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Ice Lab

Tue, Apr 5, 2016·Madison Square Garden, New York

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, New York Rangers 3

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

2

Final

Home

New York Rangers

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 79% of the time.

NYR winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:56Shot by Stepan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 2:39Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 2:42Goal by Sustr (Namestnikov, Marchessault)+19 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Moore, Klein, Glass, Stalberg, Skjei · TBL Killorn, Garrison, Namestnikov, Marchessault, Sustr

  5. P1 3:27Shot by Condra, saved by Lundqvist
  6. P1 4:11Shot by Stepan, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 4:38McIlrath: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Staal, Lindberg, McIlrath, Fast · TBL Filppula, Garrison, Brown, Paquette, Sustr

  8. P1 4:56Shot by Garrison, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  9. P1 5:34Shot by Killorn, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  10. P1 5:38Shot by Johnson, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  11. P1 5:49Shot by Killorn, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  12. P1 6:03Shot by Johnson, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  13. P1 6:07Goal by Boyle (Palat, Johnson)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Girardi, Stalberg, Skjei · TBL Boyle, Johnson, Palat, Nesterov, Kucherov

  14. P1 6:33Shot by Boyle, saved by Lundqvist
  15. P1 7:14Shot by Koekkoek, saved by Lundqvist
  16. P1 7:20Shot by Brown, saved by Lundqvist
  17. P1 8:07Shot by Kucherov, saved by Lundqvist
  18. P1 8:47Shot by Johnson, saved by Lundqvist
  19. P1 9:04Shot by Sustr, saved by Lundqvist
  20. P1 9:25Lundqvist: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Moore, Glass, Staal, McIlrath, Fast · TBL Boyle, Carle, Blunden, Condra, Nesterov

  21. P1 10:30Shot by Marchessault, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  22. P1 10:49Shot by Killorn, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  23. P1 12:47Condra: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Klein, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello, Skjei · TBL Boyle, Blunden, Condra, Garrison, Sustr

  24. P1 13:36Shot by Klein, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  25. P1 14:01Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  26. P1 14:37Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  27. P1 14:56Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P1 15:33Shot by Boyle, saved by Lundqvist
  29. P1 15:57Glass: Interference (5 min)

    On ice: NYR Moore, Glass, Yandle, Girardi, Stalberg · TBL Coburn, Killorn, Namestnikov, Marchessault, Koekkoek

  30. P1 15:57Glass: Game misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Moore, Glass, Yandle, Girardi, Stalberg · TBL Coburn, Killorn, Namestnikov, Marchessault, Koekkoek

  31. P1 16:55Shot by Marchessault, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  32. P1 19:30Shot by Garrison, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  33. P1 19:31Shot by Paquette, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  34. P1 0:00Period end
  35. P2 0:00Period start
  36. P2 2:06Shot by Killorn, saved by Lundqvist
  37. P2 2:42Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Lundqvist
  38. P2 2:58Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 4:29Shot by Nash, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 5:42Brassard: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Yandle, Brassard, McIlrath, Miller · TBL Filppula, Garrison, Brown, Paquette, Sustr

  41. P2 7:24Shot by Killorn, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  42. P2 8:49Shot by Condra, saved by Lundqvist
  43. P2 9:46Paquette: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Yandle, Girardi, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello · TBL Filppula, Nesterov, Brown, Paquette, Sustr

  44. P2 9:46Yandle: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYR Yandle, Girardi, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello · TBL Filppula, Nesterov, Brown, Paquette, Sustr

  45. P2 9:46Yandle: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: NYR Yandle, Girardi, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello · TBL Filppula, Nesterov, Brown, Paquette, Sustr

  46. P2 10:03Shot by Johnson, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  47. P2 10:04Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  48. P2 10:05Shot by Johnson, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  49. P2 11:16Shot by Girardi, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  50. P2 11:49Shot by Stalberg, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P2 12:00Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P2 12:43Palat: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Staal, Girardi, Stepan, Kreider · TBL Garrison, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov, Sustr

  53. P2 13:28Shot by Kreider, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  54. P2 14:00Shot by Miller, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  55. P2 14:31Shot by Kreider, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  56. P2 16:47Kucherov: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Yandle, Girardi, Brassard, Zuccarello, Miller · TBL Johnson, Palat, Nesterov, Kucherov, Sustr

  57. P2 16:55Goal by Stepan (Zuccarello, Yandle)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Yandle, Brassard, Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello · TBL Coburn, Boyle, Carle, Palat

  58. P2 17:58Shot by Kucherov, saved by Lundqvist
  59. P2 18:15Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P2 18:53Shot by Brassard, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P2 19:30Shot by Klein, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P2 19:46Kreider: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Klein, Yandle, Stepan, Kreider · TBL Garrison, Johnson, Palat, Nesterov, Kucherov

  63. P2 19:52Shot by Kucherov, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  64. P2 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Period start
  66. P3 0:30Nesterov: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR Girardi, Stepan, Fast, Skjei · TBL Boyle, Johnson, Palat, Nesterov, Kucherov

  67. P3 0:34Shot by Girardi, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  68. P3 2:33Goal by Stepan (Zuccarello, Klein)+25 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Stepan, Kreider, Zuccarello, McIlrath, Skjei · TBL Boyle, Garrison, Nesterov, Paquette, Sustr

  69. P3 3:53Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Vasilevskiy
  70. P3 4:26Shot by Nash, saved by Vasilevskiy
  71. P3 4:46Goal by Kreider (Staal, Stepan)+30 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Staal, Stepan, Kreider, McIlrath, Fast · TBL Carle, Johnson, Nesterov, Brown, Paquette

  72. P3 7:02Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Lundqvist
  73. P3 7:11Shot by Marchessault, saved by Lundqvist
  74. P3 8:23Brown: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Staal, Klein, Lindberg, Fast, Skjei · TBL Filppula, Garrison, Brown, Paquette, Sustr

  75. P3 10:40Shot by Koekkoek, saved by Lundqvist
  76. P3 10:51Shot by Palat, saved by Lundqvist
  77. P3 11:06Shot by Skjei, saved by Vasilevskiy
  78. P3 12:26Shot by Brown, saved by Lundqvist
  79. P3 12:29Shot by Filppula, saved by Lundqvist
  80. P3 13:04Shot by Miller, saved by Vasilevskiy
  81. P3 14:17Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  82. P3 15:58Shot by Coburn, saved by Lundqvist
  83. P3 16:01Shot by Killorn, saved by Lundqvist
  84. P3 17:26Shot by Johnson, saved by Lundqvist
  85. P3 17:47Shot by Johnson, saved by Lundqvist
  86. P3 17:49Shot by Johnson, saved by Lundqvist
  87. P3 18:52Boyle: Boarding (5 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Nash, Yandle, Girardi, Stepan, Kreider · TBL Boyle, Carle, Killorn, Nesterov, Namestnikov, Marchessault

  88. P3 18:52Boyle: Game misconduct (10 min)5v6

    On ice: NYR Nash, Yandle, Girardi, Stepan, Kreider · TBL Boyle, Carle, Killorn, Nesterov, Namestnikov, Marchessault

  89. P3 18:59Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  90. P3 19:35Shot by Johnson, saved by Lundqvist
  91. P3 0:00Period end
  92. P3 0:00Final