Skip to content
Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 26, 2016·Pepsi Center, Denver

Minnesota Wild 4, Colorado Avalanche 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 82% of the time.

COL winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:40Shot by Vanek, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 2:49Shot by Landeskog, saved by Dubnyk
  4. P1 5:16Shot by Schroeder, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 6:10Shot by Barrie, saved by Dubnyk
  6. P1 6:26Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Varlamov
  7. P1 6:58Shot by Skille, saved by Dubnyk
  8. P1 7:55Shot by Mitchell, saved by Dubnyk
  9. P1 8:01Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Dubnyk
  10. P1 8:13Shot by Boedker, saved by Dubnyk
  11. P1 9:18Shot by Parise, saved by Varlamov
  12. P1 9:39Shot by Fontaine, saved by Varlamov
  13. P1 9:51Fontaine: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Mitchell, McLeod, Skille, Redmond, Bigras, Rantanen · MIN Stoll, Schroeder, Fontaine, Reilly, Dumba

  14. P1 13:17Shot by Vanek, saved by Varlamov
  15. P1 13:47Shot by Matthias, saved by Dubnyk
  16. P1 14:14Shot by Granlund, saved by Varlamov
  17. P1 14:30Shot by Skille, saved by Dubnyk
  18. P1 15:08Shot by Mitchell, saved by Dubnyk
  19. P1 18:17Shot by Mitchell, saved by Dubnyk
  20. P1 19:03Shot by Boedker, saved by Dubnyk
  21. P1 19:56Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Varlamov
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:34Shot by Matthias, saved by Dubnyk
  25. P2 0:46Shot by Vanek, saved by Varlamov
  26. P2 1:02Shot by Jones, saved by Varlamov
  27. P2 1:36Shot by Granlund, saved by Varlamov
  28. P2 2:32Shot by Dumba, saved by Varlamov
  29. P2 2:45Shot by Iginla, saved by Dubnyk
  30. P2 3:24Shot by Johnson, saved by Dubnyk
  31. P2 3:49Shot by Redmond, saved by Dubnyk
  32. P2 4:01Shot by Rantanen, saved by Dubnyk
  33. P2 5:02Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Dubnyk
  34. P2 6:01Shot by Iginla, saved by Dubnyk
  35. P2 6:03Suter: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Iginla, Mitchell, Johnson, Redmond, Martinsen · MIN Koivu, Suter, Spurgeon, Schroeder, Coyle

  36. P2 6:44Shot by Iginla, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  37. P2 7:06Shot by Matthias, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  38. P2 7:56Shot by Parise, saved by Varlamov5v4
  39. P2 8:02Shot by Parise, saved by Varlamov5v4
  40. P2 8:04Shot by Parise, saved by Varlamov
  41. P2 8:15Shot by Granlund, saved by Varlamov
  42. P2 8:15Bigras: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Johnson, Matthias, Landeskog, Bigras · MIN Suter, Parise, Scandella, Spurgeon, Granlund

  43. P2 8:53Shot by Reilly, saved by Varlamov4v5
  44. P2 9:05Shot by Vanek, saved by Varlamov4v5
  45. P2 9:29Shot by Landeskog, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  46. P2 10:57Shot by Haula, saved by Varlamov
  47. P2 11:27Goal by Parise (Granlund)+25 pts WP

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Johnson, Boedker, Grigorenko · MIN Koivu, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Granlund

  48. P2 13:42Shot by Holden, saved by Dubnyk
  49. P2 17:33Shot by Coyle, saved by Varlamov
  50. P2 18:49Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Varlamov
  51. P2 19:38Goal by Schroeder (Fontaine, Scandella)+15 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Johnson, Holden, Grigorenko, Martinsen · MIN Stoll, Suter, Spurgeon, Schroeder, Fontaine

  52. P2 19:50Martinsen: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Mitchell, Barrie, Martinsen · MIN Vanek, Suter, Jones, Spurgeon, Granlund

  53. P2 19:58Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Varlamov4v5
  54. P2 19:59Shot by Koivu, saved by Varlamov4v5
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:24Coyle: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson · MIN Koivu, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Coyle

  58. P3 2:27Fontaine: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Soderberg, Johnson, Boedker, Barrie, Landeskog, Grigorenko · MIN Suter, Spurgeon, Haula, Coyle, Fontaine

  59. P3 4:14Matthias: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson, Matthias · MIN Scandella, Haula, Granlund, Brodin

  60. P3 4:55Goal by Parise (Suter, Koivu)4v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Mitchell, Holden, Landeskog · MIN Koivu, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Coyle

  61. P3 5:09Shot by Bigras, saved by Dubnyk
  62. P3 6:19Shot by Martinsen, saved by Dubnyk
  63. P3 6:28Boedker: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: COL Holden, Boedker, Barrie, Landeskog, Grigorenko · MIN Stoll, Suter, Spurgeon, Haula, Fontaine

  64. P3 6:34Shot by Spurgeon, saved by Varlamov4v5
  65. P3 6:52Shot by Parise, saved by Varlamov4v5
  66. P3 10:08Shot by Matthias, saved by Dubnyk6v5
  67. P3 10:56Koivu: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: COL Beauchemin, Soderberg, Boedker, Barrie, Landeskog, Grigorenko · MIN Koivu, Suter, Parise, Spurgeon, Coyle

  68. P3 11:06Goal by Granlund (Haula)6v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: COL Iginla, Soderberg, Matthias, Boedker, Barrie, Landeskog · MIN Suter, Spurgeon, Haula, Granlund

  69. P3 11:55Shot by Soderberg, saved by Dubnyk5v4
  70. P3 13:31Shot by Bigras, saved by Dubnyk
  71. P3 13:55Shot by McLeod, saved by Dubnyk
  72. P3 17:12Shot by Scandella, saved by Varlamov
  73. P3 17:20Shot by McLeod, saved by Dubnyk
  74. P3 18:36Martinsen: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: COL Iginla, Mitchell, Barrie, Bigras, Martinsen · MIN Stoll, Schroeder, Fontaine, Reilly, Dumba

  75. P3 18:46Shot by Reilly, saved by Varlamov4v5
  76. P3 19:13Shot by Haula, saved by Varlamov4v5
  77. P3 19:14Shot by Haula, saved by Varlamov4v5
  78. P3 19:32Shot by Dumba, saved by Varlamov4v5
  79. P3 19:53Shot by Pominville, saved by Varlamov4v5
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. P3 0:00Final