Thu, Mar 3, 2016·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Anaheim Ducks 5, Arizona Coyotes 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ANA | 29 | 37 | 05 | 521 |
| ARI | 09 | 19 | 010 | 128 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:52ANAJamie McGinnAssists: Corey Perry · Wrist, 0.13 xG1–0
- P1 5:38ANARickard RakellPPGWGAssists: Corey Perry, Sami Vatanen · Wrist, 0.18 xG2–0
- P2 1:33ANACam FowlerPPAssists: Sami Vatanen, Ryan Kesler · Slap, 0.03 xG3–0
- P2 9:02ARIAnthony DuclairPPAssists: Max Domi, Connor Murphy · Wrist, 0.09 xG3–1
- P2 13:59ANAJosh MansonAssists: Ryan Kesler, Jamie McGinn · Backhand, 0.09 xG4–1
- P2 19:00ANACorey PerryPPAssists: Kevin Bieksa, Hampus Lindholm · Wrist, 0.32 xG5–1
Penalties (27)
- P1 5:10ARIJordan Martinook: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P1 9:39ARINiklas Treutle: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P1 17:46ANAKevin Bieksa: Cross checking2 min
- P1 19:49ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 7:26ANANick Ritchie: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 12:23ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Roughing2 min
- P2 12:23ANADavid Perron: Cross checking2 min
- P2 17:27ARIAntoine Vermette: Throwing equipment2 min · PPG
- P2 19:00ARIBrad Richardson: Cross checking2 min
- P3 0:59ARIMichael Stone: Slashing2 min
- P3 7:50ANANick Ritchie: Roughing2 min
- P3 7:50ARIMichael Stone: Roughing2 min
- P3 7:50ANANick Ritchie: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 11:34ANANate Thompson: Hooking2 min
- P3 14:01ARIViktor Tikhonov: High sticking2 min
- P3 16:06ARIJarred Tinordi: Fighting5 min
- P3 16:06ANANick Ritchie: Fighting5 min
- P3 16:06ANANick Ritchie: Roughing2 min
- P3 16:06ANANick Ritchie: Roughing2 min
- P3 16:06ANANick Ritchie: Misconduct10 min
- P3 17:30ARIAnthony Duclair: Slashing2 min
- P3 17:30ARIMax Domi: Instigator2 min
- P3 17:30ARIAnthony Duclair: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 17:30ARIMax Domi: Fighting5 min
- P3 17:30ANARyan Garbutt: Interference2 min
- P3 17:30ARIMax Domi: Game misconduct10 min
- P3 17:30ANARyan Garbutt: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hanzal won the faceoff against Thompson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestPerry – McGinn – Rakell5:59
xG 0.15–0.09 (63%)attempts 4–7goals 1–0
- Kesler – Perron – Ritchie2:29
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
- Santorelli – Garbutt – Noesen2:34
xG 0.02–0.01 (65%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Kesler – Cogliano – Silfverberg2:38
xG 0.02–0.02 (46%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Manson – Lindholm10:31
xG 0.10–0.12 (46%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Stoner – Vatanen9:27
xG 0.14–0.38 (27%)attempts 3–13goals 1–0
- Bieksa – Fowler10:33
xG 0.12–0.41 (22%)attempts 7–12goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestVermette – Tikhonov – Duclair3:48
xG 0.17–0.02 (90%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Vermette – Tikhonov – Martinook3:09
xG 0.10–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Chipchura – Sekac – Plotnikov3:56
xG 0.12–0.05 (72%)attempts 6–1goals 0–0
- Chipchura – Martinook – Plotnikov2:28
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestGrossmann – Stone8:06
xG 0.43–0.03 (93%)attempts 11–2goals 0–0
- Ekman-Larsson – Murphy11:50
xG 0.19–0.12 (61%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Connauton – Tinordi9:59
xG 0.21–0.22 (49%)attempts 8–6goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it ANA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − ANA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).