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Ice Lab

Mon, Apr 4, 2016·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Florida Panthers 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Away

Florida Panthers

4

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 77% of the time.

TOR winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:59Shot by Jokinen, saved by Bernier
  3. P1 1:15Shot by Jokinen, saved by Bernier
  4. P1 2:26Shot by Clune, saved by Montoya
  5. P1 2:37Shot by MacKenzie, saved by Bernier
  6. P1 5:30Shot by Lindberg, saved by Montoya
  7. P1 6:19Shot by Barkov, saved by Bernier
  8. P1 7:21Shot by Greening, saved by Montoya
  9. P1 8:16Shot by Greening, saved by Montoya
  10. P1 11:45Shot by Ekblad, saved by Bernier
  11. P1 12:00Shot by Boyes, saved by Montoya
  12. P1 13:54Shot by Grabner, saved by Montoya
  13. P1 15:02Shot by Kampfer, saved by Bernier
  14. P1 16:00Shot by Wilson, saved by Bernier
  15. P1 16:19Shot by MacKenzie, saved by Bernier
  16. P1 17:45Shot by Smith, saved by Bernier5v6
  17. P1 17:45Brennan: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Greening, Brennan, Campbell, Nylander · FLA Jokinen, Hudler, Kindl, Kampfer, Smith, Bjugstad

  18. P1 18:21Shot by Grabner, saved by Montoya4v5
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 1:32Shot by Ekblad, saved by Bernier
  22. P2 1:33Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Bernier
  23. P2 1:34Goal by Bjugstad (Ekblad, Smith)+23 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Greening, Gardiner, Bozak, Corrado, Nylander · FLA Campbell, Jokinen, Smith, Bjugstad, Ekblad

  24. P2 1:55Kapanen: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brennan, Campbell, Bozak, Lindberg, Kapanen · FLA Hudler, Kindl, Purcell, Kampfer, Grimaldi

  25. P2 2:01Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Bernier4v5
  26. P2 2:16Shot by Marincin, saved by Montoya4v5
  27. P2 3:31Shot by Campbell, saved by Bernier4v5
  28. P2 3:52Shot by Smith, saved by Bernier4v5
  29. P2 3:58Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Bernier
  30. P2 5:06Shot by Kampfer, saved by Bernier
  31. P2 5:08Corrado: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Greening, Gardiner, Corrado, Nylander · FLA Jagr, Kindl, Kampfer, Huberdeau, Barkov

  32. P2 6:17Shot by Smith, saved by Bernier4v5
  33. P2 6:47Shot by Hudler, saved by Bernier4v5
  34. P2 6:48Shot by Hudler, saved by Bernier4v5
  35. P2 9:55Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Bernier
  36. P2 10:02Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Bernier
  37. P2 10:31Goal by Grimaldi (Hudler, Purcell)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Boyes, Clune, Gardiner, Froese, Corrado · FLA Campbell, Hudler, Purcell, Grimaldi, Ekblad

  38. P2 10:53Shot by Greening, saved by Montoya
  39. P2 12:32Shot by Greening, saved by Montoya
  40. P2 13:11Goal by Grimaldi (Smith)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Greening, Gardiner, Bozak, Corrado, Kapanen · FLA Hudler, Kulikov, Smith, Gudbranson, Grimaldi

  41. P2 14:59Shot by Laich, saved by Montoya
  42. P2 16:28Bozak: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Bozak, Marincin, Rielly, Lindberg, Kapanen · FLA Campbell, Jokinen, Smith, Bjugstad, Ekblad

  43. P2 16:41Shot by Campbell, saved by Bernier4v5
  44. P2 17:25Shot by Froese, saved by Montoya4v5
  45. P2 18:50Shot by Gardiner, saved by Montoya
  46. P2 18:51Shot by Kapanen, saved by Montoya
  47. P2 19:47Shot by Howden, saved by Bernier
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:24Shot by Kulikov, saved by Bernier
  51. P3 1:59Shot by Gardiner, saved by Montoya
  52. P3 2:20Shot by Clune, saved by Montoya
  53. P3 2:23Clune: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Boyes, Clune, Gardiner, Froese, Rielly · FLA Hudler, Kindl, Purcell, Kampfer, Grimaldi

  54. P3 4:50Gudbranson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Clune, Greening, Brennan, Gardiner, Nylander · FLA Wilson, Gudbranson, Grimaldi, Barkov, Ekblad

  55. P3 5:50Goal by Greening (Nylander, Rielly)5v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Greening, Gardiner, Lindberg, Nylander, Kapanen · FLA Campbell, Jokinen, Barkov, Ekblad

  56. P3 6:34Shot by Gudbranson, saved by Bernier
  57. P3 7:18Shot by Jokinen, saved by Bernier
  58. P3 7:33Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Bernier
  59. P3 7:59Shot by Kampfer, saved by Bernier
  60. P3 8:52Shot by Boyes, saved by Montoya
  61. P3 8:54Goal by Brennan (Clune, Boyes)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Boyes, Clune, Brennan, Campbell, Froese · FLA MacKenzie, Kulikov, Wilson, Howden, Gudbranson

  62. P3 9:30Goal by Barkov (Huberdeau, Ekblad)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Laich, Grabner, Marincin, Rielly, Gauthier · FLA Jagr, Campbell, Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad

  63. P3 9:56Shot by Kapanen, saved by Montoya
  64. P3 10:23Shot by Barkov, saved by Bernier
  65. P3 10:48Shot by Kampfer, saved by Bernier
  66. P3 11:41Shot by Lindberg, saved by Montoya
  67. P3 11:53Goal by Greening (Bozak, Parenteau)+12 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Greening, Gardiner, Bozak, Corrado · FLA Campbell, Hudler, Purcell, Grimaldi, Ekblad

  68. P3 12:18Shot by Gardiner, saved by Montoya
  69. P3 13:26Shot by Howden, saved by Bernier
  70. P3 14:13Jagr: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Parenteau, Bozak, Marincin, Rielly, Lindberg · FLA Jagr, Campbell, Huberdeau, Barkov, Ekblad

  71. P3 14:20Shot by Nylander, saved by Montoya5v4
  72. P3 14:47Shot by Kapanen, saved by Montoya5v4
  73. P3 16:09Shot by Ekblad, saved by Bernier5v4
  74. P3 15:17Shot by Parenteau, saved by Montoya5v4
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final