FStafford FPerreault FPeluso FLowry FThorburn FByfuglien DEnstrom DTrouba DMyers DPostma DChiarot DPavelec G
TBLWPGFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Dustin ByfuglienWPG3530:180:521:3933
Tyler MyersWPG2926:370:552:0132
Victor HedmanTBL3224:480:471:2303
Toby EnstromWPG3324:380:451:3624
Jacob TroubaWPG2822:360:481:5542
Anton StralmanTBL2522:200:542:0525
Steven StamkosTBL2422:090:552:3743
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2421:320:541:4613
Ondrej PalatTBL2521:250:512:0342
Nikita KucherovTBL2420:400:522:0342
Nikolaj EhlersWPG2520:380:501:2930
Blake WheelerWPG2619:470:461:2920
Braydon CoburnTBL2319:100:501:3102
Tyler JohnsonTBL2418:270:462:0342
Mark ScheifeleWPG2318:210:481:1922
Drew StaffordWPG2318:120:471:2811
Ryan CallahanTBL2117:590:511:2412
Andrew LaddWPG2717:520:401:4322
Alex KillornTBL2317:400:461:2612
Andrej SustrTBL1917:160:552:0610
Adam LowryWPG2517:120:411:2216
Matt CarleTBL2216:490:461:4421
Cedric PaquetteTBL2015:330:471:3202
Mathieu PerreaultWPG2315:240:401:1421
Joel ArmiaWPG2414:270:361:1922
JT BrownTBL2014:200:431:3212
Alexander BurmistrovWPG1813:110:441:0601
Brian BoyleTBL1612:120:461:1701
Bryan LittleWPG1411:200:491:2920
Jonathan MarchessaultTBL1410:530:471:2701
Ben ChiarotWPG1410:370:461:3820
Chris ThorburnWPG139:450:451:0711
Nikita NesterovTBL129:030:451:3801
Paul PostmaWPG139:000:421:3120
Slater KoekkoekTBL127:590:401:3301
Anthony PelusoWPG106:460:411:0110