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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 25, 2016·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Minnesota Wild 2, Philadelphia Flyers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 59% of the time.

PHI winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:59Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Neuvirth
  3. P1 1:39Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Dubnyk
  4. P1 3:57Shot by Gudas, saved by Dubnyk
  5. P1 4:31Shot by Simmonds, saved by Dubnyk
  6. P1 5:45Shot by Raffl, saved by Dubnyk
  7. P1 5:55Shot by Fontaine, saved by Neuvirth
  8. P1 7:17Shot by Haula, saved by Neuvirth
  9. P1 7:43Shot by Porter, saved by Neuvirth
  10. P1 7:53Shot by Gagner, saved by Dubnyk
  11. P1 8:15Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Neuvirth
  12. P1 8:24Shot by Gagner, saved by Dubnyk
  13. P1 9:10Shot by Vanek, saved by Neuvirth
  14. P1 9:17Shot by Folin, saved by Neuvirth
  15. P1 9:29Shot by Couturier, saved by Dubnyk
  16. P1 11:37Shot by Stoll, saved by Neuvirth
  17. P1 11:59Shot by Schultz, saved by Dubnyk
  18. P1 12:00Shot by Streit, saved by Dubnyk
  19. P1 13:49Shot by Simmonds, saved by Dubnyk
  20. P1 13:51Shot by Schenn, saved by Dubnyk
  21. P1 15:42Streit: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Streit, Schultz, Voracek, Couturier, Raffl · MIN Stoll, Suter, Carter, Spurgeon, Fontaine

  22. P1 17:23Shot by Vanek, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  23. P1 18:44Shot by Schenn, saved by Dubnyk
  24. P1 18:45Goal by Gagner (Schenn)+19 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Streit, Gagner, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere · MIN Pominville, Suter, Spurgeon, Haula, Niederreiter

  25. P1 19:18Shot by Dumba, saved by Neuvirth
  26. P1 19:49Shot by MacDonald, saved by Dubnyk
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:56Schultz: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Streit, Schultz, Gagner, Simmonds, Schenn · MIN Pominville, Scandella, Haula, Niederreiter, Dumba

  30. P2 1:09Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  31. P2 1:20Shot by Bellemare, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  32. P2 1:26Shot by Couturier, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  33. P2 1:53Shot by Granlund, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  34. P2 2:02Goal by Vanek (Spurgeon, Reilly)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Streit, Manning, Read, Couturier · MIN Vanek, Spurgeon, Granlund, Niederreiter, Reilly

  35. P2 3:04Shot by Fontaine, saved by Neuvirth
  36. P2 3:51Carter: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Gagner, Simmonds, Schenn, Manning, Gudas · MIN Koivu, Suter, Carter, Scandella, Coyle

  37. P2 4:47Shot by Simmonds, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  38. P2 5:46Goal by Streit (Read, Voracek)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Streit, Gagner, Voracek, Schenn, Read · MIN Stoll, Suter, Spurgeon, Fontaine

  39. P2 6:59Shot by Suter, saved by Neuvirth
  40. P2 7:35Shot by Gagner, saved by Dubnyk
  41. P2 7:48Shot by Schenn, saved by Dubnyk
  42. P2 7:58Shot by Pominville, saved by Neuvirth
  43. P2 10:02Shot by Gudas, saved by Dubnyk
  44. P2 12:04Shot by White, saved by Dubnyk
  45. P2 12:12Shot by Granlund, saved by Neuvirth
  46. P2 13:15Shot by Vanek, saved by Neuvirth
  47. P2 13:16Goal by Granlund (Vanek, Porter)+24 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Gagner, Simmonds, Schenn, Manning, Gudas · MIN Vanek, Suter, Porter, Spurgeon, Granlund

  48. P2 15:42Shot by Gudas, saved by Dubnyk
  49. P2 15:52Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Dubnyk
  50. P2 17:50Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Neuvirth
  51. P2 18:42Shot by Raffl, saved by Dubnyk
  52. P2 0:00Period end
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 3:21Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Dubnyk
  55. P3 3:21Goal by Bellemare (VandeVelde, White)+29 pts WP

    On ice: PHI VandeVelde, White, MacDonald, Gostisbehere, Bellemare · MIN Stoll, Suter, Carter, Spurgeon, Fontaine

  56. P3 8:18Shot by Gudas, saved by Dubnyk
  57. P3 8:24Shot by Gudas, saved by Dubnyk
  58. P3 11:59Shot by Dumba, saved by Neuvirth
  59. P3 13:45Shot by Pominville, saved by Neuvirth5v6
  60. P3 13:45Couturier: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: PHI Streit, Schultz, Voracek, Couturier, Raffl · MIN Koivu, Pominville, Vanek, Suter, Spurgeon, Coyle

  61. P3 14:57Shot by Granlund, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  62. P3 15:51Shot by Bellemare, saved by Dubnyk
  63. P3 16:25Shot by Scandella, saved by Neuvirth
  64. P3 16:49Shot by MacDonald, saved by Dubnyk
  65. P3 17:53Shot by Haula, saved by Neuvirth
  66. P3 19:57Shot by Coyle, saved by Neuvirth5v6
  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Final