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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 12, 2016·Centre Bell, Montreal

Minnesota Wild 4, Montréal Canadiens 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 52% of the time.

MTL winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 4:27Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Condon
  3. P1 6:20Shot by Schroeder, saved by Condon
  4. P1 7:40Shot by Lessio, saved by Dubnyk
  5. P1 8:34Shot by McCarron, saved by Dubnyk
  6. P1 8:42Shot by Stoll, saved by Condon
  7. P1 10:10Shot by Schroeder, saved by Condon
  8. P1 10:52Goal by Niederreiter, unassisted+21 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Emelin, Mitchell, Pateryn, Danault, de la Rose · MIN Scandella, Haula, Niederreiter, Fontaine, Dumba

  9. P1 11:18Shot by Pacioretty, saved by Dubnyk
  10. P1 12:11Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Dubnyk
  11. P1 12:13Goal by Barberio (Andrighetto, Pacioretty)+21 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Plekanec, Bartley, Pacioretty, Barberio, Andrighetto · MIN Koivu, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Coyle

  12. P1 12:58Shot by Vanek, saved by Condon
  13. P1 13:20Goal by Granlund (Vanek, Dumba)+21 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Emelin, Mitchell, Pateryn, McCarron, de la Rose · MIN Vanek, Scandella, Schroeder, Granlund, Dumba

  14. P1 14:38Prosser: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Markov, Plekanec, Byron, Barberio, Hudon · MIN Koivu, Parise, Prosser, Coyle, Brodin

  15. P1 15:25Shot by Hudon, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  16. P1 17:22Shot by Koivu, saved by Condon
  17. P1 17:59Shot by Haula, saved by Condon
  18. P1 18:57Shot by Brodin, saved by Condon
  19. P1 19:10Shot by Parise, saved by Condon
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 1:12Shot by Pateryn, saved by Dubnyk
  23. P2 2:45Shot by McCarron, saved by Dubnyk
  24. P2 6:51Shot by Vanek, saved by Condon
  25. P2 7:43Shot by Koivu, saved by Condon
  26. P2 8:04Shot by Lessio, saved by Dubnyk
  27. P2 8:02Shot by Danault, saved by Dubnyk
  28. P2 8:30Shot by Danault, saved by Dubnyk
  29. P2 8:58Shot by Parise, saved by Condon
  30. P2 9:34Shot by Schroeder, saved by Condon
  31. P2 9:56McCarron: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Emelin, Brown, Pateryn, McCarron, de la Rose · MIN Vanek, Schroeder, Prosser, Granlund, Brodin

  32. P2 11:47Shot by Scandella, saved by Condon4v5
  33. P2 11:49Goal by Granlund (Vanek, Niederreiter)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Emelin, Pateryn, Danault, de la Rose · MIN Vanek, Scandella, Spurgeon, Granlund, Niederreiter

  34. P2 12:38Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Condon
  35. P2 14:24Shot by Andrighetto, saved by Dubnyk
  36. P2 15:09Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Condon
  37. P2 16:39Shot by Plekanec, saved by Dubnyk
  38. P2 16:40Shot by Plekanec, saved by Dubnyk
  39. P2 17:31Shot by McCarron, saved by Dubnyk
  40. P2 17:55Shot by Lessio, saved by Dubnyk
  41. P2 18:20Shot by Coyle, saved by Condon
  42. P2 19:50Shot by Plekanec, saved by Dubnyk
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 0:15Shot by Mitchell, saved by Dubnyk
  46. P3 0:16Shot by Mitchell, saved by Dubnyk
  47. P3 1:50Shot by Brodin, saved by Condon
  48. P3 2:19Shot by Brown, saved by Dubnyk
  49. P3 3:20Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Dubnyk
  50. P3 3:40Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Dubnyk
  51. P3 3:51Shot by Markov, saved by Dubnyk
  52. P3 3:49Shot by Markov, saved by Dubnyk
  53. P3 4:34Niederreiter: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Emelin, Barberio, Lessio, Hudon, McCarron · MIN Suter, Spurgeon, Haula, Niederreiter, Fontaine

  54. P3 7:14Shot by Brown, saved by Dubnyk
  55. P3 7:37Danault: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: MTL Brown, Bartley, Dietz, Danault, de la Rose · MIN Koivu, Vanek, Prosser, Coyle, Brodin

  56. P3 11:32Shot by Brown, saved by Dubnyk
  57. P3 13:49Shot by Hudon, saved by Dubnyk
  58. P3 16:00Shot by Dietz, saved by Dubnyk
  59. P3 16:44Shot by Pateryn, saved by Dubnyk
  60. P3 17:21Shot by Pateryn, saved by Dubnyk
  61. P3 18:21Goal by Haula (Coyle)6v50 pts WP

    On ice: MTL Markov, Pacioretty, Barberio, Galchenyuk, Andrighetto, McCarron · MIN Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Haula, Coyle

  62. P3 18:41Shot by de la Rose, saved by Dubnyk
  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Final