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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 30, 2016·MTS Centre, Winnipeg

Ottawa Senators 2, Winnipeg Jets 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 58% of the time.

WPG winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WPG forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Ryan–Hoffman–ZibanejadChiasson–Dzingel–LazarNeil–Puempel–PaulSmith–Stone–PageauSmith–Pageau–PuempelHoffman–Stone–PageauRyan–Hoffman–LazarKarlsson–ClaessonMethot–CeciKostka–WidemanKostka–Karlsson
Armia–Copp–Petan2:010.03–0.020:530.00–0.002:040.06–0.020:420.03–0.001:130.22–0.003:570.39–0.001:370.06–0.042:040.12–0.000:510.02–0.00
Wheeler–Scheifele–Ehlers3:030.00–0.050:550.00–0.000:370.06–0.002:240.00–0.074:000.00–0.002:350.06–0.121:250.00–0.00
Thorburn–Halischuk–Lowry1:500.02–0.032:290.01–0.050:370.00–0.000:360.00–0.040:400.04–0.002:150.02–0.001:260.01–0.003:120.04–0.13
Stafford–Burmistrov–Dano3:100.10–0.040:500.00–0.001:030.00–0.001:500.03–0.043:050.12–0.00
Wheeler–Stafford–Scheifele1:400.21–0.022:210.06–0.121:110.00–0.131:550.00–0.123:270.26–0.040:330.00–0.12
Burmistrov–Dano–Ehlers0:460.04–0.032:110.07–0.021:580.07–0.031:590.04–0.03
Stafford–Burmistrov–Ehlers0:300.00–0.00
Byfuglien–Chiarot3:420.08–0.021:350.00–0.121:570.12–0.002:070.00–0.071:410.07–0.000:430.05–0.007:440.34–0.003:250.17–0.094:150.20–0.12
Stuart–Trouba3:250.25–0.051:470.01–0.041:200.07–0.053:470.04–0.232:100.15–0.040:440.00–0.044:370.07–0.026:210.21–0.303:170.08–0.13
Postma–Melchiori1:040.02–0.003:440.10–0.022:150.00–0.242:250.08–0.171:480.00–0.063:190.12–0.020:510.02–0.00
Byfuglien–Melchiori1:260.00–0.031:040.01–0.000:420.00–0.000:500.01–0.001:280.00–0.03
Byfuglien–Trouba0:310.00–0.00
Postma–Chiarot0:350.00–0.060:360.00–0.06
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHalischuk FLowry FThorburn FEhlers FWheeler FScheifele FBurmistrov FDano FStafford FPetan FCopp FArmia FStuart DTrouba DChiarot DByfuglien DPostma DMelchiori DHutchinson GSmith FPageau FStone FHoffman FRyan FZibanejad FLazar FDzingel FChiasson FPuempel FNeil FPaul FMethot DCeci DClaesson DKarlsson DKostka DWideman DHammond G
WPGOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Dustin ByfuglienWPG2928:220:591:4826
Erik KarlssonOTT2726:080:582:1351
Jacob TroubaWPG2623:580:552:0031
Mark ScheifeleWPG2221:210:582:2153
Blake WheelerWPG2221:060:582:1154
Fredrik ClaessonOTT2520:580:501:5040
Jean-Gabriel PageauOTT3020:470:421:3248
Marc MethotOTT2820:440:441:1436
Cody CeciOTT2820:430:441:1637
Ben ChiarotWPG2820:370:441:2614
Nikolaj EhlersWPG2119:470:572:0742
Alexander BurmistrovWPG2218:190:501:2711
Mika ZibanejadOTT2318:090:472:0251
Drew StaffordWPG2017:390:532:0020
Mark StuartWPG2117:180:491:4711
Zack SmithOTT2516:490:401:3234
Bobby RyanOTT2116:260:472:0250
Nic PetanWPG1816:090:541:4010
Chris WidemanOTT2115:460:451:0813
Marko DanoWPG2015:000:451:0610
Matt PuempelOTT2014:500:451:3211
Mike HoffmanOTT1914:470:471:3651
Alex ChiassonOTT2114:450:421:2712
Curtis LazarOTT2014:390:441:1413
Michael KostkaOTT1914:160:451:3112
Julian MelchioriWPG1513:060:521:2221
Paul PostmaWPG1712:380:451:2210
Joel ArmiaWPG1611:550:451:2420
Ryan DzingelOTT1511:480:471:1223
Nick PaulOTT1811:310:381:0510
Mark StoneOTT1511:170:451:0033
Andrew CoppWPG1810:350:351:0421
Adam LowryWPG1510:330:421:1115
Chris NeilOTT159:370:381:0210
Matt HalischukWPG149:260:401:1123
Chris ThorburnWPG169:220:351:0815