Mon, Apr 4, 2016·Scottrade Center, St. Louis
Arizona Coyotes 2, St. Louis Blues 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 211 | 04 | 012 | 227 |
| STL | 06 | 111 | 49 | 526 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:28ARIAntoine VermetteAssists: Connor Murphy, Alex Tanguay · Backhand, 0.25 xG1–0
- P1 13:08ARIAnthony DuclairAssists: Alex Tanguay, Oliver Ekman-Larsson · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–0
- P2 7:36STLTroy BrouwerPPAssists: Alex Pietrangelo, Colton Parayko · Tip-in, 0.14 xG2–1
- P3 1:28STLKyle BrodziakSHAssists: Scottie Upshall, Alex Pietrangelo · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–2
- P3 10:42STLVladimir TarasenkoGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.05 xG2–3
- P3 13:00STLPatrik BerglundPPAssists: Vladimir Tarasenko, Kevin Shattenkirk · Slap, 0.16 xG2–4
- P3 19:09STLKyle BrodziakAssists: Scottie Upshall, Robert Bortuzzo · Slap, 0.05 xG2–5
Penalties (16)
- P2 5:52ARIAlex Grant: Cross checking2 min · PPG
- P2 10:02STLJoel Edmundson: Interference2 min
- P2 10:55ARIMax Domi: Hooking2 min
- P2 10:55STLScottie Upshall: Slashing2 min
- P2 10:55ARIMax Domi: Roughing2 min
- P2 13:56ARIAlex Tanguay: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:09ARIAntoine Vermette: Tripping2 min
- P2 18:09ARIKevin Connauton: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:09ARIKevin Connauton: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:09STLJoel Edmundson: Roughing2 min
- P2 18:09STLJoel Edmundson: Roughing2 min
- P2 19:43STLAlexander Steen: Interference2 min
- P3 7:44STLMagnus Paajarvi: Slashing2 min
- P3 12:20ARIAlex Tanguay: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P3 15:45ARIAntoine Vermette: Cross checking2 min
- P3 15:45ARIAntoine Vermette: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Richardson won the faceoff against Lehtera
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestTanguay – Vermette – Duclair10:18
xG 0.84–0.38 (69%)attempts 12–8goals 2–1
- Gordon – Chipchura – Martinook7:10
xG 0.13–0.05 (72%)attempts 1–8goals 0–0
- Rieder – Dauphin – Sekac9:10
xG 0.11–0.21 (33%)attempts 5–6goals 0–0
- Doan – Richardson – Domi9:23
xG 0.25–0.55 (31%)attempts 8–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEkman-Larsson – Murphy16:02
xG 0.68–0.44 (61%)attempts 15–12goals 1–0
- Grant – Dahlbeck6:24
xG 0.13–0.08 (61%)attempts 1–6goals 0–0
- Michalek – Dahlbeck2:34
xG 0.00–0.04 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestSteen – Lehtera – Tarasenko9:25
xG 0.62–0.14 (81%)attempts 16–6goals 0–0
- Berglund – Schwartz – Jaskin4:04
xG 0.05–0.01 (78%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Brouwer – Stastny – Schwartz6:34
xG 0.29–0.32 (48%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Upshall – Brodziak – Reaves6:23
xG 0.00–0.12 (0%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestPietrangelo – Parayko2:40
xG 0.11–0.01 (90%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Pietrangelo – Edmundson11:29
xG 0.54–0.50 (52%)attempts 15–11goals 0–1
- Bortuzzo – Edmundson3:35
xG 0.22–0.19 (54%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).