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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 20, 2016·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Detroit Red Wings 2, Ottawa Senators 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 80% of the time.

OTT winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 4:04Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Mrazek
  3. P1 4:33Nyquist: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Ryan, Dzingel, Zibanejad, Ceci · DET Richards, Smith, Nyquist, Tatar, Marchenko

  4. P1 5:05Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Mrazek5v4
  5. P1 5:44Shot by Ryan, saved by Mrazek5v4
  6. P1 6:55Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Anderson
  7. P1 7:25Shot by Quincey, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 7:33Shot by Tatar, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 9:51Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 11:03Shot by Richards, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 11:33Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Mrazek
  12. P1 13:05Shot by Hoffman, saved by Mrazek
  13. P1 14:08Shot by Green, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 14:34Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Anderson
  15. P1 16:29Shot by Helm, saved by Anderson
  16. P1 18:28Shot by Ryan, saved by Mrazek
  17. P1 18:37Shot by Glendening, saved by Anderson
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:16Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Anderson
  21. P2 2:59Paul: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Wiercioch, Borowiecki, Hoffman, Stone, Paul · DET Zetterberg, Green, Smith, Pulkkinen, Jurco, Athanasiou

  22. P2 3:23Shot by Lazar, saved by Mrazek4v5
  23. P2 4:02Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Anderson4v5
  24. P2 5:01Shot by Helm, saved by Anderson
  25. P2 5:06Shot by Jurco, saved by Anderson
  26. P2 8:57Shot by Karlsson, saved by Mrazek
  27. P2 9:11Shot by Borowiecki, saved by Mrazek
  28. P2 10:28Shot by Methot, saved by Mrazek
  29. P2 10:46Goal by Athanasiou, unassisted+25 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Methot, Ryan, Smith, Karlsson, Pageau · DET Smith, Nyquist, Tatar, Marchenko, Athanasiou

  30. P2 11:01Shot by Pulkkinen, saved by Anderson
  31. P2 11:46Goal by Smith (Pageau)+25 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Methot, Smith, Karlsson, Pageau, Lazar · DET Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Green, Abdelkader, Smith

  32. P2 12:08Glendening: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Neil, Wiercioch, Borowiecki, Chiasson, Paul · DET Quincey, Helm, Sheahan, Glendening, DeKeyser

  33. P2 12:29Shot by Hoffman, saved by Mrazek5v4
  34. P2 12:46Shot by Hoffman, saved by Mrazek5v4
  35. P2 13:07Shot by Hoffman, saved by Mrazek5v4
  36. P2 13:26Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Mrazek5v4
  37. P2 16:08Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Mrazek
  38. P2 16:59Turris: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Methot, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone · DET Richards, Quincey, Helm, Tatar, DeKeyser

  39. P2 16:59Helm: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Methot, Turris, Karlsson, Hoffman, Stone · DET Richards, Quincey, Helm, Tatar, DeKeyser

  40. P2 17:52Goal by Richards, unassisted4v4+27 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Methot, Ryan, Karlsson, Zibanejad · DET Richards, Green, Abdelkader, DeKeyser

  41. P2 0:00Period end
  42. P3 0:00Period start
  43. P3 1:34Shot by Richards, saved by Anderson
  44. P3 2:11Shot by Glendening, saved by Anderson
  45. P3 3:35Shot by Karlsson, saved by Mrazek
  46. P3 3:48Shot by Stone, saved by Mrazek
  47. P3 3:55Shot by Karlsson, saved by Mrazek
  48. P3 6:06Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Anderson
  49. P3 7:14Stone: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Wiercioch, Dzingel, Zibanejad, Ceci · DET Quincey, Smith, Nyquist, Tatar, Sheahan, Pulkkinen

  50. P3 7:17Shot by Richards, saved by Anderson4v5
  51. P3 8:05Shot by Richards, saved by Anderson4v5
  52. P3 8:15Shot by Pulkkinen, saved by Anderson4v5
  53. P3 10:41Shot by Marchenko, saved by Anderson
  54. P3 13:07Shot by Karlsson, saved by Mrazek
  55. P3 13:11Shot by Pageau, saved by Mrazek
  56. P3 13:43Shot by Hoffman, saved by Mrazek
  57. P3 15:07Shot by Karlsson, saved by Mrazek
  58. P3 16:09Goal by Phaneuf, unassisted+40 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Turris, Stone, Dzingel, Ceci · DET Richards, Quincey, Nyquist, Tatar, DeKeyser

  59. P3 17:31Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Anderson
  60. P3 0:00Period end
  61. OT 0:00Period start
  62. OT 0:35Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Anderson3v3
  63. OT 0:36Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Anderson3v3
  64. OT 1:05Shot by Richards, saved by Anderson3v3
  65. OT 1:55Shot by Karlsson, saved by Mrazek3v3
  66. OT 2:08Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Anderson3v3
  67. OT 2:57Shot by Ryan, saved by Mrazek3v3
  68. OT 3:21Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Anderson3v3
  69. OT 4:10Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Anderson3v3
  70. OT 4:22Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Mrazek3v3
  71. OT 4:58Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Anderson3v3
  72. OT 5:00Period end
  73. SO Period start
  74. SO Shot by Nyquist, saved by Andersonother
  75. SO Goal by Turris, unassistedother
  76. SO Shot by Richards, saved by Andersonother
  77. SO Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Andersonother
  78. SO Period end
  79. SO Final