Tue, Apr 5, 2016·United Center, Chicago
Arizona Coyotes 2, Chicago Blackhawks 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 07 | 06 | 218 | 231 |
| CHI | 27 | 316 | 19 | 632 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:16CHIRichard PanikAssists: Jonathan Toews, Niklas Hjalmarsson · Wrist, 0.26 xG0–1
- P1 12:40CHIJonathan ToewsSHUnassisted · Backhand, 0.24 xG0–2
- P2 6:24CHIPatrick KanePPGWGAssists: Artemi Panarin, Brent Seabrook · Wrist, 0.19 xG0–3
- P2 12:17CHIAndrew LaddPPAssists: Trevor van Riemsdyk, Jonathan Toews · Tip-in, 0.19 xG0–4
- P2 14:29CHIAndrew LaddPPAssists: Patrick Kane, Artemi Panarin · Wrist, 0.28 xG0–5
- P3 3:57ARIConnor MurphyAssists: Jiri Sekac · Wrist, 0.02 xG1–5
- P3 4:55CHIAndrew DesjardinsAssists: Marcus Kruger, Michal Rozsival · Snap, 0.11 xG1–6
- P3 13:27ARIBrad RichardsonAssists: Shane Doan, Max Domi · Wrist, 0.26 xG2–6
Penalties (11)
- P1 10:25CHIMichal Rozsival: Hooking2 min
- P1 12:13CHIMarcus Kruger: High sticking2 min
- P2 4:55ARIConnor Murphy: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 10:38ARIAntoine Vermette: Boarding5 min · PPG
- P2 10:38ARIAntoine Vermette: Game misconduct10 min
- P2 15:42CHITeuvo Teravainen: Holding2 min
- P3 1:21ARIJordan Martinook: Tripping2 min
- P3 6:28CHIArtemi Panarin: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 15:55CHITeuvo Teravainen: Tripping2 min
- P3 17:05CHIMarcus Kruger: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 18:34ARIViktor Tikhonov: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Vermette
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestTanguay – Vermette – Duclair3:57
xG 0.14–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Doan – Richardson – Domi8:11
xG 0.45–0.35 (56%)attempts 7–6goals 1–0
- Gordon – Tikhonov – Martinook5:16
xG 0.04–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Tikhonov – Martinook – Sekac2:41
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 1–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEkman-Larsson – Murphy12:42
xG 0.71–0.21 (78%)attempts 13–9goals 2–0
- Michalek – Connauton11:49
xG 0.34–0.29 (54%)attempts 13–10goals 0–1
- Grant – Connauton2:18
xG 0.00–0.07 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestFleischmann – Desjardins – Kruger7:38
xG 0.26–0.09 (75%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Anisimov – Kane – Panarin8:05
xG 0.12–0.08 (58%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
- Ladd – Toews – Panik8:45
xG 0.45–0.55 (45%)attempts 5–8goals 1–1
- Kane – Teravainen – Panarin3:00
xG 0.10–0.22 (31%)attempts 2–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestHjalmarsson – van Riemsdyk12:13
xG 0.71–0.06 (92%)attempts 14–4goals 1–0
- Rozsival – Gustafsson10:05
xG 0.28–0.55 (34%)attempts 9–12goals 1–0
- Seabrook – Svedberg11:15
xG 0.19–0.78 (20%)attempts 6–16goals 0–2
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).