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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 24, 2016·Pepsi Center, Denver

Philadelphia Flyers 4, Colorado Avalanche 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 76% of the time.

COL winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:11Shot by Streit, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 0:54Shot by Landeskog, saved by Mason
  4. P1 1:20Shot by Johnson, saved by Mason
  5. P1 1:45Shot by Iginla, saved by Mason
  6. P1 4:38Shot by Gagner, saved by Varlamov
  7. P1 5:25Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Varlamov
  8. P1 5:51Mitchell: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Iginla, Mitchell, Holden, Bigras, Martinsen · PHI Streit, Schultz, Giroux, Simmonds, Schenn

  9. P1 6:38Shot by Landeskog, saved by Mason4v5
  10. P1 6:42Shot by Matthias, saved by Mason4v5
  11. P1 7:30Shot by Gagner, saved by Varlamov4v5
  12. P1 10:05Shot by Voracek, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 10:34Shot by Raffl, saved by Varlamov
  14. P1 11:07Shot by Rantanen, saved by Mason
  15. P1 11:55Shot by Soderberg, saved by Mason
  16. P1 11:57Shot by Matthias, saved by Mason
  17. P1 14:24Shot by Johnson, saved by Mason
  18. P1 14:45Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Mason
  19. P1 15:49Shot by Skille, saved by Mason
  20. P1 15:51Shot by Skille, saved by Mason
  21. P1 16:52Shot by Johnson, saved by Mason
  22. P1 17:02Shot by Comeau, saved by Mason
  23. P1 17:10Shot by Cousins, saved by Varlamov
  24. P1 17:37Voracek: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: COL Iginla, Mitchell, Holden, Barrie, Martinsen · PHI Voracek, Manning, Gudas, Couturier, Raffl

  25. P1 19:49Shot by Johnson, saved by Mason
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 1:00Shot by Johnson, saved by Mason
  29. P2 2:50Shot by Read, saved by Varlamov
  30. P2 2:56Shot by McLeod, saved by Mason
  31. P2 3:05Goal by Holden (Grigorenko, Boedker)+21 pts WP

    On ice: COL Comeau, Holden, Boedker, Barrie, Grigorenko · PHI Streit, Schultz, VandeVelde, White, Bellemare

  32. P2 3:28Shot by Holden, saved by Mason
  33. P2 3:32Shot by Boedker, saved by Mason
  34. P2 3:41Shot by Simmonds, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 3:55Shot by Simmonds, saved by Varlamov
  36. P2 4:04Shot by Simmonds, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 4:13Shot by Johnson, saved by Mason
  38. P2 4:23Shot by Bellemare, saved by Varlamov
  39. P2 4:52Shot by Bellemare, saved by Varlamov
  40. P2 6:01Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Varlamov
  41. P2 7:09Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Varlamov
  42. P2 8:57Shot by Gagner, saved by Varlamov
  43. P2 9:46Shot by Manning, saved by Varlamov
  44. P2 9:47Shot by Simmonds, saved by Varlamov
  45. P2 10:15Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Mason
  46. P2 11:12Shot by Raffl, saved by Varlamov
  47. P2 12:31Shot by White, saved by Varlamov
  48. P2 12:36Goal by Bellemare (Gostisbehere, MacDonald)+24 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Mitchell, Redmond, Martinsen · PHI VandeVelde, White, MacDonald, Gostisbehere, Bellemare

  49. P2 14:34Beauchemin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Mitchell, Holden, Martinsen · PHI Giroux, Simmonds, Schenn, Manning, Gudas

  50. P2 15:13Shot by Giroux, saved by Varlamov4v5
  51. P2 15:45Shot by Giroux, saved by Varlamov4v5
  52. P2 16:27Shot by Streit, saved by Varlamov4v5
  53. P2 16:37Shot by Bigras, saved by Mason
  54. P2 18:01Shot by Johnson, saved by Mason
  55. P2 18:55Shot by White, saved by Varlamov
  56. P2 19:49Shot by Raffl, saved by Varlamov
  57. P2 19:58Shot by Boedker, saved by Mason
  58. P2 0:00Couturier: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Comeau, Holden, Boedker, Barrie, Grigorenko · PHI Simmonds, Schenn, Manning, Gudas, Couturier

  59. P2 0:00Comeau: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Comeau, Holden, Boedker, Barrie, Grigorenko · PHI Simmonds, Schenn, Manning, Gudas, Couturier

  60. P2 0:00Period end
  61. P3 0:00Period start
  62. P3 0:51Shot by Schultz, saved by Varlamov4v4
  63. P3 1:45Shot by Gudas, saved by Varlamov4v4
  64. P3 2:06Shot by Giroux, saved by Varlamov
  65. P3 3:23Shot by Matthias, saved by Mason
  66. P3 3:30Shot by Gagner, saved by Varlamov
  67. P3 3:43Shot by Manning, saved by Varlamov
  68. P3 3:54Shot by McLeod, saved by Mason
  69. P3 4:18Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Varlamov
  70. P3 5:05Shot by Schenn, saved by Varlamov
  71. P3 5:15Shot by Simmonds, saved by Varlamov
  72. P3 6:13Goal by Mitchell (Martinsen, Beauchemin)+29 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Mitchell, Barrie, Martinsen · PHI MacDonald, Gagner, Read, Cousins, Gostisbehere

  73. P3 7:59Shot by Bellemare, saved by Varlamov
  74. P3 8:53Shot by Manning, saved by Varlamov
  75. P3 8:54Shot by Gagner, saved by Varlamov
  76. P3 14:17Goal by Gudas (Couturier, Voracek)+38 pts WP

    On ice: COL McLeod, Skille, Holden, Barrie, Rantanen · PHI Voracek, Manning, Gudas, Couturier, Raffl

  77. P3 14:35Shot by Simmonds, saved by Varlamov
  78. P3 14:36Goal by Giroux (Simmonds, Schenn)+38 pts WP

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Soderberg, Johnson, Matthias, Landeskog · PHI Streit, Schultz, Giroux, Simmonds, Schenn

  79. P3 15:17Shot by Bellemare, saved by Varlamov
  80. P3 16:09Shot by Gudas, saved by Varlamov
  81. P3 16:50Shot by Johnson, saved by Mason
  82. P3 17:19Shot by Holden, saved by Mason
  83. P3 17:29Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Varlamov
  84. P3 17:38Shot by Bellemare, saved by Varlamov
  85. P3 17:49Shot by Iginla, saved by Mason
  86. P3 17:52Shot by Mitchell, saved by Mason
  87. P3 18:08Shot by Johnson, saved by Mason6v5
  88. P3 18:26Shot by Matthias, saved by Mason6v5
  89. P3 19:55Goal by White (Bellemare, Gudas)6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: COL Comeau, Johnson, Boedker, Barrie, Landeskog, Grigorenko · PHI VandeVelde, White, MacDonald, Gudas, Bellemare

  90. P3 0:00Period end
  91. P3 0:00Final