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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 6, 2016·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Dallas Stars 2, Ottawa Senators 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 60% of the time.

OTT winsDAL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:27Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lehtonen
  3. P1 1:15Russell: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Smith, Kostka, Wideman, Stone, Pageau · DAL Russell, Roussel, Eakin, Nemeth, Ritchie

  4. P1 1:57Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  5. P1 2:08Shot by Smith, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  6. P1 4:43Shot by Chiasson, saved by Lehtonen
  7. P1 5:10Shot by Roussel, saved by Hammond
  8. P1 5:46Shot by Ritchie, saved by Hammond
  9. P1 6:26Benn: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Smith, Hoffman, Stone, Pageau, Ceci · DAL Oduya, Benn, Demers, Seguin, Nichushkin

  10. P1 5:47Shot by Ritchie, saved by Hammond
  11. P1 7:21Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  12. P1 9:19Shot by Ceci, saved by Lehtonen
  13. P1 9:38Shot by Oleksiak, saved by Hammond
  14. P1 11:58Shot by Nemeth, saved by Hammond
  15. P1 12:22Shot by Ryan, saved by Lehtonen
  16. P1 12:28Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lehtonen
  17. P1 13:06Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Hammond
  18. P1 14:41Shot by Sceviour, saved by Hammond
  19. P1 15:16Shot by Lazar, saved by Lehtonen
  20. P1 15:21Shot by Karlsson, saved by Lehtonen
  21. P1 17:52Shot by Sceviour, saved by Hammond
  22. P1 19:03Shot by Spezza, saved by Hammond
  23. P1 19:14Shot by Hoffman, saved by Lehtonen
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:22Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Lehtonen
  27. P2 0:58Shot by Methot, saved by Lehtonen
  28. P2 1:47Shot by Ritchie, saved by Hammond
  29. P2 3:02Shot by Fiddler, saved by Hammond
  30. P2 4:26Shot by Russell, saved by Hammond
  31. P2 4:45Goal by Smith (Stone, Pageau)+21 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Smith, Stone, Pageau, Ceci · DAL Goligoski, Russell, Benn, Seguin, Ritchie

  32. P2 7:18Shot by Stone, saved by Lehtonen
  33. P2 7:29Shot by Stone, saved by Lehtonen
  34. P2 8:18Shot by Eakin, saved by Hammond
  35. P2 13:15Smith: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Methot, Smith, Karlsson, Stone, Pageau · DAL Goligoski, Russell, Benn, Seguin, Nichushkin

  36. P2 14:05Goal by Spezza (Russell, Benn)4v5+25 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Phaneuf, Stone, Pageau, Ceci · DAL Spezza, Russell, Benn, Seguin, Ritchie

  37. P2 15:21Eakin: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: OTT Gomez, Phaneuf, Ryan, Karlsson, Dzingel, Zibanejad · DAL Hemsky, Demers, Roussel, Eakin, Oleksiak

  38. P2 16:22Shot by Benn, saved by Hammond5v4
  39. P2 17:00Pageau: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Gomez, Phaneuf, Ryan, Karlsson, Pageau · DAL Goligoski, Russell, Faksa, Janmark

  40. P2 17:42Shot by Seguin, saved by Hammond4v5
  41. P2 18:02Shot by Spezza, saved by Hammond4v5
  42. P2 19:05Shot by Pageau, saved by Lehtonen
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 0:22Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Lehtonen
  46. P3 1:16Shot by Ceci, saved by Lehtonen
  47. P3 10:39Shot by Benn, saved by Hammond
  48. P3 12:16Shot by Seguin, saved by Hammond
  49. P3 12:49Shot by Spezza, saved by Hammond
  50. P3 13:00Shot by Janmark, saved by Hammond
  51. P3 14:12Shot by Ryan, saved by Lehtonen
  52. P3 14:21Shot by Wideman, saved by Lehtonen
  53. P3 15:51Shot by Ceci, saved by Lehtonen
  54. P3 16:00Shot by Nemeth, saved by Hammond
  55. P3 16:15Shot by Janmark, saved by Hammond
  56. P3 17:41Shot by Goligoski, saved by Hammond
  57. P3 17:46Goal by Roussel (Hemsky, Goligoski)+43 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Gomez, Ryan, Kostka, Wideman, Dzingel · DAL Hemsky, Goligoski, Russell, Roussel, Eakin

  58. P3 18:06Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Lehtonen
  59. P3 18:53Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Lehtonen6v5
  60. P3 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Final