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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 2, 2016·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Ottawa Senators 2, Philadelphia Flyers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 84% of the time.

PHI winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 4:06Shot by Hoffman, saved by Mason
  3. P1 4:35Shot by Chiasson, saved by Mason
  4. P1 4:51Shot by Karlsson, saved by Mason
  5. P1 5:20Shot by Neil, saved by Mason
  6. P1 5:31Gomez: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: PHI MacDonald, Gagner, Read, Cousins, Gostisbehere · OTT Gomez, Neil, Wideman, Dzingel, Harpur

  7. P1 7:09Shot by Read, saved by Hammond5v4
  8. P1 7:35Shot by Wideman, saved by Mason
  9. P1 8:23Shot by Couturier, saved by Hammond
  10. P1 8:33Shot by Manning, saved by Hammond
  11. P1 8:57Shot by Raffl, saved by Hammond
  12. P1 11:01Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Mason
  13. P1 11:27Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Mason
  14. P1 12:31Shot by Voracek, saved by Hammond
  15. P1 13:06Shot by Couturier, saved by Hammond
  16. P1 13:33Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Hammond
  17. P1 16:09Shot by Gudas, saved by Hammond
  18. P1 16:20Shot by Cousins, saved by Hammond
  19. P1 16:45Shot by Gudas, saved by Hammond
  20. P1 17:04Wideman: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Gagner, Manning, Gudas, Read, Cousins · OTT Ryan, Smith, Wideman, Pageau, Harpur

  21. P1 17:04Cousins: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI Gagner, Manning, Gudas, Read, Cousins · OTT Ryan, Smith, Wideman, Pageau, Harpur

  22. P1 18:11Shot by Pageau, saved by Mason4v4
  23. P1 18:14Shot by Karlsson, saved by Mason4v4
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:27Shot by Ryan, saved by Mason
  27. P2 0:51Chiasson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Streit, Schultz, Simmonds, Couturier, Raffl · OTT Kostka, Chiasson, Ceci, Paul, Lazar

  28. P2 1:30Goal by Simmonds (Voracek)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere · OTT Smith, Kostka, Pageau, Ceci

  29. P2 1:51Shot by Cousins, saved by Hammond
  30. P2 2:36Shot by Bellemare, saved by Hammond
  31. P2 2:54Shot by Bellemare, saved by Hammond
  32. P2 2:55Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Hammond
  33. P2 3:07Shot by Hoffman, saved by Mason
  34. P2 4:54Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Mason
  35. P2 5:25Shot by Read, saved by Hammond
  36. P2 5:56Shot by Neil, saved by Mason
  37. P2 6:06Shot by Kostka, saved by Mason
  38. P2 6:43Shot by Wideman, saved by Mason
  39. P2 7:15Shot by Kostka, saved by Mason
  40. P2 9:03Shot by Schultz, saved by Hammond
  41. P2 10:05Wideman: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Voracek, Manning, Gudas, Couturier, Raffl · OTT Ryan, Hoffman, Wideman, Zibanejad, Harpur

  42. P2 10:23Shot by Giroux, saved by Hammond5v4
  43. P2 10:37Shot by Voracek, saved by Hammond5v4
  44. P2 10:47Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Hammond5v4
  45. P2 11:12Shot by Couturier, saved by Hammond5v4
  46. P2 11:14Goal by Couturier (Schenn, Simmonds)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Streit, Simmonds, Schenn, Couturier, Gostisbehere · OTT Kostka, Chiasson, Zibanejad, Ceci

  47. P2 13:12Shot by Ryan, saved by Mason
  48. P2 14:37Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Mason
  49. P2 14:38Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Mason
  50. P2 14:58Shot by Hoffman, saved by Mason
  51. P2 15:08Shot by Karlsson, saved by Mason
  52. P2 15:16Shot by Wideman, saved by Mason
  53. P2 15:27Shot by Hoffman, saved by Mason
  54. P2 16:48Shot by Paul, saved by Mason
  55. P2 17:33Shot by Giroux, saved by Hammond
  56. P2 17:35Neil: Misconduct (10 min)

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Simmonds, Schenn, Manning, Gudas · OTT Gomez, Neil, Karlsson, Dzingel, Claesson

  57. P2 17:48Goal by Zibanejad (Hoffman, Ceci)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PHI VandeVelde, White, MacDonald, Gostisbehere, Bellemare · OTT Kostka, Hoffman, Zibanejad, Puempel, Ceci

  58. P2 18:35Shot by Ryan, saved by Mason
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 3:09Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Hammond
  62. P3 3:10Shot by Bellemare, saved by Hammond
  63. P3 3:25Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Hammond
  64. P3 3:48Shot by Couturier, saved by Hammond
  65. P3 4:25Shot by Simmonds, saved by Hammond
  66. P3 6:09Shot by White, saved by Hammond
  67. P3 6:57Ceci: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere · OTT Kostka, Chiasson, Ceci, Paul, Lazar

  68. P3 7:14Shot by Schenn, saved by Hammond5v4
  69. P3 7:15Goal by Simmonds (Schenn, Voracek)5v4+9 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere · OTT Karlsson, Chiasson, Claesson, Lazar

  70. P3 8:01Shot by Karlsson, saved by Mason
  71. P3 9:08Shot by Gudas, saved by Hammond
  72. P3 10:26Shot by Simmonds, saved by Hammond
  73. P3 10:25Shot by Simmonds, saved by Hammond
  74. P3 10:55Shot by Read, saved by Hammond
  75. P3 11:19Shot by Dzingel, saved by Mason
  76. P3 11:29Shot by Ceci, saved by Mason
  77. P3 11:34Shot by Ceci, saved by Mason
  78. P3 11:34Gudas: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PHI VandeVelde, White, Manning, Gudas, Bellemare · OTT Gomez, Neil, Kostka, Dzingel, Ceci

  79. P3 11:34Gudas: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI VandeVelde, White, Manning, Gudas, Bellemare · OTT Gomez, Neil, Kostka, Dzingel, Ceci

  80. P3 11:34Neil: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI VandeVelde, White, Manning, Gudas, Bellemare · OTT Gomez, Neil, Kostka, Dzingel, Ceci

  81. P3 12:19Shot by Hoffman, saved by Mason4v5
  82. P3 12:28Goal by Hoffman (Karlsson, Ryan)4v5+10 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Streit, Schultz, VandeVelde, Bellemare · OTT Ryan, Smith, Karlsson, Hoffman, Chiasson

  83. P3 12:38Shot by Paul, saved by Mason
  84. P3 12:45Shot by Simmonds, saved by Hammond
  85. P3 13:05Shot by Chiasson, saved by Mason
  86. P3 14:16Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Mason
  87. P3 0:00Period end
  88. P3 0:00Final