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Ice Lab

Sun, Apr 3, 2016·CONSOL Energy Center, Pittsburgh

Philadelphia Flyers 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 70% of the time.

PIT winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:10Shot by Kunitz, saved by Mason
  3. P1 0:19Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Mason
  4. P1 0:21Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Mason
  5. P1 0:20Shot by Daley, saved by Mason
  6. P1 0:32Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Mason
  7. P1 2:08Shot by Schultz, saved by Mason
  8. P1 2:21Cole: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Cole, Schultz, Bennett, Sundqvist, Sheary · PHI VandeVelde, White, MacDonald, Gostisbehere, Bellemare

  9. P1 3:04Shot by Giroux, saved by Murray4v5
  10. P1 4:00Shot by White, saved by Murray4v5
  11. P1 3:59Shot by Read, saved by Murray4v5
  12. P1 4:27Shot by Bellemare, saved by Murray
  13. P1 4:55Shot by Daley, saved by Mason
  14. P1 5:35Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Mason
  15. P1 5:39Shot by Dumoulin, saved by Mason
  16. P1 6:28Shot by Crosby, saved by Mason
  17. P1 14:57Shot by Crosby, saved by Mason
  18. P1 15:03Simmonds: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Daley, Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist · PHI Giroux, Simmonds, Schenn, Manning, Gudas

  19. P1 15:22Shot by Kessel, saved by Mason5v4
  20. P1 15:37Shot by Kessel, saved by Mason5v4
  21. P1 15:38Goal by Crosby (Kessel, Letang)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Daley, Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Kessel · PHI Schultz, Giroux, Gudas, Bellemare

  22. P1 16:43Goal by Bennett (Sheary, Schultz)+14 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cole, Schultz, Bennett, Sundqvist, Sheary · PHI Streit, Gagner, Manning, Read, Cousins

  23. P1 18:59Shot by Lovejoy, saved by Mason
  24. P1 19:32Shot by Read, saved by Murray
  25. P1 19:37Shot by Schenn, saved by Murray
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:14Shot by Daley, saved by Mason
  29. P2 0:27Shot by Crosby, saved by Mason
  30. P2 0:57Shot by Kuhnhackl, saved by Mason
  31. P2 1:43Shot by Gudas, saved by Murray
  32. P2 2:23Shot by Schultz, saved by Mason
  33. P2 3:00Shot by Streit, saved by Murray
  34. P2 5:29Shot by Manning, saved by Murray
  35. P2 5:58Shot by Schultz, saved by Murray
  36. P2 6:02Shot by Streit, saved by Murray
  37. P2 6:42Shot by Daley, saved by Mason
  38. P2 7:50Shot by Voracek, saved by Murray
  39. P2 8:12Shot by Schultz, saved by Mason
  40. P2 8:38Shot by Kessel, saved by Mason
  41. P2 9:53Shot by Gagner, saved by Murray
  42. P2 10:09Shot by Letang, saved by Mason
  43. P2 10:34Goal by Hornqvist, unassisted+6 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Daley, Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist · PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere

  44. P2 11:10Shot by White, saved by Murray
  45. P2 13:42Shot by Kunitz, saved by Mason
  46. P2 16:00Shot by Schenn, saved by Murray
  47. P2 16:14Shot by Couturier, saved by Murray
  48. P2 18:45Shot by Schenn, saved by Murray
  49. P2 18:50Shot by Couturier, saved by Murray
  50. P2 19:18Goal by Simmonds (Giroux, MacDonald)+5 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Kessel, Lovejoy, Bonino, Hagelin, Dumoulin · PHI Giroux, MacDonald, Simmonds, Schenn, Gostisbehere

  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:34Shot by Crosby, saved by Mason
  54. P3 0:48Shot by Lovejoy, saved by Mason
  55. P3 1:28Shot by Fehr, saved by Mason
  56. P3 2:34Shot by Simmonds, saved by Murray
  57. P3 2:56Shot by White, saved by Murray
  58. P3 3:06Shot by Kuhnhackl, saved by Mason
  59. P3 4:14Goal by Hagelin (Bonino, Letang)+4 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Letang, Kessel, Bonino, Cole, Hagelin · PHI VandeVelde, White, Manning, Gudas, Bellemare

  60. P3 4:24Shot by Kunitz, saved by Mason
  61. P3 4:54Shot by Simmonds, saved by Murray
  62. P3 4:56Shot by Giroux, saved by Murray
  63. P3 5:30Shot by Raffl, saved by Murray
  64. P3 7:03Shot by Giroux, saved by Murray
  65. P3 8:04Goal by Voracek (Gostisbehere, Couturier)+3 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Fehr, Lovejoy, Dumoulin, Kuhnhackl · PHI MacDonald, Voracek, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Raffl

  66. P3 8:39Shot by Kessel, saved by Mason
  67. P3 9:43Goal by Fehr (Cullen, Kuhnhackl)+3 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Daley, Fehr, Dumoulin, Kuhnhackl · PHI MacDonald, Voracek, Couturier, Gostisbehere, Raffl

  68. P3 10:40Shot by Schenn, saved by Murray
  69. P3 12:08Shot by Hagelin, saved by Mason
  70. P3 12:12Shot by Kessel, saved by Mason
  71. P3 13:04Shot by White, saved by Murray
  72. P3 13:18Gostisbehere: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Daley, Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist · PHI Giroux, Simmonds, Schenn, Manning, Gostisbehere

  73. P3 13:43Shot by Kunitz, saved by Mason5v4
  74. P3 14:24Shot by Letang, saved by Mason5v4
  75. P3 15:26Shot by Giroux, saved by Murray
  76. P3 16:11Shot by Manning, saved by Murray
  77. P3 17:53Bonino: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PIT Kessel, Bonino, Cole, Hagelin, Schultz · PHI Gagner, Gudas, Read, Cousins, Gostisbehere

  78. P3 18:21Goal by Fehr (Cullen)4v60 pts WP

    On ice: PIT Cullen, Daley, Fehr, Letang · PHI Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn, Couturier, Gostisbehere

  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final