Skip to content
Ice Lab

Tue, Apr 5, 2016·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Colorado Avalanche 3, Nashville Predators 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 71% of the time.

NSH winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:48Bass: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Nystrom, Bass, Ekholm, Granberg · COL McLeod, Skille, Holden, Agozzino, Zadorov

  3. P1 2:48McLeod: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Nystrom, Bass, Ekholm, Granberg · COL McLeod, Skille, Holden, Agozzino, Zadorov

  4. P1 5:37Shot by Johansen, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 6:35Shot by Forsberg, saved by Varlamov
  6. P1 6:42Shot by Smith, saved by Varlamov
  7. P1 8:15Goal by Wilson (Neal, Johansen)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Neal, Wilson, Ekholm, Granberg, Johansen · COL Mitchell, Comeau, Holden, Landeskog, Zadorov

  8. P1 8:52Redmond: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Jackman, Wilson, Ellis, Arvidsson · COL Iginla, Mitchell, Matthias, Redmond, Zadorov

  9. P1 9:17Shot by Forsberg, saved by Varlamov5v4
  10. P1 9:19Beauchemin: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Josi, Smith, Forsberg · COL Beauchemin, Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson

  11. P1 9:54Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov5v3
  12. P1 10:17Shot by Weber, saved by Varlamov5v3
  13. P1 10:19Goal by Forsberg (Johansen, Weber)5v3+13 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Josi, Johansen, Forsberg · COL Johnson, Holden, Landeskog

  14. P1 10:47Shot by Soderberg, saved by Rinne5v4
  15. P1 10:50Ekholm: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Neal, Ellis, Ekholm, Smith · COL Johnson, Boedker, Duchene, Zadorov

  16. P1 11:53Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Varlamov4v5
  17. P1 12:14Shot by Iginla, saved by Rinne4v5
  18. P1 13:12Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Rinne
  19. P1 15:03Shot by Smith, saved by Varlamov
  20. P1 16:04Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Rinne
  21. P1 16:12Goal by Boedker (Barrie, Duchene)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Weber, Neal, Josi, Jarnkrok, Johansen · COL Beauchemin, Boedker, Duchene, Barrie, Grigorenko

  22. P1 17:23Shot by Mitchell, saved by Rinne
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:22Shot by Johnson, saved by Rinne
  26. P2 2:49Forsberg: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Jackman, Neal, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Johansen · COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Mitchell, Matthias, Duchene, Barrie

  27. P2 2:59Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne4v5
  28. P2 3:24Shot by Duchene, saved by Rinne4v5
  29. P2 4:52Shot by Johnson, saved by Rinne
  30. P2 7:27Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne
  31. P2 8:15Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov
  32. P2 8:51Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Varlamov
  33. P2 8:59Shot by Johansen, saved by Varlamov
  34. P2 9:37Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov
  35. P2 10:13Shot by Comeau, saved by Rinne
  36. P2 12:18Shot by Weber, saved by Varlamov
  37. P2 12:21Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov
  38. P2 14:25Shot by Zadorov, saved by Rinne
  39. P2 15:23Shot by Grigorenko, saved by Rinne
  40. P2 16:40Shot by Holden, saved by Rinne
  41. P2 17:30Goal by Iginla (Matthias, Duchene)+26 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Weber, Wilson, Josi, Smith · COL Iginla, Beauchemin, Matthias, Duchene, Barrie

  42. P2 18:04Shot by Holden, saved by Rinne
  43. P2 18:17Shot by Nystrom, saved by Varlamov
  44. P2 18:19Shot by Nystrom, saved by Varlamov
  45. P2 19:00Shot by Duchene, saved by Rinne
  46. P2 19:37Shot by Soderberg, saved by Rinne
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:29Shot by Wilson, saved by Varlamov
  50. P3 0:36Goal by Fisher (Josi, Wilson)+28 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Weber, Wilson, Josi, Arvidsson · COL Johnson, Holden, Boedker, Duchene, Grigorenko

  51. P3 1:57Shot by Redmond, saved by Rinne
  52. P3 1:58Goal by Matthias (Redmond, Mitchell)+28 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Jackman, Neal, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Johansen · COL Iginla, Mitchell, Matthias, Redmond, Zadorov

  53. P3 3:27Shot by Josi, saved by Varlamov
  54. P3 3:42Shot by Barrie, saved by Rinne
  55. P3 4:17Goal by Smith (Forsberg, Ekholm)+30 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Ekholm, Smith, Granberg, Forsberg · COL Comeau, Soderberg, Johnson, Holden, Landeskog

  56. P3 4:51Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Varlamov
  57. P3 5:45Shot by Wilson, saved by Varlamov
  58. P3 5:52Shot by Wilson, saved by Varlamov
  59. P3 6:11Shot by Ellis, saved by Varlamov
  60. P3 8:57Shot by Iginla, saved by Rinne
  61. P3 9:12Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Varlamov
  62. P3 9:35Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Varlamov
  63. P3 12:47Shot by Duchene, saved by Rinne
  64. P3 14:10Shot by Iginla, saved by Rinne
  65. P3 17:11Shot by Duchene, saved by Rinne5v6
  66. P3 18:03Johansen: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Weber, Neal, Josi, Johansen, Forsberg · COL Johnson, Matthias, Boedker, Duchene, Barrie, Grigorenko

  67. P3 19:08Shot by Iginla, saved by Rinne4v6
  68. P3 19:36Shot by Soderberg, saved by Rinne4v6
  69. P3 0:00Period end
  70. P3 0:00Final