Tue, Mar 29, 2016·CONSOL Energy Center, Pittsburgh
Buffalo Sabres 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 65% of the time.
57%
8%
9%
26%
PIT winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 29:10 | 0.13 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 24:26 | 0.20 | 32.7% | +38.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:59 | 0.02 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21:37 | 0.36 | 34.9% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:52 | 0.29 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:33 | 0.06 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:24 | 0.25 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 19:21 | 0.14 | 32.6% | +8.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 19:15 | 0.10 | 37.5% | +53.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:22 | 0.19 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 0 | 14:05 | 0.01 | 32.0% | +53.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:30 | 0.03 | 19.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:15 | 0.00 | 15.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:31 | 0.00 | 14.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:47 | 0.05 | 18.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 11:03 | 0.38 | 31.5% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:51 | 0.16 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 8:59 | 0.00 | 37.4% | 0.0 |
| O | 46 | 42 | 4 | .913 | 3.26 | −0.7 | 65:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 35:14 | 0.27 | 74.2% | +28.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 24:42 | 0.16 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 23:15 | 0.25 | 66.8% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:26 | 0.23 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:40 | 0.52 | 46.2% | +27.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:23 | 0.08 | 65.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:06 | 0.08 | 74.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:53 | 0.17 | 81.2% | +28.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:55 | 0.15 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 16:02 | 0.00 | 64.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:00 | 0.17 | 49.5% | +8.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:35 | 0.19 | 64.7% | +27.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:56 | 0.10 | 73.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 14:13 | 0.31 | 64.4% | +36.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:30 | 0.06 | 71.8% | +8.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 10:32 | 0.25 | 88.0% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:10 | 0.16 | 99.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 5:58 | 0.10 | 94.3% | +15.3 |
| W | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 2.37 | −1.6 | 65:00 |