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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 8, 2016·MTS Centre, Winnipeg

Nashville Predators 4, Winnipeg Jets 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 58% of the time.

WPG winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:48Shot by Watson, saved by Pavelec
  3. P1 5:28Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Pavelec
  4. P1 6:35Shot by Dano, saved by Rinne
  5. P1 7:26Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Rinne
  6. P1 7:28Goal by Stafford (Scheifele, Byfuglien)+16 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Enstrom, Byfuglien, Wheeler, Stafford, Scheifele · NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Josi, Smith, Forsberg

  7. P1 8:52Postma: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Thorburn, Postma, Chiarot, Lowry, Kosmachuk · NSH Fisher, Granberg, Bitetto, Salomaki, Arvidsson

  8. P1 10:53Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Pavelec
  9. P1 11:35Shot by Halischuk, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 12:55Shot by Burmistrov, saved by Rinne
  11. P1 14:57Shot by Wheeler, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 15:02Shot by Postma, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 17:08Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Pavelec
  14. P1 18:00Shot by Scheifele, saved by Rinne
  15. P1 19:19Goal by Smith (Arvidsson, Ellis)+19 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Enstrom, Byfuglien, Perreault, Burmistrov, Dano · NSH Ribeiro, Ellis, Ekholm, Smith, Arvidsson

  16. P1 19:30Goal by Sissons (Wilson, Weber)+22 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Thorburn, Postma, Halischuk, Chiarot, Lowry · NSH Weber, Wilson, Josi, Watson, Sissons

  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 1:39Shot by Perreault, saved by Rinne
  20. P2 1:40Shot by Dano, saved by Rinne
  21. P2 3:11Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Pavelec
  22. P2 3:19Shot by Weber, saved by Pavelec
  23. P2 3:37Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Pavelec
  24. P2 4:22Shot by Scheifele, saved by Rinne
  25. P2 6:20Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Pavelec
  26. P2 7:02Ellis: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Enstrom, Byfuglien, Wheeler, Stafford, Scheifele · NSH Ribeiro, Ellis, Ekholm, Smith, Salomaki

  27. P2 7:21Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Rinne5v4
  28. P2 8:58Shot by Myers, saved by Rinne5v4
  29. P2 9:00Shot by Stafford, saved by Rinne5v4
  30. P2 10:19Enstrom: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Thorburn, Enstrom, Lowry, Trouba, Kosmachuk · NSH Neal, Ekholm, Granberg, Johansen, Arvidsson

  31. P2 11:41Shot by Weber, saved by Pavelec4v5
  32. P2 13:07Shot by Ellis, saved by Pavelec
  33. P2 13:53Watson: Match penatly 10 minutes (10 min)

    On ice: WPG Enstrom, Byfuglien, Perreault, Burmistrov, Dano · NSH Wilson, Watson, Granberg, Bitetto, Sissons

  34. P2 15:00Shot by Salomaki, saved by Pavelec5v4
  35. P2 19:01Shot by Stafford, saved by Rinne
  36. P2 19:17Shot by Smith, saved by Pavelec
  37. P2 19:18Byfuglien: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Byfuglien, Halischuk, Myers, Lipon, Copp · NSH Ribeiro, Wilson, Ellis, Ekholm, Smith

  38. P2 19:56Shot by Josi, saved by Pavelec4v5
  39. P2 19:57Shot by Forsberg, saved by Pavelec4v5
  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 1:01Shot by Forsberg, saved by Pavelec4v5
  43. P3 2:14Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Pavelec
  44. P3 2:15Chiarot: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Wheeler, Stafford, Postma, Chiarot, Scheifele · NSH Wilson, Ellis, Ekholm, Sissons, Arvidsson

  45. P3 3:08Shot by Josi, saved by Pavelec4v5
  46. P3 3:19Shot by Johansen, saved by Pavelec4v5
  47. P3 3:48Shot by Trouba, saved by Rinne4v5
  48. P3 3:50Neal: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: WPG Thorburn, Enstrom, Lowry, Trouba · NSH Fisher, Neal, Ellis, Ekholm, Johansen

  49. P3 4:06Shot by Josi, saved by Pavelec4v4
  50. P3 4:07Shot by Sissons, saved by Pavelec4v4
  51. P3 4:25Shot by Forsberg, saved by Pavelec5v4
  52. P3 5:55Shot by Enstrom, saved by Rinne
  53. P3 6:52Shot by Forsberg, saved by Pavelec
  54. P3 6:54Myers: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Halischuk, Myers, Trouba, Lipon, Copp · NSH Ribeiro, Ellis, Smith, Bitetto, Forsberg

  55. P3 7:40Shot by Forsberg, saved by Pavelec4v5
  56. P3 8:54Goal by Johansen (Wilson, Sissons)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Byfuglien, Chiarot, Burmistrov, Copp · NSH Weber, Wilson, Ellis, Johansen, Sissons

  57. P3 10:07Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Pavelec
  58. P3 10:41Granberg: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: WPG Enstrom, Byfuglien, Wheeler, Stafford, Burmistrov, Scheifele · NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Smith, Granberg, Forsberg

  59. P3 10:49Shot by Josi, saved by Pavelec5v4
  60. P3 12:30Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Rinne5v4
  61. P3 12:46Shot by Scheifele, saved by Rinne
  62. P3 13:29Shot by Ekholm, saved by Pavelec
  63. P3 13:35Shot by Dano, saved by Rinne
  64. P3 13:37Goal by Trouba (Dano, Burmistrov)+11 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Thorburn, Myers, Burmistrov, Trouba, Dano · NSH Fisher, Ellis, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Arvidsson

  65. P3 15:21Goal by Smith (Forsberg, Ribeiro)+10 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Enstrom, Byfuglien, Perreault, Burmistrov, Dano · NSH Ribeiro, Ekholm, Smith, Granberg, Forsberg

  66. P3 17:03Shot by Weber, saved by Pavelec
  67. P3 17:26Shot by Halischuk, saved by Rinne
  68. P3 19:56Shot by Wheeler, saved by Rinne6v5
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. P3 0:00Final