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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 22, 2016·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Detroit Red Wings 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 87% of the time.

TBL winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:16Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Bishop
  3. P1 0:45Shot by Johnson, saved by Howard
  4. P1 0:48Shot by Marchessault, saved by Howard
  5. P1 0:58Shot by Brown, saved by Howard
  6. P1 1:47Goal by Condra (Palat, Boyle)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Boyle, Carle, Condra, Hedman, Palat · DET Richards, Kronwall, Ericsson, Glendening, Athanasiou

  7. P1 2:02Shot by Smith, saved by Bishop
  8. P1 2:30Shot by Killorn, saved by Howard
  9. P1 2:47Shot by Killorn, saved by Howard
  10. P1 2:46Shot by Killorn, saved by Howard
  11. P1 4:45Shot by Quincey, saved by Bishop
  12. P1 5:19Shot by Stralman, saved by Howard
  13. P1 7:12Shot by Paquette, saved by Howard
  14. P1 7:17Shot by Nesterov, saved by Howard
  15. P1 7:17Paquette: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Nesterov, Namestnikov, Brown, Paquette · DET Zetterberg, Quincey, Nyquist, Tatar, DeKeyser

  16. P1 7:17Quincey: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Nesterov, Namestnikov, Brown, Paquette · DET Zetterberg, Quincey, Nyquist, Tatar, DeKeyser

  17. P1 9:53Shot by Brown, saved by Howard
  18. P1 9:55Goal by Namestnikov (Brown)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Carle, Killorn, Namestnikov, Brown, Sustr · DET Kronwall, Nyquist, Tatar, Sheahan, DeKeyser

  19. P1 10:21Shot by Green, saved by Bishop
  20. P1 12:27Shot by Nyquist, saved by Bishop
  21. P1 13:01Shot by Smith, saved by Bishop
  22. P1 14:50Shot by Mantha, saved by Bishop
  23. P1 15:34Glendening: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Carle, Namestnikov, Brown, Paquette · DET Richards, Quincey, Glendening, Athanasiou, DeKeyser

  24. P1 16:02Shot by Killorn, saved by Howard5v4
  25. P1 17:25Shot by Boyle, saved by Howard5v4
  26. P1 17:45Shot by Boyle, saved by Howard
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:33Goal by Stamkos (Kucherov, Hedman)+8 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov · DET Datsyuk, Kronwall, Ericsson, Helm, Mantha

  30. P2 1:30Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Mrazek
  31. P2 2:21Smith: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Carle, Namestnikov, Brown, Paquette · DET Green, Smith, Nyquist, Tatar, Sheahan

  32. P2 2:21Brown: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Carle, Namestnikov, Brown, Paquette · DET Green, Smith, Nyquist, Tatar, Sheahan

  33. P2 4:09Shot by Coburn, saved by Mrazek
  34. P2 6:34Killorn: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Carle, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov · DET Richards, Ericsson, Green, Glendening, Athanasiou

  35. P2 7:53Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Bishop4v5
  36. P2 8:08Goal by Abdelkader (Zetterberg, Kronwall)4v5+7 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Boyle, Hedman, Paquette · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Abdelkader, Nyquist, Larkin

  37. P2 8:55Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Bishop
  38. P2 9:00Shot by Smith, saved by Bishop
  39. P2 9:06Shot by Smith, saved by Bishop
  40. P2 10:56Shot by Larkin, saved by Bishop
  41. P2 11:56Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Bishop
  42. P2 12:16Shot by Richards, saved by Bishop
  43. P2 14:40Shot by Johnson, saved by Mrazek
  44. P2 15:13Shot by Hedman, saved by Mrazek
  45. P2 15:25Goal by Helm (Datsyuk, Mantha)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Killorn, Stamkos, Nesterov, Kucherov · DET Datsyuk, Quincey, Helm, DeKeyser, Mantha

  46. P2 16:34Shot by Condra, saved by Mrazek
  47. P2 16:41Green: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Boyle, Condra, Garrison, Kucherov, Sustr · DET Green, Smith, Nyquist, Tatar, Sheahan

  48. P2 16:53Abdelkader: Cross checking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Namestnikov · DET Kronwall, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Glendening

  49. P2 17:42Goal by Kucherov (Johnson, Stamkos)5v3+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov · DET Sheahan, Glendening, DeKeyser

  50. P2 18:44Shot by Boyle, saved by Mrazek5v4
  51. P2 18:47Kronwall: Slashing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Boyle, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Marchessault · DET Kronwall, Ericsson, Helm, Sheahan

  52. P2 18:57Shot by Stamkos, saved by Mrazek5v4
  53. P2 19:14Shot by Kucherov, saved by Mrazek5v4
  54. P2 19:46Shot by Kucherov, saved by Mrazek5v4
  55. P2 19:59Shot by Kucherov, saved by Mrazek5v4
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 1:01Shot by Johnson, saved by Mrazek
  59. P3 1:03Goal by Palat (Johnson, Hedman)+5 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Marchessault · DET Zetterberg, Ericsson, Helm, Smith, Sheahan

  60. P3 2:43Shot by Kronwall, saved by Bishop
  61. P3 4:53Shot by Tatar, saved by Bishop
  62. P3 5:21Namestnikov: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Carle, Namestnikov, Brown, Paquette · DET Zetterberg, Green, Smith, Nyquist, Tatar

  63. P3 5:21Nyquist: Slashing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Coburn, Carle, Namestnikov, Brown, Paquette · DET Zetterberg, Green, Smith, Nyquist, Tatar

  64. P3 10:11Shot by Garrison, saved by Mrazek
  65. P3 12:14Shot by Condra, saved by Mrazek
  66. P3 12:46Shot by Helm, saved by Bishop
  67. P3 13:52Shot by Mantha, saved by Bishop
  68. P3 14:07Shot by Paquette, saved by Mrazek
  69. P3 15:07Shot by Smith, saved by Bishop
  70. P3 15:48Shot by Tatar, saved by Bishop
  71. P3 16:35Shot by Ericsson, saved by Bishop
  72. P3 16:54Shot by Condra, saved by Mrazek
  73. P3 16:56Goal by Condra (Boyle)0 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Boyle, Condra, Garrison, Palat, Sustr · DET Zetterberg, Ericsson, Quincey, Abdelkader, Larkin

  74. P3 18:00Shot by Tatar, saved by Bishop
  75. P3 19:29Shot by Athanasiou, saved by Bishop
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final