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Ice Lab

Fri, Apr 8, 2016·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Columbus Blue Jackets 4, Buffalo Sabres 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 74% of the time.

BUF winsCBJ wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:44Shot by McCabe, saved by Korpisalo
  3. P1 1:38Shot by Savard, saved by Kasdorf
  4. P1 2:42Shot by Gionta, saved by Korpisalo
  5. P1 2:56Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Korpisalo
  6. P1 5:11Shot by Falk, saved by Kasdorf
  7. P1 6:25Shot by Karlsson, saved by Kasdorf
  8. P1 6:50Shot by Girgensons, saved by Korpisalo
  9. P1 7:41Shot by Falk, saved by Kasdorf5v6
  10. P1 7:42McCabe: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Bogosian, Deslauriers, McCabe, Reinhart, Eichel · CBJ Foligno, Falk, Prout, Saad, Bjorkstrand, Wennberg

  11. P1 8:25Shot by Murray, saved by Kasdorf4v5
  12. P1 10:31Shot by Anderson, saved by Kasdorf
  13. P1 11:37Shot by Calvert, saved by Kasdorf
  14. P1 11:59Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Kasdorf
  15. P1 13:19Shot by Moulson, saved by Korpisalo
  16. P1 13:58Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Korpisalo
  17. P1 15:16Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Korpisalo
  18. P1 15:41Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Kasdorf
  19. P1 16:16Shot by Savard, saved by Kasdorf
  20. P1 17:42Shot by Pysyk, saved by Korpisalo
  21. P1 18:25Deslauriers: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Colaiacovo, Deslauriers, McCabe, Reinhart, Eichel · CBJ Savard, Saad, Bjorkstrand, Wennberg, Kukan

  22. P1 18:28Shot by Atkinson, saved by Kasdorf4v5
  23. P1 18:45Goal by Calvert (Dubinsky, Murray)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Legwand, Gorges, O'Reilly, Ristolainen · CBJ Dubinsky, Calvert, Atkinson, Murray, Jones

  24. P1 19:36Shot by Saad, saved by Kasdorf
  25. P1 19:57Shot by Bjorkstrand, saved by Kasdorf
  26. P1 0:00Period end
  27. P2 0:00Period start
  28. P2 0:26Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Korpisalo
  29. P2 0:31Shot by Schneider, saved by Korpisalo
  30. P2 1:03Calvert: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Foligno, Larsson, Pysyk, McCabe · CBJ Dubinsky, Calvert, Atkinson, Murray, Jones

  31. P2 2:30Shot by Moulson, saved by Korpisalo5v4
  32. P2 2:35Shot by Larsson, saved by Korpisalo5v4
  33. P2 3:05Shot by Gionta, saved by Korpisalo
  34. P2 3:29Shot by Girgensons, saved by Korpisalo
  35. P2 4:19Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Korpisalo
  36. P2 4:22Shot by Reinhart, saved by Korpisalo
  37. P2 4:23Prout: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Colaiacovo, Deslauriers, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · CBJ Falk, Prout, Saad, Bjorkstrand, Wennberg

  38. P2 6:44Shot by Gionta, saved by Korpisalo
  39. P2 8:30Shot by Karlsson, saved by Kasdorf
  40. P2 8:51Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Korpisalo
  41. P2 8:58Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Korpisalo
  42. P2 10:08Shot by Jenner, saved by Kasdorf
  43. P2 11:36Saad: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Deslauriers, McCabe, Reinhart, Eichel · CBJ Savard, Saad, Bjorkstrand, Wennberg, Kukan

  44. P2 12:03Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Korpisalo5v4
  45. P2 12:45Campbell: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF O'Reilly, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · CBJ Campbell, Murray, Jones, Wennberg

  46. P2 12:52Shot by Reinhart, saved by Korpisalo5v3
  47. P2 13:37Goal by Reinhart (Eichel, Moulson)5v4+26 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Moulson, O'Reilly, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · CBJ Dubinsky, Calvert, Savard, Saad

  48. P2 14:40Shot by McCabe, saved by Korpisalo
  49. P2 15:16Goal by Foligno (Jenner, Anderson)+26 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Foligno, Larsson, Ristolainen · CBJ Foligno, Falk, Prout, Jenner, Anderson

  50. P2 15:53Shot by Atkinson, saved by Kasdorf
  51. P2 16:39Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Korpisalo
  52. P2 16:50Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Korpisalo
  53. P2 17:25Goal by Prout (Karlsson)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Colaiacovo, Deslauriers, McCabe, Reinhart, Eichel · CBJ Hartnell, Campbell, Prout, Savard, Karlsson

  54. P2 17:56Shot by Savard, saved by Kasdorf
  55. P2 18:34Shot by Legwand, saved by Korpisalo
  56. P2 0:00Period end
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 1:06Shot by Eichel, saved by Korpisalo
  59. P3 1:20Shot by Savard, saved by Kasdorf
  60. P3 2:05Shot by Foligno, saved by Kasdorf
  61. P3 2:55Shot by Eichel, saved by Korpisalo
  62. P3 3:08Shot by Schneider, saved by Korpisalo
  63. P3 3:22Shot by Legwand, saved by Korpisalo
  64. P3 5:11Goal by Saad (Wennberg, Bjorkstrand)+5 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Colaiacovo, Deslauriers, Ristolainen, Reinhart, Eichel · CBJ Falk, Prout, Saad, Bjorkstrand, Wennberg

  65. P3 6:33Shot by Campbell, saved by Kasdorf
  66. P3 7:05Shot by Calvert, saved by Kasdorf
  67. P3 7:32Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Korpisalo
  68. P3 8:09Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Korpisalo
  69. P3 9:58Shot by Savard, saved by Kasdorf
  70. P3 11:17Shot by Moulson, saved by Korpisalo
  71. P3 13:39Shot by Hartnell, saved by Kasdorf
  72. P3 14:02Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Korpisalo
  73. P3 14:51Shot by Wennberg, saved by Kasdorf
  74. P3 16:14Shot by Prout, saved by Kasdorf
  75. P3 17:48Shot by Pysyk, saved by Korpisalo
  76. P3 18:26Shot by Jenner, saved by Kasdorf
  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final