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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 2, 2016·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

San Jose Sharks 3, Nashville Predators 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 73% of the time.

NSH winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:02Shot by Elliott, saved by Reimer
  3. P1 1:51Shot by Karlsson, saved by Hutton
  4. P1 2:38Shot by Sissons, saved by Reimer
  5. P1 3:24Shot by Pavelski, saved by Hutton
  6. P1 7:04Shot by Jackman, saved by Reimer
  7. P1 8:07Goal by Weber (Ribeiro, Josi)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Josi, Smith, Forsberg · SJS Zubrus, Braun, Spaling, DeMelo, Tierney

  8. P1 8:30Shot by Elliott, saved by Reimer
  9. P1 8:37Shot by Neal, saved by Reimer
  10. P1 8:42Shot by Weber, saved by Reimer
  11. P1 9:28Shot by Wingels, saved by Hutton
  12. P1 9:36Shot by Polak, saved by Hutton
  13. P1 9:53Salomaki: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Jackman, Gaustad, Elliott, Salomaki, Sissons · SJS Marleau, Polak, Wingels, Dillon, Karlsson

  14. P1 10:44Shot by Pavelski, saved by Hutton4v5
  15. P1 10:52Shot by Burns, saved by Hutton4v5
  16. P1 11:11Shot by Hertl, saved by Hutton4v5
  17. P1 11:46Shot by Pavelski, saved by Hutton4v5
  18. P1 11:54Shot by Fisher, saved by Reimer
  19. P1 13:26Shot by Couture, saved by Hutton
  20. P1 14:08Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Reimer
  21. P1 15:40Shot by Polak, saved by Hutton
  22. P1 17:59Shot by Braun, saved by Hutton
  23. P1 18:39Wingels: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Weber, Neal, Josi, Jarnkrok, Johansen · SJS Marleau, Braun, Wingels, DeMelo, Karlsson

  24. P1 19:55Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Reimer5v4
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:47Shot by Josi, saved by Reimer
  28. P2 1:38Goal by Jarnkrok (Neal, Johansen)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Jackman, Neal, Ekholm, Jarnkrok, Johansen · SJS Thornton, Pavelski, Polak, Dillon, Hertl

  29. P2 2:17DeMelo: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Jackman, Wilson, Elliott, Arvidsson · SJS Ward, Braun, Couture, Donskoi, DeMelo

  30. P2 4:02Shot by Josi, saved by Reimer5v4
  31. P2 4:33Shot by Marleau, saved by Hutton
  32. P2 4:50Shot by Burns, saved by Hutton
  33. P2 4:55Josi: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Jackman, Neal, Wilson, Josi, Johansen · SJS Thornton, Burns, Pavelski, Polak, Hertl

  34. P2 5:03Shot by Marleau, saved by Hutton4v5
  35. P2 6:43Shot by Martin, saved by Hutton4v5
  36. P2 7:34Shot by Zubrus, saved by Hutton
  37. P2 7:42Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Reimer
  38. P2 7:45Shot by Forsberg, saved by Reimer
  39. P2 7:58Shot by Ekholm, saved by Reimer
  40. P2 8:20Shot by Ekholm, saved by Reimer
  41. P2 9:02Shot by Wilson, saved by Reimer
  42. P2 11:13Shot by Johansen, saved by Reimer
  43. P2 11:24Shot by Neal, saved by Reimer
  44. P2 11:28Shot by Marleau, saved by Hutton
  45. P2 12:07Shot by Forsberg, saved by Reimer
  46. P2 12:19Shot by Donskoi, saved by Hutton
  47. P2 13:18Ekholm: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Wilson, Josi, Ekholm, Arvidsson · SJS Thornton, Pavelski, Braun, DeMelo, Hertl

  48. P2 13:18Hertl: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Wilson, Josi, Ekholm, Arvidsson · SJS Thornton, Pavelski, Braun, DeMelo, Hertl

  49. P2 13:34Shot by Weber, saved by Reimer4v4
  50. P2 15:33Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Reimer
  51. P2 16:39Shot by Donskoi, saved by Hutton
  52. P2 16:47Shot by Wilson, saved by Reimer
  53. P2 17:35Shot by Polak, saved by Hutton
  54. P2 17:58Shot by Gaustad, saved by Reimer
  55. P2 18:46Shot by Marleau, saved by Hutton
  56. P2 19:38Shot by Couture, saved by Hutton
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 2:19Goal by Hertl (Pavelski, Thornton)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Weber, Josi, Salomaki, Sissons · SJS Thornton, Pavelski, Braun, DeMelo, Hertl

  60. P3 2:30Shot by Fisher, saved by Reimer
  61. P3 6:08Shot by Couture, saved by Hutton
  62. P3 6:22Shot by Polak, saved by Hutton
  63. P3 6:26Shot by Marleau, saved by Hutton
  64. P3 7:08Shot by Dillon, saved by Hutton
  65. P3 8:28Shot by Couture, saved by Hutton
  66. P3 8:42Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Reimer
  67. P3 10:31Goal by Hertl (Burns, Thornton)+34 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Weber, Josi, Smith, Johansen, Forsberg · SJS Thornton, Martin, Burns, Pavelski, Hertl

  68. P3 10:40Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Reimer
  69. P3 13:52Shot by Braun, saved by Hutton
  70. P3 14:11Shot by Tierney, saved by Hutton
  71. P3 15:29Shot by Ward, saved by Hutton
  72. P3 15:34Shot by Donskoi, saved by Hutton
  73. P3 17:25Shot by Burns, saved by Hutton
  74. P3 18:15Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Reimer
  75. P3 19:46Shot by DeMelo, saved by Hutton
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. OT 0:00Period start
  78. OT 0:50Shot by Burns, saved by Hutton3v3
  79. OT 0:50Neal: Slashing (2 min)3v3

    On ice: NSH Neal, Ekholm, Johansen · SJS Burns, Couture, Donskoi

  80. OT 1:16Shot by Couture, saved by Hutton3v4
  81. OT 1:42Shot by Burns, saved by Hutton3v4
  82. OT 2:12Shot by Burns, saved by Hutton3v4
  83. OT 4:21Shot by Burns, saved by Hutton4v4
  84. OT 4:31Shot by Forsberg, saved by Reimer3v3
  85. OT 5:00Period end
  86. SO Period start
  87. SO Shot by Forsberg, saved by Reimerother
  88. SO Goal by Couture, unassistedother
  89. SO Shot by Johansen, saved by Reimerother
  90. SO Shot by Smith, saved by Reimerother
  91. SO Period end
  92. SO Final