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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 31, 2016·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul

Ottawa Senators 3, Minnesota Wild 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 51% of the time.

MIN winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:22Shot by Hoffman, saved by Dubnyk
  3. P1 4:02Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Dubnyk
  4. P1 5:04Shot by Porter, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 5:08Shot by Dumba, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 5:42Shot by Neil, saved by Dubnyk
  7. P1 6:25Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 6:32Shot by Neil, saved by Dubnyk
  9. P1 7:02Shot by Smith, saved by Dubnyk
  10. P1 7:20Shot by Koivu, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 8:11Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Dubnyk
  12. P1 8:54Shot by Paul, saved by Dubnyk
  13. P1 11:21Shot by Brodin, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 12:08Shot by Dzingel, saved by Dubnyk
  15. P1 14:02Shot by Pominville, saved by Anderson
  16. P1 14:36Shot by Methot, saved by Dubnyk
  17. P1 16:55Shot by Neil, saved by Dubnyk
  18. P1 18:20Shot by Pominville, saved by Anderson
  19. P1 18:33Shot by Chiasson, saved by Dubnyk
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:17Shot by Claesson, saved by Dubnyk
  23. P2 1:08Shot by Dumba, saved by Anderson
  24. P2 1:28Shot by Suter, saved by Anderson
  25. P2 2:39Shot by Gomez, saved by Dubnyk
  26. P2 3:44Goal by Karlsson (Ryan, Pageau)+23 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Suter, Schroeder, Haula, Niederreiter, Brodin · OTT Methot, Ryan, Smith, Karlsson, Pageau

  27. P2 4:19Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Dubnyk
  28. P2 7:36Shot by Paul, saved by Dubnyk
  29. P2 8:43Shot by Suter, saved by Anderson
  30. P2 11:13Goal by Parise (Scandella, Dumba)+25 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Parise, Scandella, Coyle, Dumba · OTT Neil, Methot, Dzingel, Pageau, Ceci

  31. P2 11:11Shot by Scandella, saved by Anderson
  32. P2 14:34Goal by Pageau (Ryan, Karlsson)+26 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Parise, Scandella, Coyle, Reilly · OTT Ryan, Smith, Karlsson, Claesson, Pageau

  33. P2 17:42Shot by Pominville, saved by Anderson
  34. P2 18:02Shot by Parise, saved by Anderson
  35. P2 18:13Shot by Koivu, saved by Anderson
  36. P2 18:19Methot: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Parise, Coyle, Reilly, Dumba · OTT Methot, Chiasson, Zibanejad, Ceci, Lazar

  37. P2 19:22Shot by Suter, saved by Anderson5v4
  38. P2 19:40Shot by Koivu, saved by Anderson5v4
  39. P2 0:00Period end
  40. P3 0:00Period start
  41. P3 0:52Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Anderson
  42. P3 4:33Goal by Haula (Pominville)+30 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Pominville, Suter, Haula, Niederreiter, Brodin · OTT Chiasson, Wideman, Paul, Harpur, Lazar

  43. P3 4:36Shot by Lazar, saved by Dubnyk
  44. P3 5:49Shot by Gomez, saved by Dubnyk
  45. P3 7:30Shot by Haula, saved by Anderson
  46. P3 11:35Methot: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Suter, Parise, Coyle, Dumba · OTT Methot, Hoffman, Zibanejad, Puempel, Ceci

  47. P3 12:24Shot by Pominville, saved by Anderson5v4
  48. P3 13:25Shot by Reilly, saved by Anderson5v4
  49. P3 13:46Shot by Haula, saved by Anderson
  50. P3 14:56Shot by Claesson, saved by Dubnyk
  51. P3 15:11Shot by Koivu, saved by Anderson
  52. P3 16:03Goal by Ceci (Pageau)+40 pts WP

    On ice: MIN Scandella, Haula, Niederreiter, Fontaine, Brodin · OTT Ryan, Ceci, Paul, Harpur, Lazar

  53. P3 18:02Dumba: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: MIN Koivu, Suter, Parise, Coyle, Dumba · OTT Ryan, Karlsson, Chiasson, Claesson, Pageau

  54. P3 18:09Shot by Haula, saved by Anderson4v5
  55. P3 18:53Shot by Hoffman, saved by Dubnyk4v5
  56. P3 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Final