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Ice Lab

Fri, Mar 18, 2016·Verizon Center, Washington

Nashville Predators 1, Washington Capitals 4

Away

Nashville Predators

1

Final

Home

Washington Capitals

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 63% of the time.

WSH winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:41Shot by Williams, saved by Hutton
  3. P1 1:01Shot by Oshie, saved by Hutton
  4. P1 1:38Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Hutton
  5. P1 3:44Shot by Chimera, saved by Hutton
  6. P1 4:27Shot by Weber, saved by Holtby
  7. P1 6:12Shot by Smith, saved by Holtby
  8. P1 9:52Shot by Niskanen, saved by Hutton
  9. P1 12:04Shot by Neal, saved by Holtby
  10. P1 12:58Shot by Chimera, saved by Hutton
  11. P1 13:01Shot by Chimera, saved by Hutton
  12. P1 13:54Backstrom: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Niskanen, Backstrom, Alzner, Beagle · NSH Weber, Neal, Josi, Jarnkrok, Johansen, Forsberg

  13. P1 14:53Shot by Josi, saved by Holtby4v5
  14. P1 18:13Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Hutton
  15. P1 18:23Shot by Niskanen, saved by Hutton
  16. P1 19:08Shot by Beagle, saved by Hutton
  17. P1 19:11Shot by Oshie, saved by Hutton
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 1:40Shot by Backstrom, saved by Hutton
  21. P2 1:53Shot by Fisher, saved by Holtby
  22. P2 1:57Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Holtby
  23. P2 2:33Chorney: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Williams, Chorney, Johansson, Schmidt · NSH Fisher, Jackman, Wilson, Ellis, Arvidsson

  24. P2 3:30Goal by Forsberg (Josi, Weber)4v5+23 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Richards, Niskanen, Alzner, Wilson · NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Josi, Smith, Forsberg

  25. P2 5:52Johansen: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Ovechkin, Niskanen, Backstrom, Alzner, Beagle · NSH Weber, Neal, Josi, Jarnkrok, Johansen

  26. P2 7:52Goal by Winnik (Kuznetsov, Holtby)+24 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Winnik, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Wilson, Schmidt · NSH Weber, Josi, Watson, Sissons

  27. P2 8:14Johansen: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Richards, Winnik, Niskanen, Alzner, Wilson · NSH Weber, Neal, Josi, Jarnkrok, Johansen

  28. P2 10:01Shot by Ellis, saved by Holtby5v4
  29. P2 11:19Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Holtby
  30. P2 12:22Goal by Oshie (Kuznetsov)+24 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Oshie, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Burakovsky · NSH Ribeiro, Ekholm, Smith, Granberg, Forsberg

  31. P2 14:12Shot by Weber, saved by Holtby
  32. P2 15:15Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Hutton
  33. P2 15:24Shot by Alzner, saved by Hutton
  34. P2 15:32Shot by Beagle, saved by Hutton
  35. P2 15:44Shot by Alzner, saved by Hutton
  36. P2 15:50Shot by Alzner, saved by Hutton
  37. P2 17:33Shot by Neal, saved by Holtby
  38. P2 18:45Shot by Wilson, saved by Hutton
  39. P2 19:42Goal by Winnik (Orlov)+14 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Richards, Winnik, Orlov, Wilson · NSH Fisher, Weber, Wilson, Josi, Arvidsson

  40. P2 19:57Shot by Forsberg, saved by Holtby
  41. P2 0:00Period end
  42. P3 0:00Period start
  43. P3 0:36Goal by Burakovsky (Kuznetsov)+5 pts WP

    On ice: WSH Oshie, Alzner, Orlov, Kuznetsov, Burakovsky · NSH Neal, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Granberg, Johansen

  44. P3 1:50Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Holtby
  45. P3 2:04Shot by Jackman, saved by Holtby
  46. P3 2:27Shot by Orlov, saved by Hutton
  47. P3 2:29Shot by Oshie, saved by Hutton
  48. P3 3:26Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Holtby
  49. P3 3:53Ovechkin: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Ovechkin, Backstrom, Beagle, Orlov · NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Josi, Smith, Forsberg

  50. P3 7:33Shot by Salomaki, saved by Holtby
  51. P3 7:49Shot by Neal, saved by Holtby
  52. P3 8:20Shot by Weber, saved by Holtby
  53. P3 9:02Ribeiro: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Ovechkin, Backstrom, Beagle, Orlov · NSH Ribeiro, Jackman, Ellis, Smith, Forsberg

  54. P3 9:02Smith: Holding the stick (2 min)5v3

    On ice: WSH Orpik, Ovechkin, Backstrom, Beagle, Orlov · NSH Ribeiro, Jackman, Ellis, Smith, Forsberg

  55. P3 9:13Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Hutton5v4
  56. P3 9:53Shot by Oshie, saved by Hutton5v4
  57. P3 10:39Shot by Williams, saved by Hutton5v4
  58. P3 12:04Shot by Ellis, saved by Holtby
  59. P3 12:47Shot by Ekholm, saved by Holtby
  60. P3 15:33Shot by Johansen, saved by Holtby
  61. P3 18:57Johansen: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WSH Chimera, Orpik, Williams, Johansson, Orlov · NSH Jackman, Neal, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Johansen

  62. P3 19:07Weber: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)5v4

    On ice: WSH Richards, Winnik, Niskanen, Orlov, Wilson · NSH Weber, Josi, Forsberg, Sissons

  63. P3 19:19Shot by Ovechkin, saved by Hutton5v3
  64. P3 19:30Shot by Richards, saved by Hutton5v3
  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Final