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Ice Lab

Wed, Feb 24, 2016·TD Garden, Boston

Pittsburgh Penguins 1, Boston Bruins 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 66% of the time.

BOS winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:06Shot by Crosby, saved by Rask
  3. P1 0:55Shot by McQuaid, saved by Fleury
  4. P1 3:27Shot by Kessel, saved by Rask
  5. P1 3:41Shot by Maatta, saved by Rask
  6. P1 3:49Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Fleury
  7. P1 4:12Shot by Crosby, saved by Rask
  8. P1 7:18Shot by Connolly, saved by Fleury
  9. P1 8:20Shot by Pouliot, saved by Rask
  10. P1 9:25Shot by Sheary, saved by Rask
  11. P1 9:37Shot by Daley, saved by Rask
  12. P1 9:42Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Rask
  13. P1 11:36Shot by Beleskey, saved by Fleury
  14. P1 12:57Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Fleury
  15. P1 13:00Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Fleury
  16. P1 13:38Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Rask
  17. P1 14:39Shot by Maatta, saved by Rask
  18. P1 14:52Shot by Letang, saved by Rask
  19. P1 16:00Pouliot: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: BOS Seidenberg, Eriksson, Krejci, Krug, Pastrnak · PIT Crosby, Hornqvist, Cole, Hagelin, Pouliot

  20. P1 16:00Goal by Pastrnak, unassistedother+18 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Seidenberg, Eriksson, Krejci, Krug, Pastrnak · PIT Crosby, Hornqvist, Cole, Hagelin, Pouliot

  21. P1 16:17Shot by Kessel, saved by Rask
  22. P1 17:32Shot by Spooner, saved by Fleury
  23. P1 18:01Shot by Krug, saved by Fleury
  24. P1 18:58Shot by Rust, saved by Rask
  25. P1 19:51Shot by Marchand, saved by Fleury
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:14Shot by Daley, saved by Rask
  29. P2 1:40Shot by Kuhnhackl, saved by Rask
  30. P2 1:42Wilson: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BOS Seidenberg, Rinaldo, Ferraro, Krug, Kemppainen · PIT Porter, Cole, Wilson, Pouliot, Sheary

  31. P2 1:42Ferraro: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: BOS Seidenberg, Rinaldo, Ferraro, Krug, Kemppainen · PIT Porter, Cole, Wilson, Pouliot, Sheary

  32. P2 1:59Shot by Crosby, saved by Rask
  33. P2 3:12Goal by Pastrnak, unassisted+14 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Seidenberg, Eriksson, Krejci, Krug, Pastrnak · PIT Cullen, Letang, Kessel, Hagelin, Maatta

  34. P2 4:07Shot by Sundqvist, saved by Rask
  35. P2 4:07Goal by Kuhnhackl (Sundqvist, Daley)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Beleskey, Hayes, Spooner, Miller, Morrow · PIT Cole, Rust, Kuhnhackl, Pouliot, Sundqvist

  36. P2 6:13Shot by Miller, saved by Fleury
  37. P2 6:25Shot by Hagelin, saved by Rask
  38. P2 6:44Shot by Seidenberg, saved by Fleury
  39. P2 6:53Shot by Hayes, saved by Fleury
  40. P2 8:41Shot by Letang, saved by Rask
  41. P2 10:07Shot by Kessel, saved by Rask
  42. P2 10:58Shot by Spooner, saved by Fleury
  43. P2 11:16Shot by Spooner, saved by Fleury
  44. P2 11:57Shot by Rust, saved by Rask
  45. P2 13:00Shot by Porter, saved by Rask
  46. P2 13:25Shot by Cullen, saved by Rask
  47. P2 13:33Shot by Cullen, saved by Rask
  48. P2 13:49Ferraro: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Seidenberg, Rinaldo, Ferraro, Krug, Kemppainen · PIT Cullen, Crosby, Letang, Kessel, Hagelin, Maatta

  49. P2 16:15Shot by Eriksson, saved by Fleury
  50. P2 17:32Shot by Letang, saved by Rask
  51. P2 17:58Shot by Bergeron, saved by Fleury
  52. P2 18:20Shot by Kunitz, saved by Rask
  53. P2 19:37Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Rask
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P3 0:00Period start
  56. P3 1:06Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Fleury
  57. P3 1:16Shot by Pastrnak, saved by Fleury
  58. P3 2:52Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Rask
  59. P3 3:02Shot by Connolly, saved by Fleury
  60. P3 3:08Shot by Chara, saved by Fleury
  61. P3 3:40Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Rask
  62. P3 4:44Shot by Wilson, saved by Rask
  63. P3 6:01Shot by Bergeron, saved by Fleury
  64. P3 6:13Shot by Kuhnhackl, saved by Rask
  65. P3 7:05Shot by Maatta, saved by Rask
  66. P3 7:34Shot by Maatta, saved by Rask
  67. P3 7:59Shot by Chara, saved by Fleury
  68. P3 8:12Shot by Miller, saved by Fleury
  69. P3 9:37Shot by Cullen, saved by Rask
  70. P3 10:34Goal by Hayes (Spooner, McQuaid)+12 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Beleskey, Hayes, Spooner, Miller, Morrow · PIT Kunitz, Letang, Hornqvist, Pouliot, Sundqvist

  71. P3 11:54Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Rask
  72. P3 11:59Shot by Hagelin, saved by Rask
  73. P3 13:06Shot by Hagelin, saved by Rask
  74. P3 14:26Goal by Ferraro (Seidenberg)+2 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Seidenberg, Rinaldo, Ferraro, Krug, Kemppainen · PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Maatta

  75. P3 15:02Shot by Wilson, saved by Rask
  76. P3 15:27Goal by Marchand (Krug, Bergeron)0 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Chara, Bergeron, Marchand, Connolly, Krug · PIT Daley, Dumoulin, Rust, Kuhnhackl, Sundqvist

  77. P3 16:34Shot by Rust, saved by Rask
  78. P3 18:30Shot by Beleskey, saved by Fleury
  79. P3 19:22Shot by Kessel, saved by Rask
  80. P3 19:29Shot by Daley, saved by Rask
  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final