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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 20, 2016·CONSOL Energy Center, Pittsburgh

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 70% of the time.

PIT winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Filppula–Brown–PaquetteJohnson–Palat–KucherovCallahan–Killorn–StamkosBoyle–Namestnikov–MarchessaultBoyle–Namestnikov–BrownFilppula–Palat–KucherovCarle–SustrStralman–HedmanCoburn–KoekkoekCoburn–HedmanStralman–KoekkoekCoburn–CarleCarle–Stralman
Porter–Wilson–Sheary2:480.00–0.000:500.08–0.003:080.13–0.001:360.00–0.002:030.17–0.011:130.00–0.001:550.03–0.000:300.00–0.00
Rust–Kuhnhackl–Sundqvist1:150.01–0.040:560.00–0.021:570.02–0.241:360.00–0.031:070.00–0.241:210.00–0.052:250.01–0.000:470.02–0.02
Crosby–Hornqvist–Hagelin2:140.31–0.111:250.02–0.011:140.02–0.003:480.33–0.031:170.02–0.09
Kunitz–Crosby–Kessel1:200.03–0.002:050.04–0.011:000.05–0.002:340.10–0.110:520.00–0.000:480.02–0.000:330.05–0.00
Cullen–Kunitz–Kessel1:590.00–0.000:520.12–0.000:360.01–0.003:170.13–0.000:530.00–0.13
Cullen–Hornqvist–Hagelin1:120.00–0.001:290.04–0.000:520.00–0.001:570.04–0.020:450.00–0.00
Letang–Maatta1:580.05–0.003:040.01–0.053:110.13–0.240:430.05–0.000:530.01–0.003:460.15–0.243:280.13–0.001:260.03–0.002:150.00–0.04
Daley–Dumoulin1:540.00–0.042:140.03–0.001:270.00–0.001:340.10–0.002:420.03–0.002:290.09–0.050:520.00–0.001:210.00–0.02
Lovejoy–Pouliot0:580.01–0.002:240.03–0.031:310.04–0.031:080.01–0.000:510.03–0.000:300.00–0.00
Daley–Pouliot0:450.02–0.001:170.12–0.000:450.12–0.000:310.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Letang–Pouliot1:150.00–0.000:470.05–0.001:250.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Letang–Dumoulin0:590.31–0.080:460.00–0.000:350.00–0.001:400.31–0.00
Dumoulin–Pouliot0:440.00–0.000:370.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKunitz FKessel FCrosby FCullen FHagelin FHornqvist FRust FKuhnhackl FSundqvist FPorter FWilson FSheary FMaatta DLetang DDaley DDumoulin DLovejoy DPouliot DZatkoff GJohnson FPalat FKucherov FKillorn FCallahan FStamkos FPaquette FBrown FFilppula FBoyle FMarchessault FNamestnikov FStralman DHedman DCarle DSustr DCoburn DKoekkoek DBishop G
PITTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Kris LetangPIT3430:130:533:0733
Victor HedmanTBL3225:520:491:4745
Anton StralmanTBL3125:490:501:3139
Sidney CrosbyPIT2823:340:512:1891
Olli MaattaPIT3423:130:411:2525
Trevor DaleyPIT2821:590:471:4353
Valtteri FilppulaTBL2221:581:001:3724
Brian DumoulinPIT2820:320:441:3053
Phil KesselPIT2719:510:442:3582
Carl HagelinPIT2918:270:381:1945
Matt CarleTBL3118:190:351:1046
Braydon CoburnTBL2417:580:451:2413
Patric HornqvistPIT2117:470:512:5361
Ryan CallahanTBL2417:140:431:4235
Ondrej PalatTBL2617:020:391:0033
Nikita KucherovTBL2516:210:391:0342
Steven StamkosTBL2516:170:391:2054
JT BrownTBL2015:470:471:2815
Matt CullenPIT2615:170:350:5925
Andrej SustrTBL2714:590:331:0025
Tyler JohnsonTBL2414:490:371:0442
Chris KunitzPIT2414:270:361:1743
Alex KillornTBL2013:460:411:2032
Derrick PouliotPIT2013:450:411:1121
Conor ShearyPIT1612:250:471:1850
Kevin PorterPIT1711:130:401:1242
Brian BoyleTBL1711:110:391:1504
Cedric PaquetteTBL1511:080:451:2515
Vladislav NamestnikovTBL1610:550:411:0614
Bryan RustPIT1910:500:341:1710
Scott WilsonPIT1510:200:411:0430
Slater KoekkoekTBL179:270:331:0221
Jonathan MarchessaultTBL149:080:391:1912
Tom KuhnhacklPIT189:020:301:0521
Ben LovejoyPIT128:150:411:0222
Oskar SundqvistPIT148:020:341:0510