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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 2, 2016·Madison Square Garden, New York

Buffalo Sabres 4, New York Rangers 3

Away

Buffalo Sabres

4

Final

Home

New York Rangers

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 58% of the time.

NYR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 3:12Shot by Klein, saved by Johnson
  3. P1 4:15Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 4:41Shot by Girardi, saved by Johnson
  5. P1 4:48Shot by Fast, saved by Johnson
  6. P1 6:35Shot by Kreider, saved by Johnson
  7. P1 6:52Shot by Girgensons, saved by Lundqvist
  8. P1 8:16Shot by Klein, saved by Johnson
  9. P1 10:06Shot by Bogosian, saved by Lundqvist
  10. P1 10:07Goal by O'Reilly (Bogosian)+21 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Klein, McDonagh, Stepan, Zuccarello · BUF Bogosian, O'Reilly, Girgensons, McCabe, Fasching

  11. P1 12:59Goal by O'Reilly (Eichel, Pysyk)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Klein, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello · BUF O'Reilly, Pysyk, Girgensons, Eichel, Nelson

  12. P1 13:17Shot by Fasching, saved by Lundqvist
  13. P1 14:14Shot by Miller, saved by Johnson
  14. P1 14:20Shot by Miller, saved by Johnson
  15. P1 14:39Shot by Gorges, saved by Lundqvist
  16. P1 16:06Moore: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Moore, Glass, Staal, Girardi, Stalberg · BUF Gorges, O'Reilly, Girgensons, Fasching, Ristolainen

  17. P1 16:17Shot by Stepan, saved by Johnson4v5
  18. P1 18:07Shot by Nash, saved by Johnson
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:44Shot by Girgensons, saved by Lundqvist
  22. P2 0:46Goal by Girgensons (Larsson, Gionta)+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Klein, McDonagh, Hayes, Fast · BUF Gorges, Larsson, Girgensons, Fasching, Ristolainen

  23. P2 1:26Shot by Yandle, saved by Johnson
  24. P2 2:58Goal by Hayes (Staal, Fast)+8 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Klein, Yandle, Hayes, Fast · BUF Legwand, Moulson, O'Reilly, Pysyk, Nelson

  25. P2 5:01Shot by Klein, saved by Johnson
  26. P2 5:52Shot by Brassard, saved by Johnson
  27. P2 6:11Shot by Girardi, saved by Johnson
  28. P2 6:55Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Raanta
  29. P2 6:55Fast: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Klein, Yandle, Hayes, Fast · BUF Gorges, Deslauriers, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  30. P2 7:49Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Raanta4v5
  31. P2 7:51Shot by Reinhart, saved by Raanta4v5
  32. P2 9:50Shot by Nash, saved by Johnson
  33. P2 10:32Shot by Foligno, saved by Raanta
  34. P2 10:44Shot by Stepan, saved by Johnson
  35. P2 12:20Shot by Girardi, saved by Johnson
  36. P2 13:09Goal by Moulson (O'Reilly)+7 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Moore, Klein, Glass, Yandle, Stalberg · BUF Legwand, Moulson, O'Reilly, Bogosian, McCabe

  37. P2 14:00Shot by Gionta, saved by Raanta
  38. P2 16:40Shot by Moore, saved by Johnson
  39. P2 17:18Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Raanta
  40. P2 17:53Shot by Fasching, saved by Raanta
  41. P2 18:00Shot by Staal, saved by Johnson
  42. P2 18:29Shot by Gionta, saved by Raanta
  43. P2 19:25Goal by Miller (McDonagh, Brassard)+6 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Klein, Brassard, McDonagh, Zuccarello, Miller · BUF Gorges, Deslauriers, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel

  44. P2 19:42Shot by Fasching, saved by Raanta
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 1:48Eichel: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Staal, Girardi, Brassard, Miller · BUF Deslauriers, Pysyk, Reinhart, Eichel, Nelson

  48. P3 2:04Shot by Kreider, saved by Johnson5v4
  49. P3 2:08Shot by Yandle, saved by Johnson5v4
  50. P3 4:22Shot by Reinhart, saved by Raanta
  51. P3 4:30Shot by Fast, saved by Johnson
  52. P3 4:49Shot by Stepan, saved by Johnson
  53. P3 4:52Goal by Stepan (Kreider, Klein)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Klein, Yandle, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello · BUF O'Reilly, Pysyk, Girgensons, Fasching, Nelson

  54. P3 5:15Shot by Gionta, saved by Raanta
  55. P3 6:37Shot by Klein, saved by Johnson
  56. P3 6:42Shot by Yandle, saved by Johnson
  57. P3 9:13Shot by Nelson, saved by Raanta
  58. P3 9:41Shot by Girgensons, saved by Raanta
  59. P3 10:56Shot by Eichel, saved by Raanta
  60. P3 12:12Nelson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Staal, Yandle, Hayes, Fast · BUF Gionta, Foligno, Larsson, Pysyk, Nelson

  61. P3 12:12Pysyk: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Boyle, Staal, Yandle, Hayes, Fast · BUF Gionta, Foligno, Larsson, Pysyk, Nelson

  62. P3 13:18Shot by Brassard, saved by Johnson5v3
  63. P3 13:32Shot by Kreider, saved by Johnson5v3
  64. P3 13:57Shot by Brassard, saved by Johnson5v3
  65. P3 14:19Shot by Yandle, saved by Johnson
  66. P3 15:25Shot by Hayes, saved by Johnson
  67. P3 18:07Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Johnson
  68. P3 18:43Shot by Kreider, saved by Johnson6v5
  69. P3 19:52Shot by Kreider, saved by Johnson6v5
  70. P3 19:58Shot by Brassard, saved by Johnson6v5
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final