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Ice Lab

Thu, Apr 7, 2016·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Arizona Coyotes 2, Nashville Predators 3 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 85% of the time.

NSH winsARI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:55Shot by Johansen, saved by Smith
  3. P1 2:35Shot by Josi, saved by Smith
  4. P1 3:27Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Smith
  5. P1 4:15Shot by Neal, saved by Smith
  6. P1 6:26Goal by Vermette (Michalek, Ekman-Larsson)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Wilson, Ekholm, Granberg, Arvidsson · ARI Tanguay, Vermette, Michalek, Ekman-Larsson, Duclair

  7. P1 7:14Shot by Johansen, saved by Smith
  8. P1 8:05Shot by Chipchura, saved by Rinne
  9. P1 10:59Shot by Neal, saved by Smith
  10. P1 11:30Johansen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Weber, Neal, Josi, Jarnkrok, Johansen · ARI Michalek, Gordon, Chipchura, Connauton, Martinook

  11. P1 11:30Connauton: Holding (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Weber, Neal, Josi, Jarnkrok, Johansen · ARI Michalek, Gordon, Chipchura, Connauton, Martinook

  12. P1 14:48Shot by Grant, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 15:38Shot by Murphy, saved by Rinne
  14. P1 16:03Chipchura: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Ellis, Smith, Bitetto, Forsberg · ARI Gordon, Chipchura, Ekman-Larsson, Murphy, Martinook

  15. P1 17:31Shot by Ellis, saved by Smith5v4
  16. P1 18:56Shot by Bitetto, saved by Smith
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 0:32Shot by Granberg, saved by Smith
  20. P2 4:45Shot by Michalek, saved by Rinne
  21. P2 5:35Jarnkrok: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Neal, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Johansen, Bitetto · ARI Ekman-Larsson, Rieder, Murphy, Dauphin, Sekac

  22. P2 6:00Ekman-Larsson: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Weber, Josi, Forsberg · ARI Doan, Tanguay, Vermette, Ekman-Larsson, Rieder

  23. P2 6:36Shot by Smith, saved by Smith4v4
  24. P2 7:21Shot by Ellis, saved by Smith4v4
  25. P2 8:32Shot by Connauton, saved by Rinne
  26. P2 9:42Goal by Doan (Richardson, Ekman-Larsson)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Ellis, Smith, Bitetto, Forsberg · ARI Doan, Richardson, Grant, Ekman-Larsson, Domi

  27. P2 10:17Connauton: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Wilson, Ekholm, Granberg, Arvidsson · ARI Tanguay, Vermette, Grant, Connauton, Duclair

  28. P2 11:25Shot by Ellis, saved by Smith5v4
  29. P2 12:33Forsberg: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Josi, Smith, Forsberg · ARI Michalek, Gordon, Connauton, Dahlbeck, Martinook

  30. P2 14:41Shot by Forsberg, saved by Smith
  31. P2 14:44Shot by Forsberg, saved by Smith
  32. P2 15:37Shot by Connauton, saved by Rinne
  33. P2 15:57Shot by Dauphin, saved by Rinne
  34. P2 16:05Shot by Gordon, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 16:19Shot by Ekman-Larsson, saved by Rinne
  36. P2 16:44Shot by Weber, saved by Smith
  37. P2 18:00Shot by Neal, saved by Smith
  38. P2 18:23Shot by Bass, saved by Smith
  39. P2 18:38Shot by Forsberg, saved by Smith
  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 1:40Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Smith
  43. P3 1:57Shot by Martinook, saved by Rinne
  44. P3 2:57Shot by Ekholm, saved by Smith
  45. P3 3:02Shot by Wilson, saved by Smith
  46. P3 4:54Shot by Richardson, saved by Rinne
  47. P3 5:14Shot by Neal, saved by Smith
  48. P3 6:46Shot by Arvidsson, saved by Smith
  49. P3 7:01Shot by Tanguay, saved by Rinne
  50. P3 7:13Murphy: Elbowing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Neal, Ellis, Jarnkrok, Johansen, Bitetto · ARI Tanguay, Vermette, Ekman-Larsson, Murphy, Duclair

  51. P3 7:26Goal by Weber (Smith, Forsberg)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Josi, Smith, Forsberg · ARI Michalek, Gordon, Rieder, Dahlbeck

  52. P3 7:45Shot by Doan, saved by Rinne
  53. P3 8:06Shot by Wilson, saved by Smith
  54. P3 8:28Shot by Martinook, saved by Rinne
  55. P3 9:18Shot by Michalek, saved by Rinne
  56. P3 9:47Shot by Sissons, saved by Smith
  57. P3 9:48Smith: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Bass, Ekholm, Granberg, Sissons · ARI Tanguay, Vermette, Michalek, Dahlbeck, Duclair

  58. P3 14:14Shot by Ekholm, saved by Smith
  59. P3 14:57Shot by Rieder, saved by Rinne
  60. P3 15:46Shot by Smith, saved by Smith
  61. P3 18:54Shot by Ekholm, saved by Smith6v5
  62. P3 19:41Goal by Forsberg (Josi, Johansen)6v5+47 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Neal, Josi, Johansen, Forsberg · ARI Gordon, Ekman-Larsson, Murphy, Martinook, Dauphin

  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. OT 0:00Period start
  65. OT 0:20Goal by Josi (Neal, Johansen)3v3+52 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Neal, Josi, Johansen · ARI Richardson, Ekman-Larsson, Domi

  66. OT 0:20Period end
  67. OT 0:20Final