Sat, Mar 26, 2016·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Philadelphia Flyers 1, Arizona Coyotes 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 50% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 05 | 016 | 114 | 135 |
| ARI | 06 | 27 | 04 | 217 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 15:37ARIShane DoanPPAssists: Antoine Vermette, Alex Tanguay · Wrist, 0.38 xG0–1
- P2 19:59ARIMichael StoneGWGAssists: Anthony Duclair, Martin Hanzal · Wrist, 0.05 xG0–2
- P3 19:20PHISean CouturierPPAssists: Shayne Gostisbehere, Matt Read · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–2
Penalties (13)
- P1 2:14PHIBrandon Manning: Slashing2 min
- P1 13:51ARIKevin Connauton: Holding2 min
- P2 1:55ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Roughing2 min
- P2 10:12PHISean Couturier: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 15:04PHIRyan White: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P2 16:20ARIShane Doan: High sticking2 min
- P3 1:26ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: High sticking2 min
- P3 17:45ARIMartin Hanzal: Boarding5 min · PPG
- P3 17:45PHIBrayden Schenn: Roughing2 min
- P3 17:45PHIWayne Simmonds: Misconduct10 min
- P3 17:45ARIMartin Hanzal: Game misconduct10 min
- P3 19:20ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Misconduct10 min
- P3 19:20PHIRyan White: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Giroux won the faceoff against Hanzal
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Philadelphia Flyers
Forward lines
- VandeVelde – White – Bellemare4:32
xG 0.14–0.09 (59%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Giroux – Simmonds – Schenn12:17
xG 0.17–0.14 (54%)attempts 10–6goals 0–0
- Voracek – Couturier – Raffl12:31
xG 0.27–0.31 (46%)attempts 12–7goals 0–0
- Gagner – Read – Cousins6:45
xG 0.26–0.71 (27%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMacDonald – Gostisbehere12:54
xG 0.30–0.22 (58%)attempts 10–8goals 0–0
- Manning – Gudas11:27
xG 0.38–0.42 (48%)attempts 17–6goals 0–1
- Streit – Schultz10:49
xG 0.08–0.35 (19%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestHanzal – Duclair – Domi10:57
xG 0.64–0.10 (86%)attempts 10–8goals 1–0
- Doan – Richardson – Rieder7:36
xG 0.23–0.07 (78%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Tanguay – Vermette – Sekac3:46
xG 0.00–0.06 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
- Gordon – Martinook – Sekac4:43
xG 0.11–0.23 (32%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestStone – Connauton9:49
xG 0.39–0.24 (61%)attempts 8–12goals 1–0
- Ekman-Larsson – Murphy17:34
xG 0.37–0.25 (60%)attempts 11–14goals 0–0
- Michalek – Dahlbeck11:03
xG 0.56–0.45 (55%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it PHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 50% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − PHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).